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traderpow is a trader who is passionate about meme coins and NFTs, preferring high-risk, high-reward operations.
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first_img Pantera Junior Partner Jay Yu: Computing power may become a commodity asset

Pantera Capital Junior Partner Jay Yu published an article titled "The Rise of Compute Markets," stating that computing power and data center spending have become a trillion-dollar category, but GPU procurement is still mainly done through group chats, over-the-counter brokers, and bilateral agreements. He noted that the financialization of computing power is still in its early stages, constrained by SKU, time, and location, but could become a commodity asset similar to electricity or oil in the next 5 to 10 years. Jay Yu believes that the computing power market may form a "hardware-supplier-cluster" structure similar to the electricity "grid-operator-node," with new cloud vendors being structural shorts on GPUs, while on-demand platforms and application layers are longs.He mentioned that for every $100 spent on inference at the application layer, about $45 flows to the on-demand layer, about $50 flows to the new cloud or GPU layer, and about $5 flows to routing layers like OpenRouter. NVIDIA can be seen as the "central bank" of computing power, having announced support for up to 25% residual value. He also stated that physical delivery has a more enduring moat, and indices, cash-settled exchanges, and financing tools will subsequently emerge, with participants including SF Compute, Vast AI, Runpod, Compute Exchange, and others. The computing power market does not have mandatory price transparency requirements, and basis risk may be greater.

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China plans for intelligent computing power to reach 9800 EFLOPS by 2030

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China released the "14th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Information and Communication Industry," setting the national intelligent computing power target at 9800 EFLOPS by 2030. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, as of the end of July, the national intelligent computing scale was approximately 2450 EFLOPS (FP16), indicating that it needs to expand by about 4 times in the next four years based on this standard.The plan proposes an orderly deployment of intelligent computing clusters with tens of thousands and hundreds of thousands of cards, building inference computing power for different scenarios, and increasing the adaptation of domestic computing power chips. Currently, 52 intelligent computing facilities with more than ten thousand cards have been established nationwide. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology disclosed that the intelligent computing power scale at the end of June was 2185 EFLOPS, a year-on-year increase of 177%. The plan uses 1590 EFLOPS in 2025 as a benchmark, aiming to reach 9800 EFLOPS by 2030, which is an expansion of about 6.2 times. During the same period, the cumulative investment target for information infrastructure in the information and communication industry is 3.8 trillion yuan, which also includes communication networks and is not all allocated for AI computing power.

Anthropic signed at least 14.8GW of computing power in the past 11 months, with a potential cost of up to 517 billion USD

According to statistics from The Information, Anthropic has signed at least 14.8GW of computing power in the past 11 months, which can be gradually utilized in the coming years. Based on currently public contracts, the potential total cost could reach up to $517 billion, with most expenditures occurring over the next decade. In addition to the 1-2GW already secured before October last year, the total computing power signed by Anthropic is approximately 16GW.This round of expansion is primarily driven by the demand for Claude. This year, the growth of Claude Code and Cowork has exceeded Anthropic's expectations, prompting the company to focus on acquiring computing power. The new agreement with Amazon provides up to 5GW, while Google and Broadcom offer another 5GW, and Microsoft and NVIDIA provide approximately 1GW. Anthropic has also rented all computing power from SpaceX's Colossus 1, acquiring over 220,000 NVIDIA GPUs, including H100, H200, and GB200.Anthropic has secured about 16GW, with many contracts extending beyond 2030. OpenAI has set a target for investors to reach 30GW by 2030, expecting to invest approximately $750 billion in computing power by that year. The $517 billion figure is the potential maximum cost estimated by The Information based on existing cloud services, chip, and data center contracts, with some computing power potentially being delayed or unused, and some contracts allowing for early cancellation.

first_img Jensen Huang stated at the G20 that computing power has become a national-level infrastructure, with an investment of about 50 to 60 billion dollars for 1 GW

On Wednesday, local time in the United States, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang appeared at the G20 Innovation Ministerial Meeting and engaged in a fireside chat with U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. Huang stated that AI is evolving into a national economic infrastructure similar to electricity and the internet, and the biggest risk countries face is not sufficiently investing in and adopting AI, ultimately being left behind by the industrial revolution.Huang mentioned that currently, building 1 gigawatt of AI infrastructure requires an investment of about $50 billion to $60 billion, and he expects that from now until the end of this decade, the scale of related construction will reach approximately 100 gigawatts. He also referenced the "five-layer cake" model of energy, chips, infrastructure, models, and applications, indicating that every country needs to build AI infrastructure and decide which aspects they wish to participate in.Huang anticipates that in the coming years, AI will essentially achieve AGI, and the next phase will transition from large language models to intelligent agents and embodied intelligence. He believes that AI is more likely to replace tasks rather than completely replace jobs, with operational tasks such as writing and information processing potentially becoming gradually automated.
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