prices

After comments from Iranian leaders, oil prices fell, U.S. stock futures and government bond prices rose, and the cryptocurrency market saw a short-term increase. Previously, the Supreme Leader of Iran called for conditions to be proposed to end the war, leading to a short-term drop of about $0.8 in both U.S. and Brent crude oil prices. The Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, Major General Rezaei, met with the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei.The talks discussed maintaining national and regional security through the management of the Strait of Hormuz, as well as consolidating bilateral relations with neighboring countries based on lasting mutual benefits. Khamenei stated that the enemy's predicament is a result of Iran's adherence to national resistance and emphasized the need to actively and timely disseminate information to maintain public participation in defending the country and the system.Khamenei also mentioned that efforts should be made to uphold the rights and interests of the Iranian people and the resistance front by implementing the relevant conditions proposed by Iranian officials, in order to end the war and the situation of "neither war nor peace." Rezaei stated that the Secretariat of the Supreme National Security Council is advancing Iran's strategic policies, which include establishing a regionally-led arrangement and order.

Goldman Sachs' latest research shows that over the past three weeks, semiconductor stock exposure has been able to explain about 54% of the return performance differences between different asset classes, while oil price exposure accounts for only 2%. As the influence of AI trading continues to expand, technology stocks are becoming an important factor driving global market risk appetite and asset performance differentiation.Goldman Sachs pointed out that recent investor risk appetite has been highly synchronized with the relative performance of large technology stocks. Last week, concerns about AI investment returns, financing costs, and capital expenditures intensified, leading to a sell-off in technology stocks and corporate bonds, with Goldman Sachs' risk appetite indicator falling to its lowest level since April 2025. The South Korean stock market has become a typical case of this impact, with the KOSPI rising 3.1% on Tuesday, and SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics increasing by 5.2% and 4.2%, respectively.Due to the high weight of semiconductor stocks in the Korea Composite Stock Price Index, changes in global AI investment expectations directly affect local market performance. Goldman Sachs emphasized that the 54% and 2% figures reflect a statistical relationship within a specific time window and do not imply that AI factors long-term determine global market fluctuations; the impact of high oil prices on inflation, monetary policy, and asset pricing cannot be ignored. Major technology companies such as Microsoft, Google, and Amazon are about to announce their earnings reports, and the market will focus on whether AI demand can continue to grow and whether massive capital expenditures can be converted into actual profits.

The venture capital firm a16z released a chart weekly report written by Moses Sternstein on October 23, 2026. The report states that Netflix is still growing, with revenue growth slowing to just below about 12%, the lowest level since 2021 to 2022. The company is producing its own short videos and entering live sports. The report cites BCG data indicating that the upper limit of media consumption in the U.S. is about 26 hours per week, showing a moderate decline since the peak of lockdowns. Moses Sternstein: Competition comes not only from other streaming services but also from short videos, with much of the recent media growth coming from background consumption while driving or working.In terms of computing power, the report cites Ornn Data stating that the rental price of every GPU in the chart series is higher than at the beginning of the year, including the oldest A100, which is about 9% to 143% higher compared to a 6-year straight-line depreciation. Moses Sternstein: Over a longer period, older A100 and H100 GPUs spend more time below that line, but have only shown significant strength since April this year, making comparisons over a longer period not entirely fair. According to OpenRouter, token demand surged sharply in spring, jumped again after a brief plateau at the end of summer, with token consumption for both open-source and closed-source models still following an exponential path, and the share of proprietary models slightly increased last week. The author states that OpenRouter only covers a very small portion, and these indices are not perfect proxies for actual token spending and GPU pricing.In manufacturing, the report states that computer production capacity and utilization rates are rising, with production increases being larger. The increase in communication and semiconductor production mainly comes from expansion, while the price increase for electrical equipment is the largest, but domestic production has slightly declined. The import increase of key categories of AI capital expenditures mentioned above far exceeds the domestic production increase in dollar terms. According to ADP, the increase in average weekly hours for industries related to AI construction is greater than that of other industries, and is generally greater than the net increase in personnel. Job switchers in manufacturing have about a 5 percentage point wage growth premium compared to stayers. Cybersecurity stocks remain strong in IGV this year, but have seen a larger pullback than the market since October. The revenue growth rate of large companies has mostly only increased by a few percentage points, with some experiencing declines, and stock price performance reaching up to about 125%, with Palo Alto Networks' revenue growth largely driven by acquisitions.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, if the market continues to decline, a certain whale's long position of 93,184 ETH (approximately 214 million USD) may face liquidation, with liquidation prices of 2256.45 USD and 2226.53 USD respectively.

