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QCP Capital: Macroeconomic market volatility has eased, and Bitcoin still needs key catalysts to break through $100,000

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that Bitcoin recently faced $1.5 billion in long liquidations, with the price plummeting by 3,000 points before rebounding at the critical support level of $95,000, currently consolidating in the $97,000-$98,000 range. This round of correction has also affected many altcoins.In terms of institutional entry, Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs recorded net inflows for 8 and 11 consecutive days, respectively. Mining company Riot Platforms announced it would follow MicroStrategy's strategy, planning to issue $500 million in zero-coupon convertible bonds to purchase Bitcoin, a plan that has already garnered strong market demand. Notably, Microsoft shareholders will vote today on incorporating Bitcoin into the balance sheet. Although the board recommends against it, approval could lead to an unexpected surge. Meanwhile, reports indicate that Amazon shareholders are also pushing for Bitcoin to be used as a reserve asset.QCP points out that with the political situation stabilizing in France and South Korea, and China's commitment to launching economic stimulus policies, macro market volatility has eased. Bitcoin and Ethereum's short-term volatility remains high and leans towards put options. Analysts believe that a breakthrough of the $100,000 threshold for Bitcoin still requires key catalysts.

Bitfinex: Bitcoin consolidates in the $100,000 range, but the market shows signs of stabilization

ChainCatcher message, Bitfinex post analysis, last week, Bitcoin reached an all-time high, breaking the $100,000 mark for the first time, hitting a historic high of $104,000. This marks a 111% increase from Bitcoin's low of below $50,000 during the summer. However, after the rebound, there was a significant 14.84% pullback, including a rapid 10% drop within just eight minutes, which is the largest pullback from the current all-time high since the sell-off before the U.S. elections. This pullback triggered over $1.1 billion in liquidations, with $419 million in Bitcoin long positions, highlighting the level of leverage in the market.Despite the market's extreme volatility, signs of stabilization are emerging. The realized profit metric had peaked at $10.5 billion daily but has now dropped to $2.5 billion, easing selling pressure. The futures funding rate has also normalized, indicating a decrease in speculative leverage. Although ETF inflows slightly slowed over the weekend, they remain a key source of support against the backdrop of long-term holders continuing to take profits. As Bitcoin consolidates above $100,000, the medium-term outlook remains bullish, and with the normalization of funding rates and easing selling pressure, there is potential for further upside as long as ETF inflows continue to increase.Additionally, the Federal Reserve is assessing potential policy shifts that the new government may undertake, while the economy remains supported by a resilient labor market and stable consumer demand. However, the uneven recovery across various sectors suggests a need for cautious optimism.
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