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According to Jinshi reports, Isabelle Mateos y Lago, Chief Economist at BNP Paribas, stated that if the non-farm payroll numbers in July are close to or exceed 130,000, the Federal Reserve's meeting will be full of suspense. Currently, the short-term interest rate futures market expects the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the July 29 decision to be about 20%, down from 33% before the non-farm report was released.Lago also mentioned that the European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates again in September, but did not rule out the possibility of not making additional rate hikes.

According to Public Citizen data, Ripple, Coinbase, and other cryptocurrency companies contributed $189 million to the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. Cryptocurrency companies accounted for 37% of the total $517 million in corporate political donations. Previously, during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, political donations from the cryptocurrency industry were approximately $160 million, and the cryptocurrency industry accelerated lobbying after the Trump administration took office, seeking to solidify the results of regulatory loosening.

Renowned analyst PlanB stated that Bitcoin is likely to bottom out only after falling below the realized price (around $53,000), just like what happened in previous bear markets. Currently, the curve representing the realized price has been almost overlapping with the black curve representing the 200-week geometric moving average since 2023.

According to the latest industry reports and corporate disclosure documents, the technology industry is experiencing a large-scale wave of layoffs driven by artificial intelligence (AI) in 2026. Despite several companies achieving record high revenues, major tech giants are intensively restructuring their organizational frameworks to reallocate funds towards AI infrastructure development and to enhance operational efficiency through AI. Data shows that in May of this year, the number of layoffs in the tech industry reached the highest monthly record in years, with AI being the core reason for the layoffs.On the execution level, several leading companies have implemented large-scale personnel reductions. Oracle's latest documents reveal that in the past 12 months, 21,000 employees (approximately 13% of the total workforce) have been laid off due to internal AI technology deployment. Amazon cut 16,000 corporate positions in January this year, with management expecting that the widespread application of generative AI will significantly reduce the demand for traditional roles. While Meta laid off about 8,000 employees, nearly 7,000 were reorganized into core AI business positions. Block significantly reduced its workforce by 4,000, nearly halving its total number of employees to adapt to the flattened operational model brought about by AI tools.Additionally, companies including Cisco (4,000 people), Intuit (3,000 people), Atlassian (1,600 people), Cloudflare (1,100 people), Snap (1,000 people), as well as Coinbase, Salesforce, and others have announced substantial layoff plans related to AI transformation this year. At the same time, although Google, Microsoft, and IBM have not disclosed specific total layoff numbers, they are also continuously advancing rolling job replacements and restructuring linked to AI strategies.

According to Cointelegraph, Chainlink has launched a data stream for Asia-Pacific stocks, bringing real-time data from major Asian companies such as Samsung, Toyota, Sony, and SK Hynix on-chain.

In response to Ethereum core developer Trent Van Epps' lengthy article pointing out that Ethereum is entering a critical institutional turning point, including legitimacy distribution, governance structure evolution, and potential protocol funding crises, Tom Lee, chairman of the Ethereum treasury company Bitmine, responded by stating that the possibility of such a crisis occurring in Ethereum is zero, and wrote "Funding secured."Data shows that Bitmine has been increasing its holdings in Ethereum weekly, with the total holdings now exceeding 5.62 million coins.

According to Jinshi, JPMorgan Asset Management strategist Xu Changtai stated in a report that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to adjust interest rates this year, as the committee seems to be patient with the current policy rate. Xu Changtai pointed out that the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and completely removed any dovish tendencies from the policy statement. As the Federal Reserve's initial stance was interpreted by the market as hawkish, U.S. Treasury yields rose, while U.S. stocks fell overnight.

J.P. Morgan strategist Tarek Hamid and his team have raised their forecast for total investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure by 2030 to $5.5 trillion in a recent research report, an increase of $400 billion from their prediction last November. The bank noted that in this investment race for super-scale data centers, approximately $4.1 trillion will come from debt financing, with loans covering an average of 85% of total project costs, indicating that AI capital expenditures have shifted to a debt market-centric financing model.Since last November, global bond issuance related to AI and data centers has exceeded $300 billion. The latest typical case comes from chip giant NVIDIA, which completed the pricing of a $25 billion investment-grade bond issuance this Monday, marking its return to the bond market for the first time in five years. This issuance was conducted in seven tranches (with maturities ranging from 2 to 30 years) and attracted oversubscription of up to $85 billion, ultimately increasing the issuance size by 25% from the initial target.The research report emphasizes that although tech giants like NVIDIA, Alphabet, and Amazon are generating substantial cash flow from the AI boom (with NVIDIA estimating free cash flow exceeding $200 billion this fiscal year), these giants still choose to issue hundreds of billions of dollars in bonds. This indicates that such bond issuance is not due to a "lack of financing," but rather that the credit market is confirming the pricing of AI assets.

