Bitwise CIO

Bitwise CIO: This decline is just a minor episode before Bitcoin reaches $10-50 trillion

ChainCatcher news, according to DL News, although Bitcoin has recently taken a hit, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that this drop is just a minor episode before Bitcoin's valuation skyrockets to between $1 trillion and $5 trillion.In a report on Monday, Hougan wrote: "If it weren't so volatile, it would be a footnote in history, fluctuating only below $150,000, supported only by a small group of libertarians, crypto-punks, and speculators."In short: "Bitcoin is either going to be significant globally or it will be worthless." As Hougan made this prediction, Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, and the broader world markets are being impacted by multiple factors including Donald Trump's escalating trade war, disappointing earnings, scandals, hacking attacks, and the threat of a recession in the U.S.Traders' reactions were muted, seemingly disappointed that Trump did not announce large-scale purchases of Bitcoin. The Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets continued to decline over the weekend. But for Hougan, this reaction misses the point. To him, "strategic reserves are a significant step forward, and the market's disappointment is absurd."He pointed out that the executive order explicitly states that the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury and the Secretary of Commerce "should develop strategies" for reserve purchases of Bitcoin. Hougan wrote: "Note that the order uses 'should,' not 'may' or 'might'; the wording in the official statement is carefully chosen."

Bitwise CIO: Despite the flaws in Trump's cryptocurrency reserve plan, it is still overall positive news

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that the market's reaction to Trump's cryptocurrency reserve plan is "overinterpreted." Despite the flaws in the plan, it is still overall positive news. After Trump announced on Sunday the directive for a task force to advance the U.S. cryptocurrency strategic reserve plan, which includes BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA, these assets rose by 10%, 15%, 25%, 30%, and 70% respectively from last week's lows, but subsequently, Bitcoin fell over 10%, and Ethereum plummeted over 15%.In a report sent to clients on Tuesday, Hougan pointed out that the market's cautious stance on the plan is mainly due to the inclusion of cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin in the reserves, "especially the inclusion of speculative assets like Cardano, which feels more like a political consideration rather than a strategic choice." He emphasized that the market is overlooking three key factors: first, Trump's negotiation style means that the initial proposal will not be the final version; second, this move by the U.S. could trigger a global Bitcoin accumulation race; and finally, once acquired, these cryptocurrencies are likely to be held long-term without being sold.Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, and Gemini founders the Winklevoss twins share the same view, believing that a pure Bitcoin reserve is the best option. Hougan expects that the Trump administration will ultimately push for some form of reserve plan, "The U.S. government's announcement that cryptocurrencies have 'strategic' significance is positive in itself, and I believe the market will eventually realize this."

Bitwise CIO: The downgrade of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations will not change the bullish trend of cryptocurrencies

ChainCatcher news, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan expressed his views on X, detailing why he believes the current bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market will continue.Despite the Federal Reserve's latest policy statement causing a short-term shock to the market—reducing next year's rate cut expectations from 4 times to 2 times—Hougan believes this is merely a brief interlude in the bull market process. He pointed out that the cryptocurrency market has developed an endogenous momentum independent of Federal Reserve policy, with four core trends continuously driving industry development:Washington's regulatory attitude has clearly shifted to a more supportive stance.Institutional investors are entering the market at an accelerated pace, with ETF funds continuing to flow in.Government and corporate entities are strategically increasing their Bitcoin holdings.Breakthroughs in programmable blockchain technology.From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's 10-day exponential moving average (approximately $102,000) continues to stay above the 20-day moving average (approximately $99,000). Hougan stated that this classic technical indicator has historically reflected market trends well.Hougan emphasized that the cryptocurrency market is in a new multi-year bull market cycle, and he expects that a 50bps rate cut will not change this.
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