ChainCatcher news, according to tradingview, IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong wrote in a report that the trajectory of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may depend on the policies of the elected President Trump, which are still unclear at this stage.He stated that Trump's initial comments on tariffs indeed sounded quite aggressive. However, the extent of the implementation of these measures is uncertain. Yeap mentioned that as policies become clearer, the Federal Reserve may initially lean towards a shallower rate-cutting cycle. As traditional markets respond to inflation, Bitcoin will continue to solidify its position in the financial world.Analysts predict that, driven by favorable regulatory changes and increased corporate adoption, the price of Bitcoin could soar to over $200,000 by 2025.

ChainCatcher news, UOB economist Alvin Liew stated that the Bank of Japan has not finished raising interest rates, but the timing of future hikes is now expected to be influenced by wage growth next year and the clarity of Trump’s policies. This means that while the possibility of a rate hike in January is not completely ruled out, it now appears to be a low-probability event.Although the policy statement and Governor Ueda's press conference did not provide forward guidance, Ueda emphasized that the wage increase situation in Japan in 2025 and considerations regarding Trump’s policies are key to the next decision. UOB expects the Bank of Japan to raise rates by 25 basis points to 0.5% in March, which the bank believes will be the terminal rate. However, there is a significant risk that the rate hike could be postponed to April or later.

ChainCatcher news, according to Forbes, economists and financial market professionals indicate that the Federal Reserve is likely to announce a 25 basis point rate cut in the early hours of the 19th, but perhaps more noteworthy is what signal the Fed will send regarding its monetary policy goals for 2025.Currently, economists from the three major investment banks—Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase—predict that the Fed will lower the interest rate from the current range of 4.5%-4.75% by 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.5%. This would bring the rate down to its lowest level since February 2023, a full percentage point lower than the 5.25%-5.5% range from July to September 2023.However, despite the market reaching a clear consensus on this, the Fed will also release its quarterly economic forecasts. This includes each central bank president's expectations for interest rates in 2025. Economists from Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase expect the median forecast to be revised from the previous prediction of four rate cuts of 25 basis points next year to three, with an expected target range of 3.5%-3.75% by the end of 2025. Regardless, it is clear that Americans will need to adapt to higher interest rates for an extended period, as rates are likely to remain above 3% for a long time, a threshold that was never reached from 2009 to 2021.

ChainCatcher news, Jupiter Asset Management bond fund investment managers Ariel Bezalel and Harry Richards stated that the monetary policy in developed countries is too tight, especially considering the current real interest rate levels adjusted for inflation. There is still some way to go before monetary policy reaches a neutral interest rate level. Market expectations reflect this, as the market has already priced in the expectation of returning to neutral levels over the next two years.However, the market has not priced in the risks of a more severe economic slowdown or even recession. This could force central banks to lower interest rates below neutral levels. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to Bitcoin Magazine, the Bitcoin Policy Institute has drafted a Bitcoin strategic reserve executive order for President Trump.

ChainCatcher news, CESS Network participated in the Policy Summit 2024 hosted by the U.S. Blockchain Association in Washington, D.C. on December 16, U.S. time. As a representative project of DePIN, CESS formed a DePIN working group with leading projects such as GEODNET, Helium, IoTeX, and Filecoin to engage in in-depth discussions on the future development of decentralized physical infrastructure networks.Former U.S. President Trump called the summit to congratulate all participants, affirming the important role of the blockchain and cryptocurrency industry in the future economy and national strategy, and expressing optimism about future cryptocurrency policies.At the summit, CESS was invited to participate in a special discussion on how blockchain technology can enhance national security and protect data privacy. In the future, CESS will work with industry partners to promote the improvement of blockchain industry policies, assist in the global implementation of DePIN technology, and continuously build decentralized data infrastructure to provide innovative solutions for data security and user privacy protection.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday. While lower rates typically boost risk assets like Bitcoin, comments and economic forecasts from the Fed during Wednesday's meeting may dampen expectations for further rate cuts amid ongoing inflation concerns.Recent U.S. CPI and PPI data have raised worries about potential price pressures next year, especially considering speculation around the economic policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Furthermore, although macroeconomic events still hold influence, QCP Capital analysts believe that Bitcoin's recent rise is primarily driven by market sentiment.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Nomura Securities' global foreign exchange strategy team stated in a research report that the US dollar may strengthen in 2025. The team indicated that the main themes entering next year include the Federal Reserve potentially having difficulty cutting interest rates due to persistently high core inflation in the United States, as well as the tariff policies of President-elect Trump.The team added that currencies that may perform poorly in the first half of 2025 could include the South Korean won, Thai baht, Singapore dollar, Swiss franc, and Swedish krona, while the Indonesian rupiah, Japanese yen, and Norwegian krone may see slightly better performance.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10, Societe Generale expects the Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish rate cut policy, and the bank may "open the door for pausing further rate cuts, but the duration of the pause is uncertain."In addition, Jim Baird, Chief Investment Officer of Plante Moran Financial Advisors, stated that any factors leading to market expectations that the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace may be slower than investors anticipate could provide some downside potential for the stock market.

ChainCatcher news, the CEO of the Crypto Innovation Council (CCI) Sheila Warren announced her resignation in January, Ji Kim will serve as the President and Acting CEO of CCI, while Sheila Warren will provide support as a Senior Global Policy Advisor.

ChainCatcher news, analysts indicate that as central banks continue to ease monetary policy, the price of Bitcoin may become a major beneficiary of the increase in global liquidity.The European Central Bank announced its fourth interest rate cut of the year this week, lowering the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3%; after the People's Bank of China cut rates for the first time in 14 years, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley expect a further 40 basis points cut in 2025, marking the largest annual decline since 2015; regarding the Federal Reserve, the CME FedWatch tool shows a probability of over 96% for a 25 basis point rate cut at the FOMC meeting on December 18.Kooner added that after a recent $1.7 billion liquidation, the market's leverage has significantly decreased, and combined with the year-end "Christmas rally" effect, Bitcoin is expected to start a new round of increases.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, a nonpartisan fiscal oversight organization, the "Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget" (CRFB), warns in its latest analysis that extending the tax cuts set to expire next year will have almost no benefit for economic growth.The CRFB's findings are based on an assessment by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), which found that allowing the tax cuts to expire would significantly increase public revenue, reducing the cumulative fiscal deficit by $3.7 trillion over ten years. This potential revenue growth would mean less public borrowing, which in turn would stimulate private investment.In the CBO's analysis, this would help offset the reduction in the labor force caused by the expiration of the tax cuts. The CBO stated, "Overall, these two effects largely offset each other, resulting in very little change in Gross Domestic Product (GDP)."This means that, in the view of the CRFB, extending the tax cuts would also have a similar, modest net effect on economic growth.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, U.S. Bank Chief Economist Stephen Juneau released a latest report warning that investors ignoring inflation data may face liquidation risks in 2025. The latest data shows that the November CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year and increased by 0.3% month-on-month, up 0.1 percentage points from October; the November PPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 0.2%.Federal funds futures indicate a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, but BlackRock Global Fixed Income CIO Rick Rieder, EY Chief Economist Greg Daco, and Nationwide Economist Oren Klachkin all expect that, influenced by potential new policies from Trump, the Federal Reserve may pause the rate-cutting process in early 2025.The market needs to be wary of three major risks: higher tariff policies, deficit financing tax cut plans, and tightened immigration policies, as these factors may keep the core PCE inflation rate elevated over the next two years. Daco particularly pointed out that although the possibility of a rate cut next week is close to a "coin toss probability," the subsequent pace of rate cuts will clearly slow down, and policymakers will remain highly vigilant regarding new government policies.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, the regulatory body of the Bank of England has required companies to disclose any current or future cryptocurrency risk exposures by March next year, in order to monitor stability and assist in policy formulation.The UK's Prudential Regulation Authority stated: "This will provide information for the Prudential Regulation Authority and the Bank of England's work on crypto assets, helping us calibrate our prudent handling of crypto asset risk exposures and analyze the relative costs and benefits of different policy options."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, according to CCTV News, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12.The meeting pointed out that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented, with timely reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions, to maintain ample liquidity, ensuring that the scale of social financing and the growth of money supply align with the economic growth and overall price level expectations. Explore and expand the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank. A policy mix should be effectively utilized, strengthening the coordination and cooperation of fiscal, monetary, employment, industrial, regional, trade, environmental, and regulatory policies and reform measures, improving the effective communication and feedback mechanism among departments, and unifying economic and non-economic policies into a consistent macro policy orientation assessment to enhance the overall effectiveness of policies.

ChainCatcher news, according to Bloomberg citing informed sources, venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) crypto policy chief Brian Quintenz has become the leading candidate for the position of chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).Quintenz recently completed the interview for the position; he previously served as a Republican commissioner at the CFTC and is currently responsible for policy matters in a16z's crypto division. If appointed, this could signify a significant shift in the CFTC's regulatory policy towards cryptocurrencies. Both Quintenz and a16z spokesperson declined to comment on this matter.