ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate until December is 43.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 56.2%.

ChainCatcher message, Sui announced a partnership with Babylon and Lombard to provide users with LBTC minting services on the Sui chain. The Sui lending protocol NAVI has also indicated plans to collaborate with Lombard and support LBTC mining pools on the protocol.

ChainCatcher news, Lin Chen, the Head of Asia Pacific Business at Deribit, posted on X that in the options market, the probability of betting that the ETH price will exceed $4000 by the end of the year is 29.1%.

ChainCatcher news, according to relevant pages, the probability of predicting "Bitcoin will break the $100,000 mark today (this Friday)" on Polymarket is 71%.As of the time of writing, $1.425 million has participated in this prediction.

ChainCatcher news, according to the "Bitcoin Highest Price This Month" prediction on Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $110,000 this month has risen to 15%, while the probability of reaching $105,000 has increased to 31%.As of the time of publication, there has been $27.27 million involved in trading for this prediction.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate unchanged until December is 40.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 59.1%.The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 30.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 54.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 15.2%.

ChainCatcher news, Polymarket data shows that the probability of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh being appointed as U.S. Treasury Secretary by Trump has risen to 46%, maintaining the top position; the probability of Scott Bessent being appointed has dropped to 27%, while Howard Lutnick's appointment probability has decreased to 9%.The total amount wagered on this event exceeds $2 million.

ChainCatcher news, the prediction market Polymarket has released data indicating that the success probability of tomorrow's "chopsticks" robotic arm successfully recovering the SpaceX Super Heavy rocket has risen to 78%.SpaceX CEO Elon Musk responded that this prediction roughly aligns with his estimates. He stated that with technological advancements, the success rate will eventually approach 100%, but it is still in the early stages.

ChainCatcher news, according to the announcement from the cryptocurrency trading platform WEEX, the platform has launched the 28th phase of the WE-Launch project Baby Samurai (SAMMY) at 16:00 UTC+8 on November 15. Users who invest ≥ 1,000 WXT before 16:00 UTC+8 on November 20 can share 5,249,343 SAMMY tokens based on their effective investment proportion. WEEX will launch SAMMY/USDT spot trading at 9:00 UTC+8 on November 20.In addition, the 24th, 25th, and 26th phases of WE-Launch are ongoing, which will airdrop 33,333 Resistance Cat (RECA), 22,222 Nugget Trap Gold Token (NGTG), and 202,666 Happy Cat (HAPPY) tokens respectively. Users can participate simultaneously to gain greater rewards.Baby Samurai (SAMMY) is a MEME coin built on the Solana blockchain, inspired by the ancient Japanese samurai spirit, emphasizing courage, honor, and perseverance. The Baby Samurai community will unite around these ideals, fostering an environment of respect, discipline, and personal growth.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 25 basis points by December is 61.9%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 38.1%.

ChainCatcher news, according to market news, traders have reduced the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December to about 50%.

ChainCatcher news, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, the possibility of Trump establishing a national BTC reserve in the United States is 32%, down 27% from November 7.Previously, Galaxy Digital CEO Michael Novogratz stated in an interview with Bloomberg that he believes the likelihood of the U.S. establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is very low.However, he predicts that if the U.S. does establish such a reserve, it would push the price of the largest digital token up to $500,000, as other countries would also feel the need to establish similar reserves.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will participate in a dialogue at 04:00 AM Beijing time on November 15 (Friday), marking his first public speech since the November FOMC meeting, where he may comment on recent economic data. Investors and economists will closely watch for his clues regarding the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision and the policy outlook for 2025. In recent speeches, Powell emphasized the risk balance of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate—stabilizing inflation and supporting maximum employment. He described the Fed's rate-cutting path as a "normalization" of policy.Wednesday's interest rate futures market pricing suggests that there is over an 80% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 17-18. The update to the policymakers' quarterly economic projections in September showed a median forecast of a 1 percentage point rate cut in 2024, followed by another 1 percentage point cut in 2025. Officials will update the "dot plot" at the December meeting, which may indicate the policy path for 2025 and beyond.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 24.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 75.7% (before the CPI announcement, these were 37.9% and 62.1% respectively). The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 16.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 59.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 24.3% (before the CPI announcement, these were 26.5%, 54.9%, and 18.6% respectively).

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi, Goldman Sachs senior market advisor Dom Wilson stated that the market's focus and most of the volatility clearly stem from the post-election shift. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in November conveyed a message of "steady progress," so a truly significant surprise may be needed to drive the market.Dom Wilson mentioned that rising data could fuel the notion that the fight against inflation is not over yet, leading the market to further reduce the probability of a rate cut in December, especially considering the more optimistic inflation cycle priced in by the market since the election.

ChainCatcher news, according to the "Bitcoin highest price this month" prediction on Polymarket, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $105,000 this month is 36%, the probability of reaching $95,000 is 73%, and the probability of breaking $90,000 is as high as 94%.As of the time of publication, there has been $13.23 million involved in trading for this prediction.

ChainCatcher news, according to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering by 25 basis points by November is 99.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.6%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points by December is 32.0%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 67.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 0.4%.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, analysts believe that considering the previous statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, a reasonable rate of interest rate cuts should be 25 basis points. Coupled with the relatively stable economic data performance over the past two months, although the October non-farm payrolls weakened significantly, it was largely affected by one-off factors. Therefore, a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week remains a high probability event, rather than a further 50 basis point cut or no cut at all.Currently, the market has basically priced in a 25 basis point rate cut in November, with a probability of 97.6%, while the probability of another 25 basis point cut in December is 68.4%. Currently, the main institutions' analysis views on rate cuts are:Goldman Sachs: A continuous cut of 25 basis points is needed;JPMorgan Chase: Rate cuts still hold up;Deutsche Bank: The election will not affect the Federal Reserve's decision this week.

ChainCatcher message, encrypted prediction market Polymarket data shows that Harris's chance of winning has fallen below 1%, with the betting amount reaching $982,932,890, while Trump's chance of winning has risen to 99%, with the betting amount reaching $1,455,400,357. As of now, the betting amount for the U.S. presidential election has exceeded $3.55 billion.

ChainCatcher news, HashKey Group Chief Analyst Jeffrey Ding analyzed that on the betting market Polymarket, Trump's odds have surged to 90%. Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin has also seen a historic breakthrough, briefly surpassing 75,000 USDT, with a daily increase of over 8%. This phenomenon indicates that the market's expectations for Trump's election are translating into positive investment sentiment towards Bitcoin, and the strengthening trend of Trump suggests that Bitcoin may enter a fast lane of rapid price increases.It can be seen that the skyrocketing probability of Trump's election has been regarded as the "starting gun" for the cryptocurrency market. It is expected that in the future, until Trump takes office in the White House, the digital currency market will continue to digest this positive news. A series of policies supporting cryptocurrencies that Trump promised during his campaign, including incorporating Bitcoin into the national reserve and replacing the current SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, are all seen as significant benefits for the market. Given that Trump is known for his "campaign promises must be fulfilled," we have reason to expect these policies to be gradually implemented after he takes office.The expectation of these policies being implemented, combined with the high probability of Trump's election, provides strong support for the price increase of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Market participants generally believe that Trump's victory is more favorable for the cryptocurrency industry compared to the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Therefore, as Trump's election probability rises, the market performance of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is worth looking forward to, and investors should closely monitor relevant policy trends and their impact on the market.