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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "Nationwide Flight Ban Lifted," the sub-market "10 PM ET on November 13" saw the probability of the "Yes" option fluctuate dramatically, dropping from 51% an hour ago to the current 11% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Jussi Hiljanen, Chief Rate Strategist at Sweden's Nordea Bank, stated that the U.S. economic growth is better than expected, supporting the Federal Reserve's further tightening of policies.It is expected that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December and by the same amount in March. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond is expected to hover around 5% in the coming weeks.

According to Crypto Briefing, Lightning Labs released the open-source extension pi402 on November 12, enabling AI programming agents to use Bitcoin to pay for their reasoning fees via the Lightning Network. This tool is specifically built for Pi programming agents and does not require account registration, API keys, or credit cards; agents can resume work by paying invoices after seeing the prices.pi402 is based on the L402 protocol, combining the HTTP 402 "Payment Required" response with Lightning Network invoices, allowing for instant settlement after payment by the agent. This implements a token-based billing model, where agents pay based on actual consumption. Sellers can accept payments through the Aperture and Lightmeter tools, and neither party needs to run a Lightning node; payments are processed by the Ark-based Wavelength wallet. The demonstration price is approximately $0.375 per million input tokens and $1.5 per million output tokens.

According to Gate market data, the Nasdaq Composite Index opened down 356.43 points on November 12, a decrease of 1.4%, reporting at 25,109.76 points; the S&P 500 Index opened down 50.23 points, a decrease of 0.66%, reporting at 7,569.11 points; the Dow Jones Index opened up 34.16 points, an increase of 0.07%, reporting at 52,520.65 points.

The Lightning Network project Lnfi Network tweeted that its withdrawal service has been restored.Previously, Lnfi Network tweeted that the team had discovered issues related to withdrawals and was in the process of maintenance and repair. The withdrawal function had been temporarily suspended, and the pending withdrawal amounts would be fully refunded to the users' balances.

The development team Sigma Prime of the Ethereum consensus client Lighthouse has released a high-priority security update and recommends node operators to complete the upgrade as soon as possible. The official statement indicates that specific details of the vulnerability will be disclosed after operators have had sufficient time to complete the upgrade.This update does not introduce any disruptive changes. Lighthouse is one of the mainstream clients of the Ethereum consensus layer, developed and maintained by the Sigma Prime team.

The Lightning Network project Lnfi Network tweeted that the team has discovered issues related to withdrawals and is currently performing maintenance and repairs. The withdrawal function has been temporarily suspended, and the pending withdrawal amounts will be fully refunded to the user balance. The team stated that they will provide updates as soon as maintenance is completed and services are restored.

According to Gate market data, Nasdaq futures opened nearly 1% lower on Monday, while Dow futures slightly declined.

According to the official announcement from LNbits, the Lightning Network wallet and account system LNbits has encountered a wave of attacks, urging all users to immediately stop their LNbits servers.LNbits stated that the team needs to push multiple security patches and will take precautionary measures before the patches are released, and will announce further developments as soon as possible.

The Bitcoin wallet Electrum announced the release of version 4.8.4 on platform X, stating that this is another security update. According to the GitHub changelog, the release date of this version is November 6, and it fixes vulnerabilities related to Lightning Network onion messages: malformed onion messages from arbitrary sources may cause Electrum to disconnect from its channel peer nodes.Electrum will currently discard all incoming onion messages until practical use cases are implemented. In addition, the new version also fixes issues such as the failure to recover some mnemonic phrases from versions prior to 2. The previous version of Electrum, 4.8.3, was released in late October and fixed a high-risk vulnerability that had been exploited in the wild.

Preliminary research from the University of Michigan shows that the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index has slightly increased by about 6%. Although consumer confidence among low-wealth and middle-wealth individuals has improved, confidence among high-wealth consumers has decreased by 5%. High prices are eroding living standards, with 57% of respondents mentioning cost of living issues.Inflation expectations for the coming year have dropped to 4.3%, while long-term inflation expectations have decreased to 3.4%.

The Bitcoin Lightning Network client Core Lightning released version 26.06.10, which fixes risks related to channel balances and vulnerabilities that could lead to remote crashes of nodes. The official team urges node operators to complete the upgrade as soon as possible.The maintenance team stated that to provide a window for node operators to upgrade, the test cases related to the above fixes have not been made public, and relevant details will be disclosed after the nodes complete the update.

Andrew Canobi, the Head of Fixed Income at Franklin Templeton Australia, stated that the initial financial market reaction triggered by the U.S. midterm elections can be summarized as a slight shift of funds from stocks to bonds, reflecting a certain risk-averse tendency.He added that if the Democrats control Congress, the market may view this as a constraint on U.S. President Trump's growth agenda, particularly in the fields of artificial intelligence and resources. Additionally, as traders believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia may be close to ending interest rate hikes, the yield on Australian three-year government bonds has fallen by 15 basis points since the beginning of this week.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 6 basis points to 4.573%, while federal funds rate futures rose slightly.

Bonk Guy posted that BTC has fallen from about $79,000 to about $77,000, with most altcoins following with slight declines, but overall performance is stronger than BTC.He believes that Binance seems to have repurchased most of the stolen tokens from the theft incident, with the involved funds amounting to about $6.3 billion, of which about half (approximately $3 billion) has been frozen and is expected to be returned to Binance, while the remaining portion is also expected to recover most of it within a reasonable timeframe.Bonk Guy assesses that BTC may dip slightly again to form a local low, after which the market may turn positive in the coming weeks to months, and most of the downward pressure on altcoins may have been released, leaning towards going long on altcoins and gradually dollar-cost averaging during pullbacks.

Due to the sell-off of technology stocks triggering a demand for safe-haven assets, U.S. Treasury yields accelerated their rise during the Asian trading session on Friday, with yields on all maturities falling by at least 3 basis points. Bonds from Australia, Japan, and New Zealand followed suit, with the 10-year government bond yield dropping by more than 5 basis points.In October, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has fallen by nearly 40 basis points.

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng responded to DeFiLlama founder 0xngmi's analysis regarding Binance's asset losses, stating that the losses may be slightly over 1 billion dollars, but Binance will bear the related losses.Previously, 0xngmi posted that Binance's managed asset scale is approximately 144 billion dollars. After USDT and USDC were frozen, the expected final loss is about 1 billion dollars, which only accounts for 0.69% of its total managed assets. Binance can cover this portion of the loss through its balance sheet.

Microsoft expects its Azure cloud business revenue to grow by 49% to 50% in the second fiscal quarter, with total revenue reaching between 96 billion and 97.1 billion dollars.Revenue from the Intelligent Cloud and Infrastructure segment is expected to be between 80.1 billion and 80.7 billion dollars, while revenue from the Devices and Consumer segment is projected to be between 15.9 billion and 16.4 billion dollars. Microsoft also anticipates that capital expenditures in the second fiscal quarter will exceed 50 billion dollars.