外汇

4E: Trump's tariff adjustments boost the market, U.S. stocks and cryptocurrency markets rebound together

ChainCatcher news, Trump adjusts tariff policy, postponing auto tariffs on Canada and Mexico by one month, and is willing to consider more requests for tariff exemptions. The trade tensions may ease, boosting market sentiment. According to 4E monitoring, U.S. stocks rebounded significantly on Wednesday, reversing the decline of the previous two days, with the technology and automotive sectors leading the gains. By the close, the S&P 500 index rose 1.12%, the Dow Jones increased by 1.14%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.46%. Major tech stocks generally rose, with Microsoft leading at 3.19%.The cryptocurrency market rebounded across the board. Driven by the U.S. stock market and the upcoming White House crypto summit, the market expects that policies regarding Bitcoin reserve plans and other crypto regulations will become clearer. Bitcoin broke through the 90,000 mark, reaching a high of $91,903, up 4.8% in 24 hours, while Ethereum returned above $2,200, gaining 4.59% in 24 hours. Various sectors in the market generally rebounded, with increases typically around 2% to 8%, boosting market sentiment.In the forex and commodities sector, the risk of a U.S. recession is rising, leading to a third consecutive decline in the dollar index, which fell 1.3% to a six-week low. Due to unexpected increases in supply, oil prices fell for three consecutive days, with U.S. oil dropping to its lowest level in nearly two years; the weaker dollar pushed precious metals higher, with spot gold slightly up 0.04%.The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicates that overall economic activity in the U.S. has slightly increased since mid-January, but consumer spending has generally decreased, further confirming the uncertainty of the U.S. economic outlook. Economic data is mixed, with rising recession risks, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by more than 70 basis points before the end of the year.

The Central Bank of Russia tightens regulations on digital assets and implements stricter standards for foreign exchange business supervision

ChainCatcher news, the Central Bank of Russia has introduced regulations to manage foreign exchange operations involving digital rights. According to Russian law, digital rights include electronic records such as cryptocurrencies, tokenized securities, and digital tokens. These rights represent claims or obligations related to assets or services. The new decree will take effect on January 11 and outlines the obligations of residents engaged in such transactions, aiming to clarify and strengthen the oversight of digital assets used for trade and payment purposes.A key requirement outlined in the regulation is that foreign trade contracts involving digital rights settlements must be registered with authorized banks. The document states: "Foreign trade contracts, including those settled using digital rights, must be registered with authorized banks. The registration thresholds for these contracts remain unchanged: import contracts exceeding 3 million rubles and export contracts exceeding 10 million rubles."In addition to registration, the Central Bank of Russia also explained: "The regulation specifies the documents and information that residents must provide to banks, including transaction data related to the transfer or receipt of digital rights as a means of payment under foreign trade contracts, as well as data related to other foreign exchange operations involving digital rights."By defining these requirements, the Central Bank of Russia aims to integrate digital rights into the broader financial system while reducing the risks associated with their use.

The Japanese government responds to inquiries about Bitcoin reserves: The volatility of crypto assets is inconsistent with the current foreign exchange system

ChainCatcher news, according to Coinpost, the Japanese government has made an official response to Senator Akira Hamada's inquiry regarding "the promotion of Bitcoin reserves by the United States and other countries." Akira Hamada previously suggested on December 11 that "Japan should follow the example of the United States and other countries and consider converting part of its foreign exchange reserves into Bitcoin and other crypto assets."In response, the Japanese government stated that it has not yet fully grasped the relevant movements of the United States and other countries, believing that discussions in other countries about introducing Bitcoin reserves are still ongoing, and "the government finds it difficult to take a position on specific situations." According to the legal framework governing special accounting operations, "crypto assets do not fall under foreign exchange," and the current foreign exchange reserves aim to maintain the stability of foreign currency assets and foreign currency bond markets.The response document repeatedly emphasizes that ensuring the safety and liquidity of foreign exchange reserves is the top priority of special accounting operations, implying that the volatility of Bitcoin and other crypto assets is not compatible with the current system.

