ChainCatcher news, the prediction market Polymarket data shows that the probability of the United States establishing a national Bitcoin reserve by 2025 has risen to 68%. The trading volume for this prediction contract has reached $1,196,543, with a deadline of December 31, 2025.Previous news, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick revealed that President Trump will announce the Bitcoin strategic reserve plan at the first White House cryptocurrency summit this Friday.

ChainCatcher news, the prediction market Polymarket data shows that the probability of the United States establishing a national Bitcoin reserve by 2025 has surged to 62%. This sudden spike occurred after Trump expressed support for establishing a cryptocurrency strategic reserve. The trading volume of this prediction contract has reached $979,994, with a deadline of December 31, 2025.

ChainCatcher news, Trump's recent comments on cryptocurrency reserves have influenced the likelihood of "Establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve within 100 days of Trump's presidency" on Polymarket, which has risen to 22%, with a betting amount of around $7.74 million.Previously, on January 20, the day Trump was sworn in as president, the likelihood of this bet had once risen to 48%.

ChainCatcher news, according to the prediction market Polymarket data, the probability of the Solana ETF being approved in 2025 is currently reported at 85%, and the total trading volume of the prediction contract is $88,177.

ChainCatcher news, according to Lin Chen, the Asia-Pacific business head of Deribit, the current options market data predicts a 23.4% chance that Bitcoin will exceed $90,000 by the end of March; while the possibility of exceeding that price by the end of the year is as high as 56.13%.

ChainCatcher news, the Babylon Foundation announced on the X platform that its subsidiary Cuneiform Assets Limited has decided to expand the airdrop scope, emphasizing the importance of community voices. After extensive evaluation, Cuneiform Assets has decided to remove the staking history requirement.This means that all NFT holders are now eligible for the NFT airdrop, but must comply with all other airdrop eligibility requirements and adhere to the airdrop terms.

ChainCatcher message, regarding the issue of airdrop registration that is now open, the Babylon Foundation has provided answers on social platforms, as follows:If I staked through a third party (such as a liquid staking protocol or Binance Earn), can I register to receive the airdrop? No. The third-party protocol and its service providers can register to receive the airdrop themselves. You should contact the maintainers of the third-party protocol or service provider to inquire about any potential rewards and incentives they may offer.If I staked through a third-party protocol and also hold a Pioneer Pass NFT, am I eligible to receive the airdrop related to the NFT? No, because you did not stake directly through Babylon in the first phase.Will NFTs increase the rewards for staking airdrops? No. NFT holders who staked directly in the first phase will be eligible for a separate airdrop. NFTs will not amplify or increase any rewards.

ChainCatcher news, according to official sources, Babylon has partnered with OKX Web3 Wallet to launch an exclusive benefits event. By completing the Babylon airdrop registration through the OKX Web3 Wallet, users have the chance to win 50,000 USDT BABY tokens. It is reported that this airdrop is aimed at Babylon staking users, and eligible users must complete the registration as soon as possible; otherwise, they will not be able to receive future BABY tokens.It is known that Babylon is a decentralized Bitcoin staking protocol aimed at bringing Bitcoin into the PoS ecosystem, enabling trustless staking and yield growth for Bitcoin. The OKX Web3 Wallet is an industry-leading one-stop Web3 gateway, now supporting over 120 popular public chains, and providing a seamless experience across four platforms: App, plugin, web, and Telegram Mini Wallet, creating an efficient and convenient on-chain interaction environment for users.

ChainCatcher news, the Babylon Foundation announced the launch of the airdrop registration page, which will end on March 15. This airdrop is primarily aimed at the following groups: Phase 1 stakers, Pioneer Pass NFT holders, Phase 1 finality providers, and eligible GitHub repository contributors.

ChainCatcher message, Babylon Foundation posted "Hello World" along with a video on platform X, and will soon announce TGE-related news.

According to ChainCatcher news and Global Times, Alibaba CEO Wu Yongming recently stated that Alibaba will invest over 380 billion yuan in the next three years to build cloud and AI hardware infrastructure, which exceeds the total amount of the past 10 years (approximately 300 billion yuan). "Overall, the next three years will be the largest and most concentrated cloud construction period in Alibaba Group's history. Therefore, the capital expenditure during this concentrated construction period will have a certain impact on hardware amortization and other aspects. However, given the current strong user demand and the forecast for the industry's future, the group believes that the infrastructure investments will soon be absorbed by the demands of both internal and external customers."

ChainCatcher message, the probability of "Trump establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve within 100 days of taking office" on Polymarket has dropped to 10%, with a betting amount of approximately $7.05 million.On January 20, the day Trump was sworn in as president, the probability of this bet once rose to 48%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10 reports, during the Q3 fiscal year 2025 earnings call, Alibaba Group CEO Wu Yongming stated that while continuing to focus on three major business types: domestic and international e-commerce, AI + cloud computing technology business, and internet platform products, Alibaba will increase investment in three areas centered around the AI strategic core over the next three years:First, investment in AI and cloud computing infrastructure construction. The AI era has a clear and enormous demand for infrastructure, and the investment in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years is expected to exceed the total of the past decade.Second, investment in AI foundational model platforms and AI-native applications. AI foundational large models are of great significance for the transformation of industry productivity. Alibaba will significantly increase R&D investment in AI foundational models to ensure technological advancement and industry leadership, and promote the development of AI-native applications.Third, investment in the AI transformation and upgrading of existing businesses. For e-commerce and other internet platform businesses, the upgrade of AI technology will bring tremendous opportunities for enhancing user value. Therefore, Alibaba will continue to increase R&D investment in AI applications and computing power, using AI to deeply transform and upgrade various businesses, seizing new development opportunities in the AI era.

ChainCatcher news, the prediction market Polymarket disclosed data on platform X stating that OpenSea has launched OS2 today and announced the upcoming SEA token, with the probability of the SEA token airdrop on the platform before July being 97% and before April being 55%.

ChainCatcher message, after the release of the CPI data, according to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is only 2.5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.5%.The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 50 basis points by May is 0.2%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 11.7%, and the probability of maintaining the current rate is 88.1%.

ChainCatcher news, Bloomberg's digital asset analysts James Seyffart and senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas have publicly predicted the approval probabilities for four cryptocurrency ETF applications, including the highly anticipated Solana ETF.According to the Bloomberg analysts' assessment, Solana has a 70% chance of officially entering the traditional financial market before October 10, 2025 (the SEC's final ruling deadline). Seyffart and Balchunas are optimistic because the SEC has recently officially accepted Grayscale's submitted 19b-4 application, a key development that was never achieved under former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler's leadership.

ChainCatcher message, the probability of predicting that the United States will establish a Bitcoin national reserve by 2025 on Polymarket has reached 41%.Previously, it rose to 65% on January 17. As of now, the total trading volume for this prediction has reached $722,000.

ChainCatcher news, Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted a prediction on the approval probability of spot cryptocurrency ETFs in 2025.Among them, Litecoin (LTC) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are the most likely to be approved, with probabilities of 90% and 75%, respectively. Solana (SOL) is at 70%, while XRP is lower at 65%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME FedWatch data, after the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March dropped from 14.5% to 8.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged rose from 85.5% to 91.5%.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, before the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll data at 21:30 tonight, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 14.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 85.5%.The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 50 basis points by May is 3.7%, the probability of a cumulative cut of 25 basis points is 32.8%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 63.4%.