ChainCatcher news, Greeks.live analyst Adam released the market outlook for this week (January 27 to February 2). The upcoming Lunar New Year will lead to a temporary decrease in market influence from Chinese-speaking users. Despite frequent economic policy announcements from Trump during his first week in office, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged this week remains as high as 98%. The market is focused on the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank's interest rate decisions on Thursday, with the Bank of Japan's rate hike already implemented and expectations for continued rate cuts in the Eurozone.In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin is currently fluctuating above $100,000, and the cooling of the TRUMP meme market has led to a dispersion of market enthusiasm. The options market shows a significant decrease in uncertainty, with the at-the-money implied volatility (IV) dropping below 55% for the week, and the full-term at-the-money IV falling below 60%. Recently, there has been a large volume of institutional bullish options trades, but after the rate hike was confirmed, institutions began to significantly increase their short positions. The Bitfinex interest rate market is performing steadily, and it is recommended to actively monitor suitable interest rate orders during market fluctuations.In terms of regulation, new EU regulations require cryptocurrency exchanges to comply with travel rule guidelines and strengthen anti-money laundering measures. Exchanges like Deribit must improve their KYC processes to operate normally. Important events this week include: Wednesday's Bank of Canada interest rate decision (22:45), Thursday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision (05:30) and European Central Bank deposit facility rate (21:15), as well as Friday's U.S. December core PCE price index (21:30).

ChainCatcher news, Mitsubishi UFJ analyst Lee Hardman stated in a report that the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision has increased the likelihood of further appreciation of the dollar in the first half of 2025. It is expected that U.S. interest rates will remain at a high level for a longer period, creating a greater policy divergence with other major central banks. The expectation of widening policy divergence, coupled with the imminent risk of higher tariffs at the beginning of Trump's second term, will continue to put upward pressure on the dollar next year. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, as Trump wins the U.S. election, the market is closely watching the potential impact on tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Analysts from several financial institutions have expressed their views on this:Jefferies: Powell may not explicitly discuss the issue of increased spending after Trump's victory, but he knows in his heart the driving effect it has on the economy.Bank of America: The Federal Reserve may currently overlook the impact of tariffs on inflation, viewing it as a short-term price fluctuation, and focus on the consequences of negative growth.Standard Chartered Bank: The Fed does not want to surprise the market before it digests the election's impact, but the probability of holding steady has increased.Pantheon Macroeconomics: Although the Fed will still cut rates today, the impending arrival of Trump in the White House may weaken the Fed's rate-cutting space.JPMorgan: With the election settled before the Fed meeting, a rate cut still stands, requiring a cautious approach to forward guidance.DBS Bank: The real federal funds rate has risen to 2.6%, so regardless of the U.S. election outcome, the Fed has room to cut rates this week.Nordea Bank: The impact of Trump's policies on inflation will take some time to manifest, and the Fed's dovish stance will take time to eliminate.Swedbank: The Fed will not incorporate Trump's victory into its recent decisions until there is a clear understanding of the new policies and their impacts.Amerivet Securities: Trump's victory will not change the prospect of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed tonight, but the central bank needs to remain vigilant in the future.Natixis: Trump's tax policies may lead to rising inflationary pressures and an expanding fiscal deficit, potentially weakening the Fed's dovish stance.