election

Fox News reporter Aishah Hasnie cited sources revealing that Trump will begin to utilize approximately $400 million from his personal super PAC "MAGA Inc" to support Republicans facing campaign pressure in the midterm elections this November.

Citi stated that it remains optimistic about the stock market performance and advises investors to consider increasing equity asset allocation if the market experiences a pullback before the U.S. midterm elections. It currently maintains an "overweight" view on U.S. stocks, believing that corporate earnings expectations are improving and the market liquidity environment is becoming more accommodative. Despite recent concerns related to artificial intelligence, there are no significant risk signals in the overall market.Citi continues to be optimistic about the U.S. stock market and believes that sector rotation may limit the market's downside potential. Historical data shows that the market often experiences a strong year-end performance following a weak phase before the U.S. midterm elections, suggesting that there may be opportunities to buy on dips currently.

A senior Iranian official stated that Tehran plans to attack oil export facilities in the Gulf region, targeting the Saudi Yanbu pipeline and the UAE Fujairah oil terminal, with the aim of driving up gasoline prices in the U.S. and influencing the midterm elections in November.The two facilities together handle about 5.5 million barrels of oil per day.

According to a report by Reuters, American companies have invested a record $517 million in the congressional elections for the House and Senate in 2026 over the 15 months ending in the first quarter of 2026, surpassing the previous high of $461 million during the two-year 2024 election cycle. The cryptocurrency, technology, and online betting industries contributed at least $294 million, becoming a major force in shaping the midterm elections.The Fairshake super PAC, primarily funded by Coinbase, Ripple, and a16z, had $193 million in funding at the beginning of the year and currently has about $130 million remaining; a16z has donated over $81 million to cryptocurrency and AI-related PACs. Elon Musk has invested over $90 million, and Meta has donated $65 million to four super PACs. The AI-related organization Leading the Future has raised $140 million, and Anthropic has donated at least $40 million through dark money non-profit organizations. Online betting companies like DraftKings and FanDuel have donated over $72 million.AdImpact expects total political ad spending for this round of midterm elections to reach a record $11.6 billion. Related industries are making unlimited expenditures through super PACs, affiliated PACs, and dark money non-profit organizations for advertising, voter mobilization, and more, with critics arguing that this amplifies the influence of niche issues such as cryptocurrency regulation, data center energy, and betting regulation.

According to Axios, the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) warned in an internal memo to top AI companies that the negative public perception of data centers in the U.S. is harming the party's chances of retaining a key Senate seat in Ohio. The memo pointed out that Democrats have made data centers a core issue in defeating Republican Senator Jon Husted, and it has been effective, stating that if he loses and blames it on data centers, politicians nationwide will avoid future projects, making this issue a potential focal point of the current election cycle.The memo, titled "Ohio Data Center Risks," urges AI companies to improve perceptions by explaining "who benefits, who pays, and why the community should welcome" them. Currently, over 4,000 data centers are operating across the U.S., with more than 3,000 under construction or planned to support AI development. However, they are facing protests due to high electricity and water consumption, rising utility costs, limited job opportunities, and concerns about AI job displacement. Internal polling shows their unpopularity is close to that of nuclear waste and has become a proxy indicator of sentiment towards AI.Husted's opponent, former Senator Sherrod Brown, has invested millions in advertising, calling him the "Ohio data center spokesperson." A Fox News poll shows Brown leading by 8 percentage points. Republicans hope that AI companies can curb the backlash; otherwise, Husted's defeat will cause lasting damage to data center development nationwide. Democrats are also acting based on polling, with Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro signing an executive order imposing strict restrictions on data center development.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "Brazil Presidential Election" event is currently among the hottest trading topics on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching $1.255 billion. The option with the highest market consensus is "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva," corresponding to a winning probability of about 65.5%.

The Washington State Court has ordered the prediction market platform Kalshi to cease offering prediction services related to sports, elections, politics, entertainment, culture, technology, and science, due to its violation of the state's gambling laws.The court also requires Kalshi to implement geofencing technology by September 2 to prevent users in Washington State from accessing the relevant services.

According to official news, Gate has launched the AI Potential Stocks feature. This feature will scan market volume and price anomalies, major events, industry news, and related news clues through AI before each trading day, helping users quickly understand the main themes that the market may focus on that day, the relevant reasons, and the subsequent transmission direction. The AI Potential Stocks feature is the first to introduce AI research capabilities and supply chain analysis into the cryptocurrency industry market research scenario, upgrading the AI-driven pre-market investment research experience. This feature will focus on markets such as US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and Korean stocks, selecting 2-3 stock clues that have capital verification, news support, and may not have been fully noticed yet. The content will revolve around three dimensions: "what to pay attention to, why to pay attention, and how the impact extends," helping users efficiently complete pre-market information screening.AI Potential Stocks focuses on market theme rotation, volume and price anomalies, and major news signals, helping users understand the logic behind changes in market focus rather than simply displaying popular stocks. In addition, Gate will continue to improve its push notification capabilities around AI Potential Stocks, forming a mechanism for timely pre-market summaries, major event reminders, and personalized attention updates. The AI Potential Stocks feature is now supported on Gate App v8.31.0 and above; users can access this feature through the bottom navigation bar [TradFi] - [Stocks] list; web users can enter through the market page or directly visit the feature page to use it. In the future, Gate will continuously deepen the construction of AI research capabilities, improve the AI-driven investment research analysis system, and continuously optimize event version content, major event reminders, and personalized summaries around AI Potential Stocks, gradually forming a mechanism for information delivery that combines pre-market summaries, event reminders, and user attention updates, providing users with more timely and clear market references.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Clacton By-Election: Farage's Vote Share" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Farage 60--70%" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 28.85% an hour ago to the current 67.75% (a fluctuation of 38.9%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Clacton By-Election: Farage's Vote Share" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Farage 80%+" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, plummeting from 48.5% an hour ago to the current 30.5% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The U.S. Senate has postponed the vote on the CLARITY Act until after the summer recess, increasing uncertainty about the bill's passage in the short term.The CLARITY Act had previously received bipartisan support in the House of Representatives and aims to establish a federal regulatory framework for digital assets, clarify the responsibilities of different regulatory agencies, and promote the further integration of crypto assets into the U.S. financial system.North Carolina Republican Senator Thom Tillis stated that with the vote postponed until September, the probability of the bill's final passage "may have decreased by 50%." Wyoming Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis, who is responsible for pushing the negotiations, indicated that discussions have been ongoing for nearly 11 months, the bill text has increased by about 300 pages, and it has responded to numerous amendment requests from Democrats, and it should now enter the voting phase.Currently, Democrats still oppose the existing version, with the main disagreement centered on the restrictions on government officials' interests in crypto assets. Democrats believe that the current version does not adequately limit federal officials' investments and promotion of crypto assets, nor does it require relevant personnel to fully divest from related holdings, while also seeking to grant state attorneys general stronger enforcement powers.Some Democratic and Republican lawmakers had previously pushed for the inclusion of stricter ethical oversight provisions, but negotiations are still ongoing. Democrats are particularly concerned about the connections between Trump and his family with crypto projects like World Liberty Financial.Previously, the crypto industry hoped the Senate could advance procedural voting before the summer recess to adjust political investments during the 2026 midterm elections based on legislative progress. Data shows that the crypto industry's main political action committee, Fairshake, held nearly $200 million in cash reserves at the beginning of this cycle.

According to Jinshi reports, as the midterm elections approach, American Republicans are beginning to consider raising the debt ceiling again.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "2028 Presidential Election Winner" event is currently among the hottest trades on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching $67.344 billion. The option with the highest market consensus is "JD Vance," corresponding to an estimated winning probability of about 20.05%.

According to BeInCrypto, El Salvador's two major opposition parties, ARENA and FMLN, have nominated Maytee Iraheta and Rafael Aguirre, respectively, as candidates for the presidential election in February 2027, challenging the re-election campaign of current President Nayib Bukele. Both candidates have not supported Bukele's Bitcoin strategy and have publicly criticized it as a financial failure.Bukele's New Ideas party has nominated him to run, with his approval rating reaching as high as 94% in recent polls, but this support mainly comes from improvements in public safety rather than Bitcoin policy—polls show that only 2.2% of Salvadorans believe Bitcoin is their biggest failure. Bitcoin is no longer mandatory legal tender in the country following the IMF loan agreement in February 2025, with the dollar resuming its status as the only official currency for daily transactions. However, the El Salvador Bitcoin Office continues to buy Bitcoin, acquiring about 1 BTC daily, and as of July 27, its holdings have risen to approximately 7,730 BTC. The IMF has repeatedly warned that the Bitcoin strategy poses financial and governance risks and has not significantly improved financial inclusivity for unbanked residents. The next president will decide whether this accumulation continues.

According to Bits.media, Anatoly Aksakov, chairman of the Financial Market Committee of the State Duma of Russia, stated that the second and third readings of the criminal liability bill for illegal cryptocurrency transactions will be postponed until the new State Duma is reviewed. The reason is that the Duma's spring session will end on July 27, and there will be an election recess from August to September, with the Duma election voting ending on September 20. Therefore, the review will not resume until the autumn session at the earliest.The bill completed its first reading in early July, with a maximum penalty of 7 years in prison for organizing illegal cryptocurrency circulation. The relevant penalty provisions are proposed to officially take effect on July 1, 2027. Under the current regulatory framework, Russian citizens can only buy and sell cryptocurrencies through institutions holding a license from the Central Bank of Russia, and P2P and over-the-counter transactions may face criminal liability. Aksakov denied concerns that the bill would affect cryptocurrency exchanges and P2P users, stating that the related worries are "unfounded." Meanwhile, another Russian government initiative to strengthen state control over cryptocurrencies, the "Digital Currency and Digital Rights Law," has also been postponed, with the original timelines for implementation in July and September now missed.

According to Public Citizen data, Ripple, Coinbase, and other cryptocurrency companies contributed $189 million to the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. Cryptocurrency companies accounted for 37% of the total $517 million in corporate political donations. Previously, during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, political donations from the cryptocurrency industry were approximately $160 million, and the cryptocurrency industry accelerated lobbying after the Trump administration took office, seeking to solidify the results of regulatory loosening.

According to CoinDesk, U.S. President Trump refused to sign a bipartisan housing bill that includes a four-year ban on the central bank digital currency (CBDC), temporarily canceling the scheduled signing ceremony and demanding that Congress first pass his proposed SAVE AMERICA ACT election bill.The CBDC provision in the housing bill would prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a digital dollar before the end of 2030, which was originally seen as an important advancement by the cryptocurrency industry.

According to Cointelegraph, crypto-related political action committees (PACs) and industry executives have invested over $500 million in the 2026 U.S. elections.Follow the Crypto data shows that crypto industry companies and related individuals have contributed over $320 million, and crypto-related PACs still hold over $245 million in cash; among them, Republican-related candidates/committees received about $127 million in support, significantly higher than the approximately $11.5 million for Democrats.

According to Cointelegraph, NYDIG research director Greg Cipolaro stated that if the U.S. Senate's cryptocurrency market structure bill does not pass before August, it may completely fail after the midterm elections. Cipolaro pointed out that the Senate Banking Committee passed the bill along party lines last week, but it needs 60 votes to pass in the Senate. Congress will be in recess from late July to early September, and then enter the pre-midterm election period, making it unlikely that Senate leadership will schedule a controversial 60-vote vote.If this window is missed, the most likely path is a post-election lame-duck session. If the Democrats control the Senate after the midterm elections, the current Republican-supported bill is unlikely to advance in the new Congress in January. Cipolaro stated that lawmakers face a choice: either accept an imperfect bipartisan framework or confront a drastically different legislative environment after the midterm elections. The White House's cryptocurrency advisors previously aimed to pass the bill by July 4, but Cipolaro believes a more realistic window is from June to early August.