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AAVE $68.33 +1.39%
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XLM $0.1884 +0.00%
ZEC $470.50 +10.96%

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Standard Chartered Bank: The cryptocurrency market has reached a cyclical bottom, and Bitcoin is expected to return to $100,000 by the end of the year

According to CoinDesk, Standard Chartered Bank analyst Geoffrey Kendrick stated in a report on Friday that the cryptocurrency market has reached the final bottom of this monetary cycle. The cycle low for Bitcoin is currently set at $59,000, down 53% from the historical high of $126,000 reached on October 6. Kendrick expects that by the end of this year, the price of Ethereum will reach $4,000, and the price of Bitcoin will reach $100,000.He pointed out that there are two core factors supporting this market rebound. First, in recent weeks, Bitcoin spot ETFs have faced the most severe sell-off since their inception. Since the second week of May, total redemptions have exceeded $5.72 billion. He also noted that it is rumored that ETF holders have been liquidating their positions to free up funds to participate in SpaceX's initial public offering (IPO). Kendrick stated that SpaceX's IPO this Friday could end the current selling pressure.Second, if the G7-related peace agreement reached between the U.S. and Iran is true, it would help prevent oil prices from skyrocketing. A decline in oil prices would suppress the rising U.S. Treasury yields, thereby alleviating the macro pressure on the cryptocurrency market. To confirm that the market bottom is solid, Kendrick will closely monitor in the coming days: the news on Monday about Strategy (MSTR) increasing its Bitcoin holdings this week; whether the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF can restore net inflows this Friday.

The Bank of Japan may face its highest interest rate decision in over 30 years, and concerns about severe fluctuations in the yen have arisen as the deputy governor takes over

The Bank of Japan will hold a key monetary policy meeting next Tuesday, with the market widely expecting an interest rate hike of 25 basis points to 1%, marking the highest interest rate level since 1995 and signaling a further move towards normalization of Japan's monetary policy. However, uncertainty surrounding this meeting has significantly increased. Governor Kazuo Ueda will be absent from the meeting and the subsequent press conference due to health reasons, with communication responsibilities taken over by Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida, raising market concerns about changes in policy wording and forward guidance.Currently, the USD/JPY has risen above 160, nearing a two-year high and approaching the intervention zone. Traders generally believe that, given the market has fully priced in the interest rate hike expectations, the real key lies in the central bank's stance on the future path of interest rate hikes. Institutional analysis indicates that if the Bank of Japan releases dovish signals, it could further weaken the yen and push up Japanese government bond yields; conversely, if it shows a clearer tightening tendency, it would help stabilize exchange rate expectations.At the same time, Japan is facing multiple constraints such as rising imported inflationary pressures, fluctuations in energy prices, and expectations of fiscal expansion, making the policy path more complex. The latest data shows that Japan's core inflation has risen to 3.5%, reaching a new high for this phase. Analysts believe that this meeting is not only a point for interest rate adjustments but may also serve as an important observation window for changes in the Bank of Japan's policy communication framework, with the Deputy Governor's statements directly influencing the short-term direction of the yen and global interest rate markets.

PiggyBank discloses details of the LAB basis trading manipulation incident and will compensate affected users

PiggyBank released a detailed report on the LAB incident on June 6, stating that the protocol experienced a net withdrawal of approximately $579,000 on June 6, primarily due to a LAB token basis trade being manipulated by the market.In early May, PiggyBank purchased 142,800 locked LAB tokens (approximately $102,500) through an OTC intermediary while simultaneously opening a perpetual contract short hedge. However, market participants continuously maintained the spot price above the perpetual contract price, resulting in a deeply negative funding rate (annualized -17,000%), and the high hedging costs forced the shorts to close, resulting in a loss of approximately $476,000. The currently locked LAB tokens have a spot value of about $1 million, but due to poor liquidity and lack of hedging, they have been excluded from the NAV calculation.PiggyBank will undergo structural reforms: increasing transparency of on-chain mechanisms, strategy logic, and fund allocation will be publicly verifiable, while basis trading and funding rate arbitrage will be gradually phased out. In terms of compensation, affected users will receive USDC compensation based on actual losses, with funding sources including NAV discrepancies, future LAB sales (expected to unlock from August 14 to October 14, currently valued at approximately $1 million), and 50% of future platform revenue. All users recorded in the snapshot on June 6 are eligible for compensation.
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