ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday. While lower rates typically boost risk assets like Bitcoin, comments and economic forecasts from the Fed during Wednesday's meeting may dampen expectations for further rate cuts amid ongoing inflation concerns.Recent U.S. CPI and PPI data have raised worries about potential price pressures next year, especially considering speculation around the economic policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Furthermore, although macroeconomic events still hold influence, QCP Capital analysts believe that Bitcoin's recent rise is primarily driven by market sentiment.

ChainCatcher news, according to Bitcoin Magazine, Saifedean Ammous, the author of "The Bitcoin Standard," recently appeared on CNBC to explain the unique value of Bitcoin to the audience. He emphasized, "Bitcoin is a currency that cannot be inflated, with a total supply of only 21 million coins, and that's it."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, U.S. Bank Chief Economist Stephen Juneau released a latest report warning that investors ignoring inflation data may face liquidation risks in 2025. The latest data shows that the November CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year and increased by 0.3% month-on-month, up 0.1 percentage points from October; the November PPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 0.2%.Federal funds futures indicate a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, but BlackRock Global Fixed Income CIO Rick Rieder, EY Chief Economist Greg Daco, and Nationwide Economist Oren Klachkin all expect that, influenced by potential new policies from Trump, the Federal Reserve may pause the rate-cutting process in early 2025.The market needs to be wary of three major risks: higher tariff policies, deficit financing tax cut plans, and tightened immigration policies, as these factors may keep the core PCE inflation rate elevated over the next two years. Daco particularly pointed out that although the possibility of a rate cut next week is close to a "coin toss probability," the subsequent pace of rate cuts will clearly slow down, and policymakers will remain highly vigilant regarding new government policies.

ChainCatcher news, ECB board member Müller stated, "The market expects another 100 basis points cut; the period of strong inflation is over, and I hope to see inflation around 2%." (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, the latest data shows that the U.S. November PPI rose more than expected, with a month-on-month increase reaching the largest in seven months, indicating rising inflation. The market expects a 25 basis point rate cut next week, but bets on a pause in rate cuts in January next year.According to 4E monitoring, the market has fully priced in the expectation of a rate cut in December, but the latest data has increased uncertainty about the Fed's rate cut prospects for next year. The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell, with the Dow Jones down 0.53% for six consecutive days, the S&P 500 down 0.54%, and the Nasdaq down 0.66%. Large tech stocks failed to maintain the momentum from earlier this week, with Nvidia down 1.41%, Tesla down 1.57%, and crypto-related stock MSTR down 4.67%, while Coinbase fell 0.27%.The crypto market surged and then retreated. When Trump rang the opening bell at the NYSE, he stated that he would do great things in the cryptocurrency space, briefly pushing Bitcoin above $102,000. However, it later fell back below $100,000 due to the drag from U.S. stocks, causing a collective retreat in the crypto market. The DeFi sector showed strong performance, driven by the Trump family project WLFI purchasing ETH, AAVE, and LINK, leading to a broad rise in DeFi tokens. Currently, WLFI holds approximately $74.9 million worth of cryptocurrencies, with the largest holding being ETH, which the market views as the Trump family's optimistic outlook on Ethereum's potential and an early layout of their crypto strategy.In the forex and commodities sector, the inflation data boosted the dollar index by 0.31%, marking the fifth consecutive day of gains; the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicted a supply surplus next year, offsetting the optimistic sentiment around rate cuts and dragging down U.S. and Brent crude oil prices; the strengthening dollar put pressure on gold, and the strong PPI data further diminished gold's appeal as a safe haven, causing gold to plummet, with the London spot gold price falling by 1.33%.eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, and forex. Recently, it launched a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, a figure that meets economists' expectations and is higher than October's 2.6% level. The data highlights concerns about sticky inflation following the rise in inflation in October.There is widespread expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third consecutive time next week, but the pace of rate cuts next year is less certain, as the Fed is striving to achieve its dual mandate of keeping inflation close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level—high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market—officials have discussed slowing the pace of rate cuts. They noted that if actions are taken too quickly, inflation may remain above the 2% target, but acting too slowly could lead to a sharp rise in unemployment.

ChainCatcher news, Allianz senior analyst Dan North stated, "There are no signs that the inflation dragon has been slain; inflation persists and shows no compelling signs of approaching 2%." It is certain that U.S. inflation has significantly decreased from the cyclical peak of around 9% in June 2022. However, core CPI has been rising since July, following a series of steady declines.Nevertheless, traders in the futures market still believe that there is a strong possibility the FOMC will cut rates by 25 basis points again in December. North stated, "When the market is in distress like today, the Fed does not want to surprise anyone, so unless there is an unforeseen (inflation) surge, I am quite confident that the Fed (rate cut) is secured."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, multiple Wall Street institutions warn that the risk of a rebound in U.S. inflation in 2025 is increasing. Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius predicts that if Trump's tariff proposal is implemented, it could push the core PCE index, which the Federal Reserve focuses on, up by nearly 1%. Anders Persson, CIO of Nuveen Global Fixed Income, which manages $1.3 trillion in assets, stated that inflation rates may remain above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for the next 12 months and even for several years; in the worst-case scenario, the Federal Reserve may be forced to pivot 180 degrees and restart interest rate hikes, leading to more severe stagflation.The market expects that the CPI data for November, to be released this Wednesday, will continue to rise, with the core CPI annual rate possibly remaining above 2% until October next year. Derek Tang, an economist at Monetary Policy Analytics, pointed out that if the CPI data exceeds expectations and the previous values are revised upward, it could change policymakers' assessment of inflation and affect the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. In the current situation, Nuveen recommends focusing on fixed income assets, expecting that U.S. Treasury yields will provide substantial returns over the next 12 months; if the economy falls into stagflation, cash may become the best-performing asset class.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10, the initial value of the U.S. December one-year inflation rate expectation is 2.9%, expected to be 2.7%, and the previous value is 2.60%.

