Wall Street

Many analysts on Wall Street expect the Federal Reserve to cautiously implement its first rate cut

ChainCatcher news, many analysts on Wall Street still expect that the Federal Reserve's first step towards interest rate cuts will be more cautious. "I hope they cut by 50 basis points, but I suspect they will cut by 25 basis points," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "They have already completed the tasks of achieving full employment and returning inflation to target, and a fund rate around 5.5% is too high. Therefore, I think they need to quickly normalize rates and have plenty of room to do so.""Jeffries' U.S. economist Tom Simons said, "While the tightening policy seems effective, it hasn't worked out exactly as they imagined, so easing should be viewed as equally uncertain." "Therefore, if you're uncertain, you shouldn't rush." Former Dallas Fed President Kaplan stated, "I guess they have differing opinions." "From a risk management perspective, some committee members just want to be more cautious." Seema Shah, an analyst at Invesco, said that for the Federal Reserve, it ultimately comes down to deciding which risk is greater—if they cut by 50 basis points, it could reignite inflationary pressures, while cutting only by 25 basis points could lead to an economic recession. Criticized for being too slow to respond to the inflation crisis, the Federal Reserve may take a passive approach to the risk of recession rather than a proactive one. (Jin Shi)

Bloomberg: Wall Street giants are optimistic about potential opportunities in the crypto custody space, awaiting election results and regulatory clarity

ChainCatcher news, according to Bloomberg, so far, crypto-native companies like Coinbase Global Inc. and BitGo Inc. have been the dominant service providers, while traditional financial firms mostly remain in a holding pattern due to concerns over regulatory uncertainty surrounding digital assets.Although the current custody market is only about $300 million, the business remains attractive, with companies like Fireblocks Inc. estimating an annual growth rate of around 30% for the industry.Leading custody banks such as BNY Mellon, State Street Corp., and Citigroup Inc. have begun to dip their toes into the cryptocurrency custody space or have expressed interest. Despite facing setbacks, these companies are experimenting, with many plans focused on the protection of tokenized assets.For example, JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates a project called Onyx, which allows blockchain payments between bank clients. In December last year, a custody trust and clearing company acquired Securrency to provide products for tokenizing traditional financial assets. In August of this year, State Street chose the vendor Taurus for the tokenization and custody of digital asset services.One major issue hindering the entry of established financial institutions is a U.S. SEC regulation known as SAB 121, which prevents highly regulated financial companies from offering cryptocurrency custody services. President Biden vetoed efforts by Congress to overturn the rule. Several banks have received exemptions.
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