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chairman

Viewpoint: The new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Waller, faces the dual challenge of inflation and balancing the pressure from Trump for interest rate cuts

FOX reporter Charles Gasparino posted on the X platform that the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh faces a dual challenge of rising inflation and pressure from Trump for interest rate cuts right from the start of his tenure. The annualized level of consumer inflation has risen to 3.8%, the highest since May 2023, with the Iran war driving up energy prices as a major factor. Last week, the increase in wholesale prices exceeded that of consumer prices. On Friday, the futures market began to price in interest rate hikes for the year, as previous bets on rate cuts have largely faded.Warsh himself is a staunch inflation hawk. Since leaving the Federal Reserve for an academic position in 2011, he has repeatedly criticized the "loose monetary" regime of the Bernanke, Yellen, and Powell eras in op-eds, advocating for a more "restrained" policy to shrink the Federal Reserve's balance sheet. He believes that the Federal Reserve's loose policies over the years are the root cause of the current inflation pressures. However, in the face of high inflation, his room for interest rate cuts is extremely limited.Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee is no longer united. Former Chairman Powell, replaced by Trump, still retains voting rights as a board member. Powell stated that he would not leave until the dust settles on the investigation into his congressional testimony regarding the costs of the new Federal Reserve headquarters—an investigation initiated by Trump that previously delayed Warsh's appointment process. Trump is appointing Warsh while simultaneously pressuring for interest rate cuts.However, if Warsh gets his way, it would directly contradict his consistently advocated policy stance. The Iran war has entered its third month, and the situation remains uncertain; if oil prices break through $200 per barrel, the U.S. economy could face risks similar to the "stagflation" of the 1970s.

Next week's macro outlook: Important window for peace talks may open between the US and Iran, and Russia and Ukraine; Waller officially takes over as Chairman of the Federal Reserve

According to Jinshi reports, this week, significant signs of peace have emerged in the US-Iran conflict and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, greatly easing geopolitical risks. Next week, it is worth paying close attention to whether these two geopolitical conflicts can further cool down. In addition, next week's macro events will focus on the US April CPI data, as detailed below:Tuesday 15:15, FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams will participate in a panel discussion on monetary policy;Tuesday 20:15, US ADP employment change for the week ending April 25;Tuesday 20:30, US April CPI data;Wednesday 04:30, US API crude oil inventories for the week ending May 8;Wednesday 20:30, US April PPI year-on-year and month-on-month;Friday 05:30, Fed Governor Barr will deliver a speech;Friday 21:15, US April industrial production month-on-month.Finally, next week the Federal Reserve will undergo significant personnel changes. Nominee Chairman Kevin Warsh is expected to be confirmed by the Senate on Monday and will officially take over from Powell on May 15.In terms of US stocks, as of this Friday, a new round of surges has pushed the S&P 500 index up 8% cumulatively in 2026, continuing to rise on the basis of achieving double-digit returns for three consecutive years. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has risen nearly 13% year-to-date, with both major indices reaching all-time highs. Although the first quarter earnings season is nearing its end, corporate reports will still be a key driver of stock prices in the coming days.AI

SEC Chairman: Will establish a regulatory framework for on-chain markets and calls on Congress to pass the CLARITY Act

According to the SEC's official website, Paul S. Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), spoke at the AI+ Expo on May 8, expressing the regulatory direction for AI and on-chain financial markets.Atkins stated that the SEC will promote several regulatory initiatives around on-chain markets, including: establishing relevant rules for the definition of "exchanges" for on-chain trading systems; clarifying the applicability of the definitions of brokers and dealers in on-chain activities; delineating the applicable boundaries of the definition of "clearing agencies" for on-chain clearing and settlement activities; and providing regulatory guidance for activities related to "Crypto Vaults."Regarding AI regulation, Atkins emphasized that the SEC will not mandate companies to use specific models but will adhere to its core responsibilities of protecting investors, maintaining market fairness and efficiency, and promoting capital formation, requiring companies to be accountable for the outcomes of the AI tools they deploy.Atkins also urged Congress to promptly send the CLARITY Act to the President for signing, to provide long-term certainty for the digital asset market through legislation, and warned that forcing innovation offshore would repeat the mistakes of FTX, harming the interests of American investors.
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