ChainCatcher message, according to 4E observations, as of July 2, 2025, 16:00 (UTC+8), Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced at $107,571, up about 0.6% in the past 48 hours, with a high of $108,280 and a low of $105,344, showing a moderate rebound trend overall. The current market is primarily characterized by a fluctuating upward movement, with trading volume slightly increasing.Ethereum (ETH) has risen to $2,480, while Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) have both increased by around 1.5%. The total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has rebounded to approximately $3.32 trillion, reflecting a recovery in investor confidence. On-chain data shows that the BTC balance on exchanges continues to decline, with long-term investors steadily accumulating.On the macro level, U.S. Treasury yields have slightly retreated, and the U.S. dollar index has weakened, with market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September heating up again. Geopolitically, the situation in the Middle East has not escalated, and risk aversion sentiment has significantly weakened, providing overall support for risk assets.In terms of policy trends, the U.S. SEC is pushing to simplify the cryptocurrency ETF application process, and the stablecoin regulatory bill (GENIUS Act) is accelerating its legislative process, bringing structural benefits to the market. Platforms like Coinbase are benefiting significantly, USDC has gained policy trust, while Tether faces higher compliance pressures.In summary, Bitcoin is maintaining an upward trend within a key technical range, with both macro and policy factors likely to continue supporting a market rebound in the short term.4E reminds investors: the current market is stable with fluctuations, and attention should still be paid to the progress of policy implementation and capital flows, while reasonably controlling positions to avoid the risk of pullbacks.

ChainCatcher news, according to Alternative data, today's Crypto Fear and Greed Index has risen to 68, up from 65 yesterday, indicating that market sentiment remains in a "Greed" state.

ChainCatcher message, according to 4E observations, as of June 24, 2025, 14:00 (UTC + 8), Bitcoin is priced at approximately $105,400, up 3.6% in the past 24 hours, showing a strong rebound from the previous day's low of $99,000, with technical levels recovering to the $105,000--$106,000 range.The crypto market sentiment is warming up, with Ethereum rising nearly 8% to $2,420, and the total market capitalization recovering to about $3.25 trillion, with trading volume increasing. On-chain data shows that institutions are gradually positioning themselves, long-term holders are publicly buying, while short-term speculators are taking the opportunity to exit.Internationally, the weekend ceasefire news in the Middle East has quickly eased market risk aversion, with the U.S. President announcing a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, leading to a general rebound in global risk assets. U.S. stocks are rising, the dollar is retreating, and the financing environment is improving.At the same time, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have both risen nearly 1%, with the technology sector leading the gains. Federal Reserve officials continue to hint at a possible rate cut in July, although there is no definitive consensus, the trend is gradually leaning towards dovish.On the regulatory front, the U.S. GENIUS stablecoin bill is progressing smoothly, and the EU MiCA authorization is complete, marking the entry of crypto regulation into a more institutionalized phase. Financial institutions are aligning their strategies with policy signals, short-term risk aversion is weakening, and medium to long-term structural opportunities in crypto assets may be on the path to realization. 4E reminds investors that market volatility is increasing, and to pay attention to position and risk management.

ChainCatcher news, according to Alternative.me data, the Fear and Greed Index has dropped 16 points today to 52 points compared to the previous day. The index has shifted from the greed phase to the neutral phase.

ChainCatcher news, QCP released today's briefing stating, "Despite the escalating tensions in the Middle East, Bitcoin has yet to show signs of widespread panic. After an initial shock triggered by Iran-Israel related news last Friday, the benchmark cryptocurrency has recovered, bouncing back from a weekly low of $102,800 to $107,000.The resilient price performance of Bitcoin seems to be supported by ongoing institutional accumulation. Notably, Metaplanet and Strategy have been consistently buying the dips, while the spot Bitcoin ETF has recorded inflows for the seventh consecutive week. The market appears to have regained its footing, especially after Bitcoin managed to hold the key psychological threshold of $100,000 despite experiencing initial shocks.More broadly, in the face of rising geopolitical risks, the market has shown remarkable calm. Bitcoin's recent implied volatility has remained below 40, while the VIX index hovers around 20. Given the current backdrop, both levels are historically relatively subdued. There has been an inflow of funds into U.S. Treasuries and a range of Asian government bonds, highlighting that the market has not fully shifted to a risk-off mode.However, cautious sentiment still lurks beneath the surface. Iran's potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a spike in oil prices, and further escalation or direct U.S. military intervention could severely disrupt global risk assets.There are also views suggesting that these risks may in themselves constitute a structural positive for Bitcoin. With the asset's trading price only about 6% lower than its all-time high, recent price action has reinforced the narrative that Bitcoin adoption is driven by macro turmoil, rising sovereign debt burdens, and geopolitical vulnerabilities."

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, despite the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, the cryptocurrency market sentiment index "Fear and Greed Index" remains in the "Greed" range. The index showed a score of 60 in Sunday’s update, maintaining in the "Greed" area, while Bitcoin fell by 2.8% on Friday to $103,000. This drop occurred after explosions were reported in Tehran at 22:50 UTC on Thursday, following Israel's claim of responsibility for the attacks. Iran reportedly retaliated on Friday evening with "dozens of ballistic missiles." On Thursday, the index's "Greed" score was 71.Despite the tense geopolitical situation, market participants still pointed out that Bitcoin has shown relative resilience. Crypto analyst Za stated in a post on Saturday: "Bitcoin currently seems indifferent to the conflict between Israel and Iran (at least for now)." He added, "There is no better market sentiment indicator than Bitcoin, which I find very noteworthy." Crypto entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano mentioned in a post that day: "Bitcoin is tireless."Traders seem confident that Bitcoin can maintain above the psychological level of $100,000. This price has been reclaimed for the first time since May 8. If it falls below this level, it could lead to over $1.74 billion in long positions facing liquidation risks.

ChainCatcher news, according to Alternative data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index today is 45 (yesterday it was 57). Due to the low market sentiment, the index has shifted from the "Greed" zone to the "Fear" zone.

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, at the beginning of June, the Bitcoin price briefly dipped to $103,700, reaching a recent low, which has attracted market attention. Analyst Captain Faibik pointed out that the current BTC market is fiercely contested, with key support and resistance levels at $103,500 and $107,500, respectively. A breakthrough or breakdown will determine the next phase of the trend. If it can stabilize above $107,500, it is expected to challenge a new high of $117,000; however, if it falls below $103,500, it may return to bear control. Another analyst noted that BTC needs to quickly return above $106,500 to avoid further declines. As of now, the Bitcoin price is approximately $105,435, showing an upward trend in the past 24 hours.Meanwhile, despite facing tariff uncertainties and soaring federal deficits, the U.S. stock market has rebounded strongly. The S&P 500 index rose 6.3% in May, marking the best performance for the same period since 1990, and has increased 1.74% year-to-date, rebounding nearly 20% from April's low. Tech stocks are leading the charge, but funds are also quietly flowing into defensive sectors such as consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare, indicating that the market remains cautious even amid optimism.On the economic fundamentals front, investors are closely watching the May employment report set to be released this Friday. Several economists predict that non-farm payrolls will increase by only 125,000, or below the "break-even growth rate" of 153,000. Continued weakness could trigger a rise in the unemployment rate and intensify bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates within the year.According to 4E, investors should remain vigilant and respond cautiously to short-term market fluctuations until trade policies, employment data, and Federal Reserve dynamics become clearer.

