Analysis: The tug-of-war between bulls and bears intensifies, and the options market still bets on the $100,000 target by the end of June

2025-03-21 18:41:46
Collection

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency market experienced a brief euphoria following the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting, only to fall back into profit-taking. Bitcoin retreated from a high of $86,000 to below $84,000, with a 24-hour decline of over 3%, while Ethereum fell below the psychological level of $2,000. Despite the overall pressure on the market, options traders remain optimistic about the mid-term outlook, with the probability of Bitcoin breaking $100,000 by the end of June rising from 20% to nearly 30% within 24 hours.

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates and announced a reduction in quantitative tightening (QT) in April, interpreted as a signal of de facto easing, which pushed Bitcoin to briefly surpass $85,000. BNB rose 8% during the week, showing strength against the trend, while XRP's weekly increase narrowed to 4.8%. The options market showed divergence, with Ethereum call options accounting for 60%, indicating a rise in bottom-fishing sentiment; 34% of Bitcoin options volume was used for downside protection, intensifying the long-short battle. After a brief euphoria, the market returned to rationality, with $80,000 becoming a key short-term support level for Bitcoin, focusing the new round of long-short contention. The optimistic expectations in the options market and the cautious sentiment in the spot market create a delicate balance, with a breakout from the moving average pressure potentially becoming the key to a trend reversal.

ChainCatcher reminds readers to view blockchain rationally, enhance risk awareness, and be cautious of various virtual token issuances and speculations. All content on this site is solely market information or related party opinions, and does not constitute any form of investment advice. If you find sensitive information in the content, please click "Report", and we will handle it promptly.
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovators