BULLISH

Bitwise: The bullish sentiment of institutions is correct, and buying altcoins now may yield substantial returns in the long run

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated in a report to clients on Wednesday that there is an interesting dichotomy between institutional and retail investors in the cryptocurrency space. On one hand, institutional investors have the most optimistic sentiment towards cryptocurrencies in history, while retail investors are sinking into despair. Investment professionals now view cryptocurrencies as a field where institutional capital is being allocated through ETFs at record amounts, and Washington has transformed from being one of the "biggest threats" to the industry to being one of the biggest supporters under the Trump administration, with nation-states potentially adopting the industry further.However, for retail investors, "it's almost like living in another reality," as Bitwise's own on-chain sentiment score shows one of the lowest readings ever. This index aligns with other sentiment indicators and the overall atmosphere of "crypto Twitter," where retail investors feel disheartened as their investments in altcoins have underperformed compared to Bitcoin, with only a few exceptions.Matt Hougan expressed his strong belief that institutions are correct, noting that so far this year, ETFs and corporations have purchased over 100,000 BTC, while the amount of BTC mined is 18,000. Moreover, in the long term, the allocation to altcoins is "stronger than at any time in history," but the situation for altcoins is more complex. As the regulatory agenda becomes clearer, the U.S. prioritizes stablecoins as a "national priority," and institutional confidence continues to grow, the crypto industry is bound to push DeFi applications to the mainstream, with impacts that are undeniable and unstoppable.

Matrixport: The current trend model remains bearish, but it will turn bullish if it breaks above $103,000

ChainCatcher news, Matrixport indicates that according to the Bollinger Bands measurements, the lower band of Bitcoin is gradually expanding, showing an increased risk of decline, but after a reversal, it may provide a favorable risk/reward entry point for bulls. Currently, the greed and fear index is close to the critical 10% level, and the 30-day rolling return rate is close to 10%. These indicators typically suggest that the downtrend may slow or reverse.Although Bitcoin remains above the 21-week moving average and is technically in a bull market, the momentum has turned bearish. The minting and trading volume of stablecoins has significantly decreased, DeFi activity has reduced, Bitcoin's dominance has risen, and funds have flowed back from altcoins to Bitcoin, leading to a weakening of market speculative sentiment.Historical data shows that when Bitcoin rises over 40% within 30 days, it usually peaks or enters a consolidation phase. Currently, the trend model remains bearish, but it will turn bullish if it breaks above $103,000. As the consolidation period extends, the trigger point for bullish signals decreases, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.Bitcoin is currently attempting to maintain the $90,000 level, primarily driven by the flow of funds back from altcoins rather than new capital inflows. The market trend is momentum-driven, and traders need to manage risks cautiously while seeking opportunities amid volatility. Despite the overall market momentum being weak, Bitcoin has shown some resilience due to its relative safety.
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