ChainCatcher message, ZK Nation posted on platform X that the ZK airdrop claim will close on January 3, 2025.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.6%. By March next year, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 53%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 43.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3.6%.

ChainCatcher news, Abrdn analyst Dongyue Zhang stated in a research report that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts in January as it shifts to a slower pace of easing. If inflation continues to cool, a rate cut is expected in March.After the anticipated policy changes in 2025, the incoming Trump administration may bring greater volatility. Despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, the opportunities outweigh the risks. The benefits of deregulation and a more favorable business environment will promote productivity improvements and capital allocation. The U.S. economy is expected to remain resilient, the labor market healthy, AI-related capital expenditures to expand, and capital markets to be stronger. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, Binance Japan announced the launch of Launchpool, which is scheduled to start operating in January 2025.Unlike the international version, the Japanese version will convert new project tokens into BNB and distribute them in the form of interest, in compliance with local regulatory requirements.

ChainCatcher news, according to Protos, market rumors suggest that MicroStrategy (MSTR) may enter a lock-up period in January 2025, during which it will suspend raising funds to purchase Bitcoin through "at-the-market" (ATM) stock and convertible bond issuances. This information comes from a leak by a venture capitalist, stating that Executive Chairman Michael Saylor "will be in a lock-up period throughout January and will not be able to issue new convertible bonds to purchase Bitcoin."Although the SEC has not explicitly prohibited insider trading during the end of the quarter and financial report release periods, many companies voluntarily implement a lock-up period of 2 weeks to 1 month to avoid suspicions of insider trading. MicroStrategy plans to release its financial report on February 5, 2025, and will join the Nasdaq 100 index on December 23.There are various opinions in the market regarding the specific timing of the lock-up period: some believe it will be a full month, while others predict it will start on January 14 for 30 days. Currently, MicroStrategy has not officially responded to these rumors.

ChainCatcher news, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes posted an article titled "Trump Truth," in which he stated that although he does not believe the U.S. government will buy Bitcoin, this does not affect his optimistic view on its price prospects. Ultimately, the devaluation of gold will create dollars, and these dollars must find a place in physical goods/services and financial assets. From experience, it is known that due to the limited supply of Bitcoin and the decreasing amount of coins in circulation, the fiat price of Bitcoin rises faster than the growth rate of the global dollar supply.At the end of his article, he mentioned that before entering the collapse phase of a bull market, the cryptocurrency market will experience a painful crash around January 20, 2025, during Trump's inauguration. Maelstrom (Arthur Hayes's fund) will reduce certain positions in advance and hopes to buy back at a lower price sometime in the first half of 2025.Arthur Hayes added, "If the market forcefully breaks out around January 20, we will also acknowledge our misjudgment and will get back in after licking our wounds."

ChainCatcher news, Bybit announced that it will terminate withdrawal and custody services in France starting from January 8, 2025. After January 8, 2025, users with asset values of 10 USDC or below will be charged a fee of 10 USDC and have their accounts closed. For users with assets exceeding 10 USDC, BYBIT will initiate the transfer of any remaining funds to Coinhouse, and subsequent withdrawals will need to be processed through their platform.

ChainCatcher news, according to a press release, FTX and its affiliated debtors announced that the court-approved Chapter 11 reorganization plan will officially take effect on January 3, 2025. The first round of distributions will commence within 60 days after the effective date, exclusively for approved creditors in the Convenience Classes. FTX has reached agreements with cryptocurrency custodian BitGo and exchange Kraken to provide asset distribution services for retail and institutional clients.To qualify for the first round of distributions, users must complete the following steps before January 3, 2025:Log in to the FTX debtor client portalComplete KYC verificationSubmit the necessary tax formsOpen an account with BitGo or KrakenFTX CEO John Ray III stated, "Over the past two years, our professional team has successfully recovered billions of dollars in assets. The effectiveness of the reorganization plan in January 2025 and the commencement of distributions reflect the significant results of our asset recovery efforts." For transferred claims, only assignees who complete processing before the record date of January 3, 2025, and whose 21-day objection period has expired will be eligible for distributions. FTX Digital Markets Ltd. (FTX DM) will announce its client distribution process separately.