Market research firm Counterpoint Research data shows that in the third quarter of 2026, major personal computer manufacturers experienced double-digit declines in sales, with HP down 31%, Dell down 25%, Lenovo down 23%, and Apple down 11%. The firm expects that personal computer shipments will decline by another 27% in the fourth quarter, with business demand being better than consumer demand, but not enough to offset the overall contraction.In terms of shipments, Lenovo shipped 15 million units, with a market share of 26.3%; HP shipped 10.3 million units; Dell shipped 7.6 million units; Apple shipped 5.6 million units, with a share of 9.8%, up from 8.7% in the same period last year, as the MacBook Neo alleviated the decline. ASUS saw a shipment decline of 7%.Counterpoint analyst Minsoo Kang stated that rising memory and component costs are pushing up system prices, causing consumers to delay upgrades. David Naranjo mentioned that the industry is undergoing structural adjustments, with component costs, system prices, and longer upgrade cycles reshaping the market. The report also stated that the increase in DRAM and NAND prices may slow down in the first half of 2027, and Micron indicated that the chip shortage may last until 2028.

Gold prices have stabilized near a three-month low, with spot gold prices hovering around $4,020 per ounce. Global X ETFs analyst Justin Lin stated that gold may recently face liquidity-driven selling, as market expectations for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have cooled, which should provide support for gold prices in the short term.Despite facing downward pressure, gold prices may see a V-shaped rebound.

According to Israel's Channel 12, the proposal submitted by the Chief of Staff of the Pakistan Army to senior Iranian officials has been approved by the United States, and Iran has also tentatively agreed. The proposal partially responds to Iran's demand for the return of frozen funds, stipulating that the interest generated from the 6 billion dollars frozen in a Qatari bank will be transferred to Iran.Affected by this news, both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell short-term by about 0.8 dollars, currently reported at 97.51 dollars per barrel and 105.76 dollars per barrel, respectively. On the news front, reports indicate that the U.S. and Iran have tentatively recognized Pakistan's mediation proposal.

Brent crude oil prices remain above $107, with reports of tanker damage in the Strait of Hormuz, and the shadow of supply disruptions has not dissipated.Federal Reserve Chairman Waller dampened expectations for an interest rate hike in October, and the dollar recorded its worst weekly performance since early September.

As Trump's tariff policy restricts foreign steel supplies, U.S. steel prices have risen to their highest level in over four years, with hot-rolled coil prices increasing by 52%, reaching $1,255 per short ton. This move has boosted the profits of domestic steel producers but raised costs for manufacturers.

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for September will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on October 15. Oxford Economics expects the September PPI to rise by 0.6% month-on-month, higher than the market expectation of 0.5% and August's 0.4%. In August, U.S. diesel prices increased by 24% month-on-month and 77% year-on-year. According to the American Automobile Association, the retail price of diesel reached a historic high of $6.528 per gallon on September 22.As of Wednesday, the U.S. retail price of diesel remained at $6.30 per gallon, over 70% higher than the same period last year. Analysts say that diesel is an important input for road freight, rail transport, and agricultural production. Rising prices will first push up production and transportation costs for businesses, and then gradually transmit through fuel surcharges, transportation contracts, and retail pricing, with cost pass-through potentially lagging. The Trump administration has temporarily relaxed some restrictions on agricultural fuel use and stated that Russia will supply diesel to the global market. Industry insiders believe these measures are unlikely to resolve refining capacity and finished oil supply bottlenecks in the short term.

