ChainCatcher message, Greeks.Live macro researcher Adam released an English community briefing on the X platform, disclosing that despite the Bybit $1.5 billion Ethereum theft incident, market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders believing this is just a temporary setback. The group consensus will focus on $95,000 to $96,000 as a key support level, expecting a mean reversion upward, but there are some divergences regarding the price trend over the weekend.The market believes the impact of this hacking incident is manageable. Binance and Bitget provided emergency liquidity support by depositing 50,000 Ethereum, and traders are actively selling low volatility options (29% volatility), indicating limited concern about further declines.

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the U.S. SEC is about to withdraw its lawsuit against Coinbase. This move could not only boost the market sentiment for cryptocurrencies previously labeled as securities but also bring benefits to trading platforms like Robinhood (HOOD).In June 2023, Robinhood was forced to delist several tokens that were accused of being securities by the SEC, but after Trump won the presidential election, the platform has re-listed some tokens, including Solana (SOL). The SEC's withdrawal of the lawsuit will reduce the regulatory risks for trading platforms when listing new tokens, potentially increasing their trading revenue.According to market data, the top five tokens accused of being securities by market capitalization include BNB, SOL, ADA, TRX, and TON. Additionally, several cryptocurrency companies, including Blockchain.com, BitGo, and Gemini, are considering going public (IPO) in the U.S.

ChainCatcher news, according to Alternative data, today's cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is 48 (yesterday it was 50), and market sentiment remains "neutral".

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released a community briefing stating that the community remains cautiously optimistic about the market, but is troubled by the fluctuations in the $94,000-$98,000 range.While some traders expect the price to rise to $100,000, significant resistance levels and algorithmic trading activities have hindered a sustained price increase. Despite the current price pressure, some traders still hold $96,000 call options expiring next week.

ChainCatcher news, according to Alternative data, the cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index today reports 47 (yesterday it was 43), with market sentiment shifting from "fear" to "neutral".

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Pepperstone's research director Chris Weston stated that this will be another lively start to the week, with impactful headlines emerging continuously on Monday and Tuesday. Throughout this week, U.S. President Trump will be the ubiquitous focal point, capturing all attention. Trump will continue to be a source of headlines that trigger market volatility, influencing market sentiment as many market participants attempt to refocus on other market themes.He added that statements regarding reciprocal tariffs may attract the most attention.

ChainCatcher message, Hartmann Capital founder Felix Hartmann posted: "I might be a bit early, but I feel we are close to the bottom.The funding rate has been negative for a while. The futures premium flipped to negative weeks ago.AI tokens have dropped 80-99%. Quality altcoins have retraced to long-term trend lines, eliminating the excessive rise in Q4.Market sentiment has completely collapsed------this is often the best signal.Stablecoins are not going away; they need on-chain infrastructure. AI agents are inevitable, and they require non-KYC financial channels. The wealth effect of Bitcoin once drove altcoins up, but the ETF era has changed that.Fink expects a SOL ETF soon------unlike BTC/ETH, there are no pending issues with Grayscale. Pure capital inflow. ETFs could become events similar to the Coinbase/Binance listings in this cycle. Cryptocurrency has a cultural problem------too much extraction, too little creation. But the next four years will bring real progress in stablecoins and AI.Today's feeling of despair is as irrational as the euphoria of Q4. We may oscillate, but most of the unlocked venture capital tokens may have already been sold off in the past two quarters. This could be the final stage."

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick stated that as institutional funds flow in rapidly and market sentiment shifts towards risk, Bitcoin could rise to $130,000 in the next two months.In a report on Thursday, Standard Chartered analysts emphasized that after the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, the market has entered a relatively stable period, with the next policy decision scheduled for March 19. Although macroeconomic risks still exist, Kendrick pointed out that the Federal Reserve's stance has reduced the uncertainty in the short term.

ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live analyst Adam pointed out that after Bitcoin's price fell below $98,000, market sentiment turned bearish, with traders expecting the price to further dip to the $94,000-$96,000 range. Put options with strike prices between $96,000 and $98,000 have seen noticeably active trading, indicating that traders are actively building defensive positions.Analysis shows that several traders have closed or rolled over their bullish spread strategies above $104,000. The market generally believes that this round of decline is influenced by the sell-off in Nvidia and the US tech sector. The consensus in the Greeks.live community is that it is necessary to wait for a clear rebound signal around the $98,000 mark before it is suitable to re-establish long positions.

ChainCatcher message, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released the English community Alpha summary.Overall market sentiment:The group generally holds a bullish attitude, with most traders expecting to continue pushing towards $110,000, although some warn of potential overextension above $100,000.The key resistance level is at $108,000, and traders have differing opinions on whether there will be a pullback or a breakout at this level.Price movements before the inauguration - bullish momentum:The market continues to show weekly gains of over $10,000, indicating strong momentum ahead of Trump's inauguration.Traders are cautious about selling call options, generally believing that trying to go against the trend may be risky.Some traders note the possibility of overbought conditions but believe that a significant pullback is unlikely before the inauguration concludes.

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, Bitcoin is facing downward pressure in the short term due to macroeconomic changes and market sentiment. Despite breaking through the historical high of $108,000 last December, Bitcoin is currently retracing due to a stronger dollar, increased volatility, and cautious trader attitudes. Joe McCann, founder and CEO of Asymmetric, stated that market signals such as the Federal Reserve's hawkish press conference on December 18 and the significant rise in the Volatility Index (VIX) have increased the probability of short-term declines. He believes that while the outlook is bearish in the short term, the long-term perspective remains bullish.In addition, the unexpected strengthening of the Dollar Index (DXY) has also become a focal point. After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the DXY broke through long-standing resistance levels, reflecting market dynamics of global liquidity constraints and safe-haven demand. Singaporean crypto trading firm QCP Capital pointed out in a report to investors that although favorable regulatory narratives support the spot market, the market environment at the beginning of January may be unstable, as structural risks such as the debt ceiling issue could trigger market volatility. Analysts believe that Bitcoin's performance will continue to be closely related to Federal Reserve policies and the performance of the dollar. The short-term adjustment provides investors with a buying opportunity on dips, but market volatility may pose challenges for investors.

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, Bitcoin is facing downward pressure in the short term due to macroeconomic changes and market sentiment. Despite breaking through the historical high of $108,000 in December last year, Bitcoin has recently retraced due to a stronger dollar, increased volatility, and cautious trader attitudes. Joe McCann, founder and CEO of Asymmetric, stated that market signals such as the Federal Reserve's hawkish press conference on December 18 and the significant rise in the volatility index (VIX) have increased the probability of short-term declines. He believes that while the short-term outlook is bearish, the long-term remains bullish.Additionally, the unexpected strength of the Dollar Index (DXY) has become a focal point. After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the DXY broke through long-standing resistance levels, reflecting market dynamics of global liquidity constraints and safe-haven demand. Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital noted in a report to investors that while favorable regulatory narratives support the spot market, the market environment at the beginning of January may be unstable, as structural risks such as the debt ceiling issue could trigger market volatility. Analysts believe that Bitcoin's performance will continue to be closely related to Federal Reserve policies and the dollar's performance. The short-term adjustment provides investors with a buying opportunity on dips, but market volatility may pose challenges for investors.

ChainCatcher news, Ben Bennett, Asia Pacific Investment Strategist at Legal and General Investment Management, stated: "The stock market has gone through a tough period around the beginning of the year, but strange things can happen in a market with insufficient liquidity. A stronger dollar and rising bond yields will put pressure on future stock market sentiment, and equity investors hope for a turnaround as soon as possible."Vasu Menon, Managing Director of Investment Strategy at OCBC Bank, said, "Trump's pro-growth and business-friendly agenda may boost the U.S. economy, but it could be challenging for the rest of the world due to potential tariffs and a stronger dollar. Therefore, there is a degree of caution and expectation in the market, especially after strong investment performance over the past two years." (Jin Shi)