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase after reaching an all-time high of $110,000 in May. Market data shows that the put/call skew of BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) has rebounded from -3.8 two weeks ago to nearly zero, indicating that traders' expectations for continued upward movement have weakened.Data from the derivatives platform Deribit shows that the premium advantage of short-term call options has disappeared, with the prices of call and put options expiring in the next two weeks tending to level out. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is quoted at $108,860.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin's price rebounded strongly after briefly dropping to $107,000 and has now returned to the $110,000 level.Despite facing macro challenges such as the release of inflation data from the Federal Reserve and rising bond yields, market sentiment remains positive. Exchange data shows that trading activity has cooled, but funding rates remain neutral, indicating healthy leverage levels that support sustainable upward movement.Analyst BitBull stated that if the current structure holds, Bitcoin is expected to target a new goal of $155,000.

ChainCatcher message, CryptoQuant stated on social media, "Bitcoin sentiment has reversed. Spot demand is rising, and Bitcoin's bull market index has jumped from 20 to 80. A score above 60 indicates bullish sentiment and supports price increases."

ChainCatcher news, ARK Investment Management released a Bitcoin reading report for April 2025, which pointed out that the economic outlook signals from inflation, market sentiment, and tariffs are mixed. However, the data shows that Bitcoin's price rose by about 14% in April, outperforming the S&P 500 index, and quickly rebounded from the market panic triggered by tariffs.The report also mentioned that the current price correction of Bitcoin has not exceeded 30%, technically still in a bull market range. If it drops 30%, 50%, and 70% from the historical peak, the corresponding price levels would be approximately $74,311, $53,080, and $31,848.In addition, the number of unrealized loss Bitcoins held by long-term holders (LTH) is close to 3.5 million, the highest level since 2018, indicating that the market may be in an oversold state, which ARK views as "bullish." The report also noted that the current proportion of profitable Bitcoin supply has not exceeded 68%, far below the historical peak of over 80%, suggesting that there are no signs of irrational exuberance in the market. Overall, on-chain data reflects that the market is in a healthy consolidation phase.

ChainCatcher message, according to Alternative.me data, today's cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 52 (yesterday the index was 64), indicating that the market is in a "neutral state."

ChainCatcher news, according to Alternative data, today's Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 53, down from 56 yesterday, indicating that market sentiment is in a "neutral" state.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, as Bitcoin rises, short-term holders (STHs) are returning to the market, marking the entry of "speculative capital." Glassnode indicates a surge in Bitcoin's "hot capital." With BTC prices hovering at several-month highs, new investors are entering the market.Glassnode points out that the amount of Bitcoin transferred in the past week has reached its highest level since early February. This metric reflects the activity of short-term holders and serves as a reference for measuring the entry of speculative capital into the market.In just the past week, "hot capital" has grown by over 90%, approaching $40 billion. Since the local low at the end of March, "hot capital" has cumulatively increased by $21.5 billion, highlighting a shift in market sentiment.

ChainCatcher message, according to CryptoQuant data, the Bitcoin Bull Market Score Index has risen to 60, indicating that market sentiment has turned optimistic again, and the demand for liquidity in Bitcoin and stablecoins is starting to warm up.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, cryptocurrency investor sentiment has significantly improved from global tariff concerns, but analysts say that structural weaknesses in the market may still trigger downward pressure during the weekend's low liquidity. After U.S. President Trump adopted a more moderate stance, indicating that the import tariffs on Chinese goods could be "substantially reduced," the risk appetite among cryptocurrency investors seems to have rebounded this week.However, Bitfinex analysts stated that this improvement in sentiment "does not mean that Bitcoin can avoid volatility during the weekend; while improved sentiment can reduce market fragility, it cannot eliminate structural risks such as weak weekend liquidity. Historically, severe fluctuations are still likely to occur during weekends, especially when there are high open contracts and low market depth. Sudden macroeconomic news may still exacerbate volatility during low liquidity periods."

ChainCatcher news, according to the on-chain data monitoring platform Glassnode, the analysis of Bitcoin supply dynamics indicates that the activity of first-time Bitcoin buyers in April was strong: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remained above 50 throughout the month, reaching 100 last week and still holding at a high of 80 today. This suggests that even with rising prices, the "fear of missing out" (FOMO) sentiment in the market is still increasing, and new funds are flowing in.