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According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 100%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 11.2%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 88.8%. By July, the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 77.4%.

According to Jinshi reports, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates continues to decrease, with interest rate futures pricing the rate cut this year at 13 basis points, down from 17 basis points at the end of Powell's press conference.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until April is 96.9% (consistent with before the decision), the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 2% (consistent with before the decision), and the probability of a rate hike of 25 basis points is 1% (consistent with before the decision). By June, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 14.4% (was 16.3% before the decision), the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 84.4% (was 82.5% before the decision), and the probability of a rate hike of 25 basis points is 0.9% (consistent with before the decision).

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting is 0%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 98.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 1.1%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 96.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 16.3%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 82.5%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 0.9%.

The probability of crude oil breaking $100 on Polymarket is currently reported at 63%, an increase of 43 points in the last 24 hours. In addition, the data shows:The probability of crude oil breaking $105/barrel on Polymarket is currently reported at 42%, a decrease of 19 points;The probability of crude oil breaking $110/barrel on Polymarket is currently reported at 27%, an increase of 10 points;The probability of crude oil breaking $120/barrel on Polymarket is currently reported at 16%.

Alibaba Cloud's official website announced: Due to the global surge in AI demand and rising supply chain costs, Alibaba Cloud's AI computing power, storage, and other products will increase by up to 34%. Among them, products like the PingTouGe Zhenwu 810E computing cards will rise by 5% - 34%, and the file storage product CPFS (Intelligent Computing Version) will increase by 30%.According to informed sources, another important reason for this round of price increases is the "explosion in Token call volume." Alibaba Cloud's MaaS business has achieved the highest growth rate in history from January to March this year. Alibaba Cloud is shifting its scarce AI computing resources towards the Token business.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates this week is 98.9%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1.1%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.1%, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 95.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 1.1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 78.1%.

Alibaba launched the world's first enterprise-level AI native work platform—"Wukong." Wukong is an independent application that starts its invitation testing today and will also be directly integrated into DingTalk, which has over 20 million enterprise organizations.Wukong fully supports connecting users' DingTalk accounts, secure access permissions, and application systems within enterprises. At the same time, Alibaba's ecosystem business ToB capabilities will gradually be embedded into the platform in the form of skills, serving as a unified outlet for Alibaba's AI capabilities in enterprise work scenarios.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates this week is 99.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.9%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3%, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 97%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 21.9%.

According to official news, Coinbase announced the delisting of multiple contract trading pairs, including MET-PERP, REZ-PERP, BABY-PERP, SUPER-PERP, SUSHI-PERP, GMX-PERP, ERA-PERP, XAN-PERP, VINE-PERP, T-PERP, YB-PERP, WCT-PERP, HOME-PERP, NOT-PERP, MINA-PERP, CATI-PERP, DOGS-PERP, COW-PERP, GRT-PERP, DRIFT-PERP, COOKIE-PERP, ARKM-PERP, B3-PERP, SXT-PERP, BB-PERP.The official statement indicated that it will maintain a high-quality derivatives market by focusing on products that consistently meet liquidity and market quality standards. By maintaining these standards, Coinbase ensures the price integrity of listed products and provides users with deeper liquidity and a better trading experience.By streamlining its perpetual contract product line, Coinbase can focus on supporting the markets most used by customers and more efficiently bring new, high-quality derivatives to market. In the coming months, Coinbase will accelerate the listing speed by simplifying internal processes and utilizing advanced evaluation frameworks, thereby bringing new perpetual contracts to market more quickly.

According to market news, Alibaba (Baba.N) will establish a Token Hub business group to strengthen the strategic synergy of its artificial intelligence business.

On Polymarket's prediction of "What price will Bitcoin reach," the probability of it rising to $75,000 has significantly increased to 84%, a rise of 43 percentage points, while the probability of it rising to $80,000 has increased to 40%. Additionally, the probability of Bitcoin falling back to $65,000 in March has dropped to 30%. Data shows that the trading volume of this event contract has approached $45 million, currently reaching $44,904,165.According to Gate's market data, BTC once touched 74,464.6 USDT today, currently reported at 73,758.1 USDT, with a 24H increase of 1.29%.

According to Jinshi News, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates this week is 99.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.8%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.9%, the probability of maintaining interest rates is 93%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.7%.

Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, stated that if the U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory bill CLARITY Act fails to pass the Senate committee review by the end of April, its chances of passing in 2026 will significantly decrease, as the bill needs to enter the Senate floor voting agenda in early May.The current controversy surrounding stablecoin yields is considered a major obstacle, but Thorn pointed out that even if a compromise is reached on this issue, there may still be other controversies related to DeFi, developer protection, SEC authority, and ethics.

In the Polymarket prediction event "Bitcoin price above x dollars," the current probability of BTC being above $72,000 today is only 4%, and the probability of being above $74,000 is less than 1%; the probability of being above $70,000 is also only 81% (below the current market price).Last night, the price of Bitcoin briefly surged, rising close to $74,000, but then quickly fell back, currently fluctuating around $70,600, with the probabilities in the related prediction markets clearly cooling down.

The probability of the Polymarket "Federal Reserve to cut interest rates" event has dropped by 11% in the last 24 hours, currently reported at 28%, having previously reached as high as 39%. The trading volume for this event is nearly $1.8 million.Previously, the continuous increase in core PCE is unfavorable for the Federal Reserve's dovish stance. In addition, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September 2026 and March 2027, whereas the previous forecast was for cuts in June and September of this year.

MetaComp, a licensed stablecoin cross-border payment and fund management service provider headquartered in Singapore, announced the completion of its Pre-A+ round financing, led by venture capital firms such as Alibaba and Spark Venture, with existing shareholders also participating in the co-investment. 100 Summit Partners acted as the exclusive financial advisor.The company completed two rounds of financing within three months, with a total amount reaching $35 million. The new funds will accelerate the expansion of its StableX network in high-growth regions such as Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America, and develop its artificial intelligence strategic initiative Agent-Skills-MCP (Model Context Protocol) architecture to support agent-based Web 2.5 payment and wealth management services.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 99.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.9%. By April, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 96%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.9%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 19.5%.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 99.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.6%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 11.9%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 88.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 33.8%.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.3%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 10.9%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 89.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0.1%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 33.1%.