TON

4E: Tariff threats weigh on US stocks and Bitcoin, market focuses on tonight's US February PCE data

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, Trump announced a 25% tariff on all non-American made cars and warned that if Canada and the EU retaliate together, they will face harsher tariff reprisals. This tough stance has heightened market panic, overshadowing better-than-expected GDP data and escalating trade war concerns. U.S. stocks fell for the second consecutive day, with the S&P 500 down 0.33%, the Dow down 0.37%, and the Nasdaq down 0.53%.The cryptocurrency market generally declined, with Bitcoin dropping below $86,000 due to the weak opening of U.S. stocks, but later narrowed its losses as U.S. stocks rebounded, closing at $87,216, down 0.4% in 24 hours. Other major tokens also saw slight declines, with Ethereum fluctuating around $2,000. Overall market sentiment is low, and until Trump's tariff actions become clearer, the short-term upward potential of the market may still be limited.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated down 0.25%; a significant decline in U.S. inventories supported rising oil prices, but tariff policies dampened demand expectations, leading to a weakening of the oil price rally; heightened risk aversion pushed spot gold up 1.23%, breaking through $3,060, reaching a historic high.The market is focused on the PCE inflation data for February, which will be released tonight at 20:30. The market expects the year-on-year PCE inflation to be around 2.5%, with core PCE possibly rising to 2.7%. If the data remains strong, it may delay the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. Additionally, as April 2 approaches, the final determination of Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" policy is also under close scrutiny.

4E: Trump's tariffs repeatedly exacerbate market unease, tonight's CPI data becomes a key variable

ChainCatcher news reports that according to 4E monitoring, on Tuesday, Trump reversed his stance on Canadian tariff policies multiple times, causing the market to experience a "roller coaster" trend. At the beginning of the session, the U.S. stock market initially rose, but then Trump announced a 25% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum, leading the three major indices to turn negative. Shortly after, news emerged that the policy was paused and both sides would renegotiate, but the downward trend in the U.S. stock market remained unchanged. After the lunch break, the market changed again, with Ukraine agreeing to a 30-day ceasefire. Large tech stock bargain hunters surged, pushing the U.S. stock market to refresh its daily high, but the market weakened again towards the end of the session. By the close, all three major indices ended lower, with the Dow down 1.14%, the S&P 500 down 0.76%, and the Nasdaq down 0.18%. Most of the seven tech giants saw an increase.The cryptocurrency market rebounded significantly, with Bitcoin recovering from a low of $76,606 to above $83,000, rebounding over 8% and reclaiming yesterday's sharp decline. Ethereum rose from a low of $1,754 to $1,920, rebounding over 9%. Some altcoins had even larger rebounds. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies slightly recovered to $2.77 trillion, with a 24-hour increase of 2.5%, and market sentiment warmed slightly.In the forex commodities sector, the U.S. dollar index fell over 0.6%, remaining in a downward trend for most of the day. The outlook for global oil inventories improved, leading to a slight increase in international oil prices; the renewed turmoil in U.S. tariff situations and concerns over economic growth supported safe-haven gold, with spot gold rising over 0.9%.The ongoing uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policies has continued to impact the market, and the potential effects on consumers and the economy have dampened Wall Street's sentiment. The CPI report at 8:30 PM tonight is highly anticipated, as investors hope to gauge whether the market's concerns about economic stagflation are justified. If the data exceeds expectations, the market may experience another sharp decline.

QCP Capital: Market expectations for the White House crypto summit have cooled, with attention shifting to tonight's non-farm payroll data

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that as the market anticipates the White House cryptocurrency summit, Trump has signed an executive order to establish a "strategic Bitcoin reserve and U.S. digital asset reserve" ahead of time. Although this move is widely expected to be beneficial for Bitcoin, the market has shown a typical "sell the news" reaction, with Bitcoin's price dropping from $90,000 to $85,000 after the signing.The timing of the signing caught the market off guard, especially for investors who had built positions in anticipation of a more optimistic outcome from the summit. Volatility has significantly decreased, and risk reversals have once again shifted towards bearish options, with previous bullish positions being rapidly closed.The sharp market drop may stem from the realization that there has not been an actual budget allocation for Bitcoin purchases recently. Initially, the reserve will mainly utilize the Bitcoin already held by the U.S. government, primarily from criminal or civil asset seizures. However, this does not rule out the possibility of continuing to accumulate Bitcoin in the future. The Treasury Secretary and Commerce Secretary have been authorized to explore budget-neutral strategies to acquire more Bitcoin, provided that it does not increase the burden on taxpayers.Although this is not the direct positive factor many were hoping for, it still has structurally positive implications for cryptocurrencies. The risk of random sell-offs of Silk Road Bitcoin disrupting the market has been eliminated, and the U.S. government's commitment to a long-term cryptocurrency strategy has been reaffirmed. As the announcement of the strategic Bitcoin reserve settles, market expectations for tonight's White House cryptocurrency summit have cooled, shifting the focus to tonight's non-farm payroll data.
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovators