Viewpoint: The Rise of Cryptocurrency Enhances Consumers' Balance Sheets
ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, history may soon repeat itself. The well-known "prophet," Felix Zulauf, head of the Swiss Zulauf Consulting, elaborated on his typically stern Swiss perspective on the global market, which has always been a beneficial supplement to the inevitably optimistic speculations of most Wall Street prophets.Currently, Zulauf believes the market will continue to rise. He acknowledges the widely publicized technical negatives in the stock market—such as extremely optimistic sentiment indicating that investors are fully invested, with almost no new buyers. Meanwhile, market winners continue to be concentrated in large tech companies, and the worsening market breadth is also a warning sign. However, he believes that the positive liquidity trend should continue to push prices higher.Felix Zulauf also stated that exchange rate fluctuations will negatively impact the stock market and, in turn, the U.S. economy. The traditional view is that the stock market is driven by the economy, but he believes this relationship has reversed. The rise of the stock market and cryptocurrencies has strengthened consumers' balance sheets, allowing them to reduce savings and increase spending. At the same time, the U.S. labor market is tight, pushing up wages—while strong asset prices enable more Americans to quit their jobs and enjoy early retirement. However, a reversal in the stock market would have negative effects."I have spent a lot of time in Florida, and I know many wealthy people with strong balance sheets," Zulauf said. "I can tell you that if the market drops 20%, they will cut back on spending and reduce expenses. I've seen this happen in the past, and it will happen again." He added that, meanwhile, the relatively poorer population with fewer assets and tighter balance sheets accounts for a much smaller proportion of spending.