ChainCatcher news, Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated, "The Federal Reserve has not yet achieved the 2% inflation target, and I tend to favor a cautious and gradual approach to lowering interest rates." (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Trump has promised to implement comprehensive tariffs on imported goods upon returning to the White House. During his first term, Federal Reserve staff simulated a similar scenario and concluded that inflation would accelerate but would not last long. Ultimately, they determined that tariffs were a drag on the economy and recommended lowering interest rates as the best remedy.However, there are two main obstacles to taking this approach now. First, the Federal Reserve has not fully overcome the post-pandemic price increase issue. Second, the Federal Reserve has faced severe criticism for describing that price increase as "transitory." Therefore, Powell and his colleagues are least willing to downplay the price surge, believing it will not be persistent.Justin Weder, an economist at Deutsche Bank in the U.S., stated, "Even a price increase viewed as transitory could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, or at least keep them on the sidelines, preventing them from cutting rates significantly as they originally hoped. They must acknowledge the actual inflation rate. Perhaps they can avoid terms like 'transitory' or 'temporary' and instead say something like 'inflation is rising due to tariff effects,' clearly indicating that this is a result of tariffs and not necessarily demand-driven."

ChainCatcher message, Gifto stated early this morning on platform X: "Attention to a serious security incident related to the GFT contract. The GFT token contract has been compromised, and more GFT tokens have been issued. We are investigating, and we do understand the seriousness of this matter and assure you that we are taking the necessary measures. We ask all exchanges listing GFT to halt trading of this token. We are working to resolve this issue."Previous news, after Binance announced it would delist Gifto (GFT) on December 10, the Gifto project team issued an additional 1.2 billion GFT and transferred them to multiple exchanges.

ChainCatcher News, the well-known American financial services company Cantor Fitzgerald pointed out in its latest biweekly macro report that although the Federal Reserve plans to start a rate-cutting cycle in September, the core inflation rate has remained above 2% for four consecutive years, and there are still significant upward risks to inflation pressures.The agency advises investors to pay attention to Bitcoin and gold as hedging tools. Cantor Fitzgerald explicitly stated, "Our view is to buy Bitcoin and gold to address the inflation theme."Although the agency expects the stock market to rise by the end of the year, it believes the mid-term outlook is not optimistic and may be a poor investment choice.

ChainCatcher message, Goldman Sachs analysis pointed out that U.S. President-elect Trump proposed a 25% tariff on goods from Canada and Mexico, which is expected to generate nearly $300 billion in revenue annually, but could lead to a 0.9% increase in core PCE inflation. Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzius stated that this tariff would significantly raise consumer prices. Although the tariff proposal may be a negotiation strategy by Trump, its implementation remains uncertain, but market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have begun to weaken. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that some participants indicated that if inflation remains high, the Fed may pause its easing policy and keep the policy rate at a restrictive level. If the labor market weakens or economic activity stumbles, easing policies may accelerate. Many participants at the Fed's meeting on November 6-7 expressed that the uncertainty around the neutral interest rate level makes it appropriate to gradually reduce policy restrictions.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Deenar co-founder Maruf Yusupov stated that the rapid rise of Bitcoin after Trump's victory in the U.S. elections may be reshaping traditional views on inflation hedging. Trump's focus on tax cuts, tariffs, and cryptocurrencies is driving interest in Bitcoin as a modern alternative to gold. With the acceleration of institutional adoption, a significant shift of capital from gold to digital assets may be observed.deVere Group CEO Nigel Green also mentioned that Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed as a tool for hedging inflation and diversifying portfolios, with institutional interest reaching historic highs and the infrastructure supporting mass adoption continuously expanding.Copper.co research director Fadi Aboualfa expressed a similar view, also emphasizing that the price trend patterns between spot Bitcoin and gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are becoming increasingly similar.

ChainCatcher news, Bob Prince, Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates, stated at the third annual Global Financial Leaders Investment Summit held in Hong Kong on Wednesday that the policies of U.S. President-elect Trump regarding tariffs, fiscal stimulus, and immigration may prevent the U.S. from achieving its 2% inflation target. If the U.S. inflation rate remains close to 3% in about a year and a half, Trump may be inclined to nominate a Federal Reserve chairperson who is willing to accommodate a higher inflation target, which would allow him to cut interest rates.He added, "People are looking forward to rate cuts. But if the inflation rate remains unchanged, then it may not be possible to cut rates. I think the situation 18 months from now will be very interesting, as the current Federal Reserve Chair Powell's term will end." (Jin Shi)