CoW

TD Cowen: Trump's crypto business may hinder U.S. regulatory legislation, political risks are rising

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, investment bank TD Cowen pointed out that the Trump family's cryptocurrency business (including the planned launch of a stablecoin) could trigger a backlash and delay the U.S. regulatory process. Despite lawmakers accelerating the push for cryptocurrency regulations, political risks are on the rise.Jaret Seiberg, head of TD Cowen's Washington research team, wrote in a report on Monday: "We are concerned that political threats may escalate to a level that could undermine legislative and regulatory reforms in the cryptocurrency space. While we do not currently see political risks that could completely disrupt the cryptocurrency industry, the risks are rising rather than falling, which is a key factor we believe investors need to pay attention to." Currently, Washington lawmakers and regulators are making progress in cryptocurrency legislation and guideline development. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has withdrawn several cryptocurrency lawsuits, and lawmakers are proposing frameworks for regulating stablecoins and market structures.Seiberg mentioned that last week, SEC Acting Chair Mark Uyeda also hinted that the SEC might provide exemptions for cryptocurrency trading platforms and traditional exchanges wishing to trade tokenized securities. However, Seiberg stated that this momentum could be threatened by the controversies arising from the Trump family's involvement in the cryptocurrency space, including their planned launch of a stablecoin. "We are increasingly concerned that the Trump family's business activities and their government actions could provoke a strong backlash, derailing positive government actions." Seiberg also pointed out concerns over the Trump administration's shift in anti-money laundering policies, such as lifting sanctions on the cryptocurrency mixer Tornado Cash and the Justice Department's reduction in prosecutions of cryptocurrency money laundering cases.

TD Cowen: Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Resigns, Uncertain Outlook for Stablecoin Regulation

ChainCatcher news, Jaret Seiberg of TD Cowen Washington Research Group stated that the resignation of Federal Reserve Vice Chair Barr "is not as much of a victory for big banks as it appears on the surface."Seiberg noted in a report on Monday: "The Democrats will retain their majority on the Federal Reserve Board until early 2026, and given the need to confirm new regulatory officials, it is hard to see significant progress on regulatory easing this year."Barr has called for regulation of stablecoins over the past year and stated that stablecoins "borrow the trust of central banks." "The Federal Reserve is very eager to ensure that any issuance of stablecoins operates within an appropriate federal prudential regulatory framework so that they do not threaten financial stability or the integrity of the payment system," Barr said at a conference in Washington, D.C. in October 2023.For years, lawmakers have been working on legislation to regulate stablecoins, but the crux of the issue lies in how to allocate regulatory authority between state and federal levels. (The Block)In news from yesterday, Federal Reserve's Barr announced that he will resign from the position of Vice Chair for Supervision on February 28, 2025. The Federal Reserve's statement indicated that Barr will continue to serve as a governor of the Federal Reserve but does not intend to engage in significant rulemaking until a successor to the vice chair position is determined. Barr stated in the announcement that the "controversy" surrounding his position could distract the Federal Reserve's focus.
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