ChainCatcher message, according to Polymarket data, the probability of Trump winning has risen to 57.9%, while the probability of Harris winning has dropped to 42.2%.

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, all major prediction markets continue to predict that former President Trump has a higher chance of winning than Vice President Harris ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.However, according to data from ElectionBettingOdds.com, Trump's winning probability in the prediction markets has decreased by an average of 3.8% over the past week. On Kalshi and Polymarket, Trump's winning probability has dropped by more than 10% from its historical high.As of the time of writing, Trump's odds on Polymarket have fallen from a peak of 71.5% reached on July 16 to 59.1%, while his odds on Kalshi have decreased from a high of 65.2% on October 29 to the current 55% (Kalshi's prediction market launched on October 4).

ChainCatcher news, the betting amount on the U.S. election on the prediction market Polymarket has surpassed $2.1 billion.Data shows that the probability of Trump winning the U.S. presidential election is currently reported at 60.1%, while Harris's probability of winning is reported at 39.9%, with a gap of over 20 percentage points between the two.

ChainCatcher news indicates that the betting amount on the U.S. election on the prediction market Polymarket is nearly $1.9 billion. Data shows that the probability of Trump winning the U.S. presidential election is currently reported at 55.8%, while Harris's probability of winning the election is currently reported at 43.7%.

ChainCatcher news, Trump is leading Harris by 2 percentage points in Michigan and Wisconsin, reversing the situation in the swing states. According to data from the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, Trump has currently surpassed his Democratic opponent Harris in five out of the six tracked swing states, including Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. Trump is leading by 10 percentage points in Pennsylvania.It is reported that just a few days ago, Democratic presidential candidate Harris was still leading in Michigan and Wisconsin, and the reversal in the election situation may be related to Trump's rally in Butler over the weekend.

ChainCatcher news, Polymarket data shows that Trump's probability of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has risen to 53.6%, while Harris's probability of winning the election has dropped to 45.9%. As of October 7, the total amount wagered has exceeded $1.4 billion.

ChainCatcher news, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, the current probability of Trump winning has risen to 52.3%, exceeding Harris by 5.5 percentage points.

ChainCatcher news, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, Trump's probability of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has risen to 51%, surpassing Harris (48%).Earlier, on October 6 at 9 AM, Trump returned to Butler, Pennsylvania, on Saturday (the 5th) and held a campaign rally. Musk was invited to attend the aforementioned campaign rally and took the stage alongside Trump. In July of this year, Trump had experienced a "failed assassination" in that location.

ChainCatcher news, according to Polymarket data, the probability of Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election is 49%, while the probability of Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has risen to 50%.

ChainCatcher news, the probability of predicting Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket has risen to 48%, while the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has fallen to 50%.

ChainCatcher news, according to the predicted market Polymarket data, the current probability of Trump winning is 47%, trailing Harris by 4 percentage points, with the gap in winning probabilities between the two widening again.After the shooting incident on September 16, the probability gap of Trump winning had narrowed to 1 percentage point with Harris.

According to ChainCatcher news, SynFutures has launched a perpetual contract for the probability of winning the U.S. presidential election, allowing users to leverage up to 10 times on the Polymarket prediction market for either Trump or Harris winning the presidency. Currently, the probability of Trump winning the presidency on Polymarket is 47%, while Harris's probability is 52%. The settlement for the aforementioned contract market will take place around November 4.It is reported that SynFutures is currently one of the largest on-chain derivatives trading markets. According to DefiLlama's derivatives data dashboard, its trading volume in the past 24 hours ranks in the top 3 of the market; since its mainnet launch in March, the cumulative trading volume has exceeded $17 billion, with over 9.5 million on-chain transactions; in the second quarter, its market share in Blast's derivatives market exceeded 65%, and it ranked first in trading volume just two weeks after launching on Base. SynFutures previously announced that it secured $38 million in funding from top industry institutions such as Pantera, Polychain, Dragonfly, and Standard Crypto, and the protocol has been audited by Quantstamp.

ChainCatcher news, September 16, according to the prediction market Polymarket data, after the shooting incident, Harris's probability of winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election decreased by 1%, still at 50%, surpassing Trump's 49%.

ChainCatcher news, the probability of predicting Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket has risen to 53%, while the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has fallen to 46%.

ChainCatcher news, the probability of predicting Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket has risen to 50%, while the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has decreased to 48%.

ChainCatcher message, the probability of predicting Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket has risen to 49%, while the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has decreased to 50%.

ChainCatcher news, according to relevant page information, the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket has risen to 54%, while the probability of Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has decreased to 45%.

ChainCatcher news, the probability of predicting Trump winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Polymarket has decreased to 55%, while the probability of Kamala Harris winning the 2024 U.S. presidential election has increased to 43%.

ChainCatcher news, after Trump chose JD Vance as his running mate, Polygon predicted that the probability of winning in the market rose to a new high of 72%.In addition, the total bets on the Polymarket U.S. presidential election contracts reached $262 million, setting a record for the amount wagered in cryptocurrency-based prediction markets (not including all prediction markets).