South Korea is expected to amend the Foreign Exchange Transactions Act to prevent foreign exchange crimes such as money laundering involving virtual assets

ChainCatcher news, South Korean lawmaker Choi Eun-sik has proposed an amendment to the "Foreign Exchange Transactions Act," aimed at preventing money laundering and other foreign exchange crimes related to virtual assets. The amendment proposes the establishment of a monitoring system for virtual asset transactions, the improvement of the institutional foundation for financial technology foreign exchange services, the enhancement of the convenience of foreign exchange transactions for individuals and businesses, and the strengthening of the intelligent construction of the foreign exchange monitoring system.He stated that the rapid development of virtual assets and financial technology in recent years has diversified cross-border transaction methods, but current laws have failed to cover these changes, leading to regulatory blind spots, particularly as money laundering involving virtual assets and illegal foreign exchange transactions have become increasingly serious.According to data from the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), the number of suspicious transaction reports from virtual asset merchants increased by 48.8% last year compared to the previous year. The Ministry of Finance plans to add definitions for virtual assets and virtual asset merchants next year and requires virtual asset merchants to register before conducting cross-border transactions and to regularly report users' transaction records to the Bank of Korea.The amendment is expected to be implemented in the second half of next year.

4E: The expectation of a pause in interest rate cuts next year has weakened the US stock market. This week, attention is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E monitoring, the S&P 500 halted a three-week winning streak last week, falling 0.64% for the week; the Dow Jones dropped a cumulative 1.82% over the week, marking seven consecutive trading days of decline; the Nasdaq gained a cumulative 0.34% over the week, breaking the 20,000 point mark for the first time in history.Bitcoin rose back above $100,000 last week, setting a record for the longest seven-week winning streak since 2021. The altcoin market saw a decrease in enthusiasm, with a general pullback. Over the week, Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $2.115 billion, Ethereum ETFs had a net inflow of about $712.7 million, and the supply of stablecoins increased by $2.1 billion, indicating a sustained positive outlook for funds. As of the time of publication, Bitcoin surged suddenly, breaking its historical high to reach $106,648, with the top ten cryptocurrencies also seeing an increase of nearly 1% to 4%.In the forex commodities sector, the US dollar index performed strongly last week, breaking above 107 on Friday and continuously refreshing a two-week high, with a weekly increase of nearly 1%, marking the best weekly performance in a month, while non-USD currencies fell cumulatively over the week. International oil prices surged across the board last week due to geopolitical tensions, halting two weeks of declines, with US oil rising over 6% for the week and Brent oil increasing by 4.54%. Benefiting from market expectations of an upcoming interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, spot gold rose a cumulative 0.56% over the week.The most anticipated economic event this week is the FOMC meeting to be held by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, followed by the announcement of interest rate decisions and quarterly economic forecasts on Thursday. The market has already fully priced in expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in December, with the real focus being on clues regarding the future direction of Federal Reserve policy. The market expects that rate cuts next year will be more cautious and gradual, with a possibility of pausing rate cuts in January.Additionally, this week marks the last "central bank super week" of 2024, with up to 25 central banks, including those from Japan, the UK, and Sweden, meeting in the same week. The decisions from some key central banks may trigger market volatility, especially in the fast-paced forex and commodities markets. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and forex, recently launching a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with a potential hedging option. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

Three "post-95" men were sentenced by the court for illegal business operations for using virtual currency to exchange money in disguise

ChainCatcher news, according to the Procuratorial Daily report, on November 18, the Jiangsu Province Jianhu County Procuratorate organized police officers to distribute promotional materials in communities and streets, explaining the main forms of crimes involving virtual currency and interpreting the legal risks of virtual currency transactions in connection with a new type of crime case mediated by virtual currency trading. In this case, three young men born after 1995 engaged in foreign exchange "business" through virtual currency trading, completing over 650 transactions and exchanging nearly 30 million yuan in just a few months. The Jianhu County Procuratorate filed a public prosecution, and recently, the court sentenced Lin and two others to fixed-term imprisonment of five years to one year and six months for illegal business operations, along with fines.Lin, in collaboration with a Nigerian national, used the local legal currency Naira to purchase Tether on the Binance exchange, then transferred the Tether to Lin's Binance account. Lin sold the Tether to domestic currency traders in exchange for RMB, which was then transferred to a bank account in China provided by the Nigerian national. Lin determined the purchase price by discounting 5% from the day's listing price of Tether and then sold it to domestic currency traders at the listing price, earning the price difference.The prosecutor reviewed and concluded that Lin and the other two used virtual currency as a medium to provide cross-border exchange and payment services to earn exchange rate differences, which circumvented national foreign exchange regulations by exploiting the special properties of virtual currency, affecting the effectiveness of foreign exchange management and the stability of legal exchange rates, thereby disrupting the normal order of the financial market. They should be held criminally responsible for illegal business operations according to the law.
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