According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts stated in their latest report that although Strategy's previous sale of 32 bitcoins caused market fluctuations, it was merely a symbolic operation, and the real issue lies in the lack of demand from new investors.The report pointed out that Strategy's current dollar reserves are only sufficient to cover about 6.3 months of preferred stock dividends, and it is recommended that they rebuild their dollar reserves to restore investor confidence. JPMorgan also lowered its expectations, believing that the likelihood of the U.S. crypto market structure bill (Clarity Act) passing this year is now below 50%, and has shifted to a cautious stance on digital assets as a whole.Nevertheless, analysts still expect Strategy to continue buying bitcoins and believe that the current market weakness may become a bullish reversal signal in the future.

According to Bloomberg, large IPO candidates including SpaceX may have to wait several years to be included in the S&P 500 index.The reason is that S&P Dow Jones Indices has refused to relax the criteria for inclusion of constituent stocks, maintaining the requirement for companies to achieve positive net income over the past year (including the most recent quarter). This decision was made by its index committee after a month of discussions, meaning that large newly listed companies that have not yet met the conditions for sustained profitability will still find it difficult to enter the index in the short term.

Regarding BTC briefly dropping below $60,000, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong stated on the X platform, "Many people still believe or feel that a drop in Bitcoin means a drop in cryptocurrency. However, derivatives, perpetual contracts, stablecoins, prediction markets, and more are all on the rise.Cryptocurrency involves various fields of finance, and now it covers a broader scope than Bitcoin. It will take some time for people to truly understand this. Of course, Bitcoin will perform excellently in the future and will remain as important as ever; this is just one of the many cycles we are experiencing."

S&P Global stated that it will maintain its existing eligibility requirements for major benchmark indices such as the S&P 500, rejecting proposals to expedite the inclusion of large companies like SpaceX into the benchmark index after their IPOs. On Thursday, S&P Dow Jones Indices noted in a press release that it will not shorten the current 12-month "maturity period" set for newly listed companies, nor will it waive existing profitability and public float requirements based on company size.This means that SpaceX will not be eligible for inclusion in the S&P 500 until at least one year after its IPO and must also meet the existing profitability and public float requirements of the index, which state that the company must be profitable according to GAAP in the most recent quarter and in the total of the most recent four quarters, and that the public float must be no less than 50%.

According to CoinDesk, FalconX stated that on certain trading days, its trading volume on the decentralized derivatives platform Hyperliquid has surpassed that of Ethereum. Institutions and hedge funds are shifting from the range-bound Bitcoin and Ethereum to more volatile assets such as HYPE, Zcash, Venice, and AI concept tokens.FalconX pointed out that amid macro uncertainty and the outflow of funds from spot ETFs, the implied volatility of BTC and ETH is close to historical lows, and funds are seeking higher volatility targets. Hyperliquid attracts institutional funds looking to trade diverse assets in a 24/7 crypto-native environment by offering perpetual contracts for pre-IPO companies like SpaceX, tokenized stocks, commodities, and prediction markets. The platform's revenue is projected to be around $800 million in 2025.

Block's payment application Cash App now supports users in sending and receiving USDC stablecoins issued by Circle on Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, and Arbitrum, with no fees currently charged for related transfers.The stablecoins received by Cash App will be automatically converted to a dollar balance. This feature is not yet available to customers in New York State, and users must complete identity verification and are subject to transaction limits.Block has previously focused on Bitcoin, including the development of mining hardware and the self-custody wallet BitKey; Jack Dorsey stated earlier this year that stablecoins represent "a shift from one gatekeeper to another," while acknowledging the growing customer demand.

Investment bank TD Cowen's Washington research team managing director Jaret Seiberg released a report on Tuesday stating that the political environment surrounding the CLARITY Act is continuing to deteriorate, and the likelihood of this cryptocurrency market structure bill passing this year is decreasing. Seiberg pointed out that recent controversies involving President Trump make it difficult for Democrats to support the bill without a conflict of interest clause.Seiberg indicated that these events have increased pressure on Democrats to include a conflict of interest clause targeting the president, while also making Republicans reluctant to push legislation that could force them to vote against related amendments. He anticipates that lawmakers may choose to wait and see, but there is limited room for further delays given the upcoming midterm elections. He previously mentioned that the legislative window could extend until the August recess, and if not resolved this year, the passage time could be pushed back to 2027.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said on Tuesday that the rapid development and application of artificial intelligence will not lead to a global "job apocalypse," and that this technology has not taken away as many white-collar jobs as he previously feared. He stated that when OpenAI launched ChatGPT in 2022, the company's predictions about the development of technology were "basically correct," but their judgments about the social and economic impacts were "quite wrong.""I am glad that I misjudged this matter; I originally thought that by now, the elimination of junior white-collar jobs would be more severe than it actually is. Now I feel I understand better why that hasn't happened, and I am obviously relieved about it." An increasing number of global companies have announced that some positions within their organizations are being replaced by artificial intelligence. Altman noted that he realizes that despite AI playing an increasingly positive role in many industries and positions, there remains an irreplaceable "human aspect" in employment, and much of the interpersonal interaction required for many jobs will not be replaced by AI.