ChainCatcher news, ZK Nation announced on X that the proposal [ZIP-4] will reduce execution delays from 21 hours to 3 hours, and ZIP-4 will be submitted on-chain in late January 2025. This ZIP proposal aims to enhance the finality of transactions while maintaining security through the oversight of the newly established Security Council.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Goldman Sachs believes that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December is a foregone conclusion, followed by consecutive cuts of 25 basis points in January and March of 2025; subsequently, there will only be rate cuts in the June and September meetings. However, there are still some variables, as more and more Federal Reserve officials indicate that the FOMC may slow down the pace of rate cuts sooner, so there is a risk of pausing rate cuts in the January meeting.Traders now believe that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at the meeting on December 17-18 is as high as 97%. However, due to stronger data in November, the risk of the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts in early 2025 has increased. Powell's post-meeting speech and the latest economic forecasts will be crucial.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Tianfeng Securities released a research report indicating that the market has strong expectations for interest rate cuts. At the beginning of the week, after the release of the U.S. non-farm employment data for November, the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December rose to 86%, further increasing the expectations for rate cuts within the year.Subsequently, the U.S. CPI data for November met market expectations, bringing the market's anticipation for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December close to 100%. At the same time, the market also increased its bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January next year.

ChainCatcher news, according to official sources, the Layer 2 network Abstract Chain, designed specifically for on-chain culture and community, will launch its mainnet in January next year.Previous news, the NFT project Pudgy Penguins' parent company Igloo Inc. has acquired the on-chain creator economy platform Frame, with the aim of developing a Layer 2 network Abstract Chain designed specifically for on-chain culture and community.

ChainCatcher news, the CEO of the Crypto Innovation Council (CCI) Sheila Warren announced her resignation in January, Ji Kim will serve as the President and Acting CEO of CCI, while Sheila Warren will provide support as a Senior Global Policy Advisor.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Bank of America economist Stephen Juneau wrote in a report to clients on Thursday, "The upcoming potential policy changes, higher tariffs, deficit-financed tax cuts, and tighter immigration policies could all put upward pressure on prices.In fact, due to these policy changes, we predict that the core PCE inflation rate will hardly decline over the next two years. At next week's meeting, the Federal Reserve will also have to acknowledge the lack of progress on inflation, and we believe the Fed may pause interest rate cuts in January next year, with the risk that policy changes (during Trump's second term) could make this pause prolonged."

ChainCatcher news, the modular blockchain infrastructure developer Lava Network announced that the community has voted to extend the lock-up period of the LAVA token by one year until January 2026. Lava will focus on implementing the relevant upgrades on the mainnet to enforce the extended lock-up period.

ChainCatcher news, Jupiter founder meow posted that the new round of Jupuary (the JUP airdrop event) is expected to take place before Catstanbul (a Jupiter community event scheduled for January 25 to 26). More standards and data will be announced in the coming weeks; the airdrop query interface will still take time and may go live 1 to 2 weeks before the airdrop starts.Previous news, the Jupiter community passed a new round of airdrop proposal with an 87% support rate, which will distribute 700 million JUP tokens over the next two years.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Felix Hartmann, the founder of venture capital firm Hartmann Capital, stated that most altcoins may continue to show a downward trend until the end of January 2025."Some altcoins may continue to rise briefly, but most altcoins are likely to slowly decline or consolidate for 2-6 weeks," Hartmann said in a post on X on December 10. "(In my opinion) there isn't much opportunity to chase altcoins here, as many altcoins peaked after 2-3 fluctuations within a week."

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that $4000 and $100,000 are key price levels for ETH and BTC, respectively. From the options market perspective, the contracts expiring on December 27 have the largest open interest, with 90,000 contracts at the $4000 strike price for ETH and 16,000 contracts at the $100,000 strike price for BTC.Specific data shows that traders are taking profits on their $100,000 call options for BTC expiring on December 27 and may shift to options with a $130,000-$150,000 strike price expiring in March. Additionally, the funding rate for Deribit perpetual contracts remains stable, while the funding rates on major exchanges are slightly above normal, but the likelihood of a significant price increase remains low.From historical data, ETH typically reaches a new all-time high in January of the year following Bitcoin's halving. The ETH risk reversal indicator shows that bullish preferences are significantly strengthening starting in January next year. Although QCP maintains a structurally bullish view, it is expected that spot prices may remain in a range-bound oscillation during the remaining holiday season.

ChainCatcher news, Pump Science has released a roadmap update, which includes:On December 24, a partnership will be announced, preparing for mouse experiments and protocol development;On January 25, 2025, mouse experiments for URO and RIF will be launched;On February 25, a new compound will be launched in collaboration with VitaDAO;On March 25, supplement pre-orders and market platform will be launched;On April 25, decentralized human trials will commence, and decentralized compound releases will be initiated;On May 25, related experiments will be expanded.