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The Hormuz negotiations are at a standstill, and the tension in the Middle East continues to "heat up" oil prices

Supported by the uncertainty of the reopening prospects of the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, both WTI and Brent crude oil prices continued to rise in the U.S. trading session. Iran reiterated several conditions before agreeing to fully reopen the strait. According to Al Jazeera, the conditions proposed by the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, Zolghadr, include: ending the U.S. maritime blockade and the withdrawal of the U.S. Navy and Air Force from around Iran.Tehran also demanded compensation for damages caused by recent conflicts, the lifting of sanctions, and the unconditional unfreezing of Iranian assets. These demands currently reduce the likelihood of a swift return to normal shipping and help maintain the risk premium in WTI prices. Meanwhile, negotiations with Oman to establish a secure shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz seem to be making progress.However, due to the failure to reach an agreement on full reopening, investors remain cautious about the risks of long-term disruptions to oil supply. Regional tensions are not limited to the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen claimed responsibility for a drone attack on Saudi Aramco's refinery in Saudi Arabia. The latest attacks on major energy infrastructure have heightened market concerns about the security of regional oil supplies.

hot_img MLCC supply is in short supply: customers are raising prices two to three times to secure materials, with delivery times extended to 12-16 months

Driven by strong demand for AI, the MLCC market has seen a surge in price chasing and material grabbing. Industry sources indicate that some customers are willing to pay two to three times the price to secure supplies from major manufacturers like Yageo and Murata, creating a situation where the highest bidder wins. Yageo has admitted that AI-related customers are increasingly looking to lock in capacity in advance to reduce supply risks. Currently, major MLCC manufacturers are fully booked, with capacity nearing full load, and delivery times have extended to 12 to 16 months.In terms of capacity, Yageo expects the utilization rate for standard products this quarter to increase from about 80% in Q2 to over 90%, while special products will maintain a high level above 90%, overall trending towards full capacity. The company is also expanding production, with new capacity set to come online each quarter. Japanese manufacturers are also optimistic, with Murata significantly raising its annual profit forecast, and Taiyo Yuden stating that demand for AI servers has exceeded expectations. Industry insiders point out that large customers typically have a higher priority for capacity allocation, while small and medium-sized customers can only compete for limited supplies by offering higher prices. Yageo has noted that more and more customers wish to secure passive component supplies for the next six months to several years through long-term contracts to mitigate supply chain risks.

Insiders: DeepMind founder Hassabis is considering leaving Google, as Google's management is concerned about a sharp drop in stock prices and has postponed his departure

Citrini analyst Jukan shared content on platform X stating that industry insiders reported that Google DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis had previously planned to leave simultaneously with another co-founder, David Silver. However, Google management was concerned that this news could trigger a significant drop in stock prices, so they hoped to delay his departure. Reports indicate that after Google announced related adjustments, the company's stock did indeed decline. Ultimately, Hassabis was persuaded to take on the role of chairman of DeepMind to help facilitate a smooth transition and create space for a more appropriate departure from Google in the future.It is reported that as David Silver shifts to founding Ineffable Intelligence and John Jumper joins Anthropic, the core AI research and development force at DeepMind is undergoing changes. Some insiders believe that the center of gravity for AI model development at Google has now shifted more towards the Bay Area, leading to a decline in the importance of DeepMind. Internally, Google is focusing on the large language model Gemini to catch up with OpenAI and Anthropic. Hassabis's adjustment reflects a long-standing strategic contradiction within Google: researchers are more focused on long-term scientific breakthroughs, while the commercial team is more concerned with AI products that can be quickly commercialized to drive revenue and stock price growth. Market predictions suggest that Hassabis may leave Google within a year and could potentially start a new venture.
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