The surge in artificial intelligence infrastructure construction has driven up the prices of consumer technology products. The U.S. September CPI shows that the prices of computers and smart home assistants have increased by 9.7% year-on-year, marking the largest increase since 2006.The prices of software and accessories have risen by 28.4% year-on-year, raising concerns in the market about the rising costs of technology products.

Affected by geopolitical and supply risk premiums, international oil prices have recently maintained a relatively high level of fluctuation. According to market data from the Gate platform, WTI crude oil (CLUSDT) is currently priced at $93.67, with a 24-hour increase of 2.09%. According to CoinGlass data, the 24-hour contract open interest on the Gate platform for CLUSDT is $131 million, ranking among the top three in the industry; the 24-hour contract trading volume reached $79.01 million, also ranking high in trading activity within the industry.

Economists expect the overall CPI in the United States to rise by 0.6% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year in September. Excluding food and energy, the core CPI is expected to rise by 0.2% month-on-month and 2.5% year-on-year.Tony Rodriguez, head of fixed income strategy at Nuveen, stated that the rise in energy prices has not yet translated into core inflation, but if it continues for two consecutive quarters, it may affect food and commodity prices.

On-chain data company CryptoQuant researcher Rei Researcher pointed out in a report released on Monday that as the Bitcoin supply on exchanges continues to shrink, the price of Bitcoin may see an upward trend. The report shows that the Bitcoin held by exchanges has decreased from 2.8 million in February to 2.67 million. The recent price of Bitcoin is around $83,485, remaining stable over the past 24 hours but rising 8% over the past 30 days, following the best-performing quarter in years.The report states, "If buying demand continues to improve while exchange supply remains low, Bitcoin could benefit from a supply-demand imbalance, creating favorable conditions for a longer-term upward trend." The report adds, "More importantly, Bitcoin has rebounded from its lows in recent weeks, while exchange reserves continue to decline. This is a notable development, indicating that even as the market recovers, the supply available for trading is still decreasing." The report also notes that investors may be transferring Bitcoin out of exchanges and into cold wallets.In the first half of 2026, Bitcoin traded below $65,000 for most of the time. After reaching an all-time high of $126,080 in October 2025, the cryptocurrency has been in a bear market for most of this year. However, the situation changed in August when the U.S. Treasury doubled the scale of liquidity support repurchase operations, weakening the dollar while boosting non-yielding assets like Bitcoin. Analysts say that the so-called "devaluation trade" has heated up again, benefiting Bitcoin as it did in 2024 and 2025. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is still over 30% lower than its historical record.

The IMF World Economic Outlook report indicates that in a scenario of escalating war in the Middle East, oil prices will reach $130 per barrel in the first quarter of 2027, leading to a 0.2 percentage point decline in global economic growth in 2026 and a 0.5 percentage point decline in 2027.

According to Crowdfund Insider, Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) analyst Craig Siegenthaler adjusted the target prices for three major retail trading and cryptocurrency platforms in early October 2026, as follows:Robinhood (HOOD): Target price raised from $140 to $156, maintaining a "Buy" rating.Coinbase (COIN): Target price raised from $174 to $203, maintaining a "Buy" rating.eToro (ETOR): Target price lowered from $46 to $39, maintaining a "Neutral" rating.

10x Research published that Bitcoin option prices have fallen to a five-year low, with near-month implied volatility at 33.5%, more than 4 percentage points lower than actual volatility, indicating that option pricing is relatively cheap. In the past week, the skew of Bitcoin options has decreased by nearly 3 percentage points, with traders focusing on buying put options expiring in October with strike prices of $78,000 and $80,000, with single large trades reaching up to $204 million.10x Research believes this indicates that investors overall still hold long positions while hedging downside risks through options, rather than fully turning bearish. In contrast, the Ethereum options market shows different signals. Its largest corporate buyer has indicated that it will stop buying in the coming weeks, with options trading primarily dominated by sellers of call options, and implied volatility higher than actual volatility.