bab

According to information from the official Apple website, Apple Smart has supported collaboration with Alibaba's Qianwen model.According to the official introduction, after users enable the relevant features, Siri can use the Qianwen model to provide more in-depth answers, including analyzing photos and documents; the writing tool can also leverage Qianwen to generate text or image content based on user descriptions.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the Polymarket event "Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers," the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 4.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 72% an hour ago to the current 15.5% (a fluctuation of 56.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that before the non-farm data release, the probability of "Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September" on Polymarket has risen to 48%, up 5% in 24 hours, and up 24% for the month; the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September has fallen to 49%, down 21% for the month.The U.S. July non-farm payroll report will be released today at 20:30 Beijing time, with Wall Street institutions predicting a data range from 18,000 to 83,000, showing significant divergence. Market participants believe that if the final data significantly deviates from expectations, there could be severe fluctuations in the stock, bond, and dollar markets. The unemployment rate remains a core variable of concern for the Federal Reserve. Bank of America economist Aditya Bhave pointed out that if the data shows "everything is safe" in the labor market, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates up to three times this year, but the federal funds futures market is currently only pricing in one rate hike for the year.

According to Reuters, Alibaba plans to require its next-generation Qwen open-source AI model's heavy commercial users to share a portion of their revenue with it. This initiative is similar to the approach taken by Moonlight Dark Side with Kimi K3: the licensing terms for Kimi K3 stipulate that if the model is sold as a service and the annual revenue exceeds $20 million, a commercial agreement must be negotiated with Moonlight Dark Side, with reports suggesting a revenue-sharing ratio of up to 30%. The specific revenue-sharing ratio for Alibaba is still under discussion.The report points out that such revenue-sharing agreements have gradually taken shape between Chinese AI companies and American cloud platforms. Several American cloud providers, including DigitalOcean, have signed commercial agreements with Moonlight Dark Side. In terms of pricing, the input/output token price for Kimi K3 is about one-third that of the Anthropic Fable model. Additionally, Thinking Machines Lab, founded by former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati, has also joined the open-source camp and released its first open-source model last month. This move signifies that Chinese AI companies are exploring sustainable commercialization paths on open-source models through a "free open-source + commercial charging" freemium model.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "New York Mets" option in the sub-market "Spread -1.5" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, dropping sharply from 61.5% an hour ago to the current 37% (a fluctuation of 24.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova," the sub-market "National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova" has seen the winning probability for the option "Talia Gibson" fluctuate dramatically, dropping from 53.5% an hour ago to the current 37.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the Polymarket prediction market for the event "New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians," the option "New York Mets" in the sub-market "Spread -1.5" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 16.5% an hour ago to the current 33.45% (a fluctuation of 16.95%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "EPL: 2027 Champion" event is currently among the top trading activities on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching $4.4192 million. The option with the highest market consensus is "Team A," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 50%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 45.6%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 54.4%. By October, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 33.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 52.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.5%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the Polymarket prediction market event "Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners," the option "Seattle Mariners" in the sub-market "First 5 Innings Spread -1.5" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 29.5% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 20.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles," the option "Baltimore Orioles" in the sub-market "Spread -1.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 39.5% an hour ago to the current 66.5% (a fluctuation of 27%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 41.6%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 58.4%. By October, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 30.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 53.9%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 15.5%.

According to exclusive reports from Huxiu, Alibaba has internally regarded "AI Office" as one of its strategic directions and has completed the integration of organization and products: the original Wukong Business Unit has been upgraded to "Qwen Office Business Unit," led by Chen Yusen, combining the three products QoderWork, Wukong, and MuleRun into Qwen Office (QwenWork), with the three products and teams no longer existing separately. Qwen Office began public testing on August 3, with the web version and PC client now available, and the DingTalk entry will be launched soon. On the same day, Alibaba released the Qwen3.8 model, enhancing Coding and Cowork capabilities.Alibaba positions Qwen Office as a "enterprise-level AI productivity platform aimed at corporate organizations," rather than a personal office tool, and will not focus on user numbers and monthly active users as core assessment targets in the short term, instead concentrating on product experience and enterprise scenario implementation. The Qwen Office Business Unit is also responsible for DingTalk, intending to leverage the million-level enterprise customer resources accumulated by DingTalk. According to data analysis from Analysys, in June, the desktop access volume of AI office intelligent agents was led by Tencent WorkBuddy with approximately 20.97 million visits, followed by Byte's TRAE IDE with about 12.79 million, and Alibaba's QoderWork with around 7.88 million (Wukong had an additional 1.31 million visits). This integration is viewed internally as a key step to catch up with Tencent and Byte. Following the news, Alibaba's Hong Kong stock rose by over 7% on August 3.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until September is 32.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 67.2%. By October, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 23.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 57.3%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 19.3%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the event "Traffic Restoration Time in the Strait of Hormuz" is currently among the top trading activities on the prediction market Polymarket, with a total pool size reaching $7.7254 million. The option with the highest market consensus is "August 31," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 13.5%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar," the option "Taylor Fritz" in the sub-market "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 64.5% an hour ago to the current 93.45% (a fluctuation of 28.95%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market event "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles" on Polymarket, the option "Baltimore Orioles" in the sub-market "Spread -2.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, soaring from 0.55% an hour ago to the current 49.55% (a fluctuation of 49%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Kecmanovic" option in the sub-market "National Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic Spread +/-1.5" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 4% an hour ago to the current 23% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Gate market data, the Hong Kong stock market closed with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.48% and the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 0.96%; Alibaba closed up 7.01% for the day.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket, the "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar" event, the sub-market "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar First Set O/U 9.5" saw a dramatic fluctuation in the "Over" option's win rate, soaring from 32.5% an hour ago to the current 58% (a fluctuation of 25.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.