Trump's probability of winning on Polymarket and Kalshi has dropped by 10%

2024-11-03 10:07:24

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ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, all major prediction markets continue to predict that former President Trump has a higher chance of winning than Vice President Harris ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.

However, according to data from ElectionBettingOdds.com, Trump's winning probability in the prediction markets has decreased by an average of 3.8% over the past week. On Kalshi and Polymarket, Trump's winning probability has dropped by more than 10% from its historical high.

As of the time of writing, Trump's odds on Polymarket have fallen from a peak of 71.5% reached on July 16 to 59.1%, while his odds on Kalshi have decreased from a high of 65.2% on October 29 to the current 55% (Kalshi's prediction market launched on October 4).

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