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traderpow is a trader who is passionate about meme coins and NFTs, preferring high-risk, high-reward operations.
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SemiAnalysis Founder: By 2028, most of the new AI computing power will belong to two companies

In the latest podcast, SemiAnalysis founder Dylan Patel predicts that by 2028, OpenAI and Anthropic may account for 70% to 80% of the world's new AI computing power, with the total computing power scale potentially exceeding 100GW. Patel stated that the two companies currently account for about 30% of the world's annual new computing power, and this proportion is still rising rapidly.Patel pointed out that the business model of leading AI laboratories is changing, with a significant increase in the efficiency of AI computing power output. Currently, Anthropic's revenue per megawatt of computing power has reached about $50 million and may further rise to $100 million. This allows OpenAI and Anthropic to procure or lease computing power at high prices ranging from $25 million to $50 million per megawatt.Patel expects that global AI-related capital expenditures will reach about $11 trillion from 2024 to 2029, with over $5 trillion needing to be financed through debt. Due to the potential return on investment of AI infrastructure being far higher than that of traditional industries, tech giants may accept higher financing costs, thereby pushing up overall credit rates and squeezing the valuations of traditional assets and highly leveraged economies. Additionally, Patel believes that the new computing power may not primarily be used for providing model inference services externally, but may instead flow more towards internal research and development and self-improvement of models within AI laboratories.

first_img Ultraman is concerned that AI may fall into the hands of a few powerful individuals, stating that some people are overly anxious

According to Business Insider, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman expressed in the David Senra podcast that he is concerned that AI may one day be controlled by a few companies, models, or individuals, causing the vast majority of consumers to lose their voice in how technology shapes the world. He stated that the correct approach is to ensure that people firmly control the future, and society and models will evolve together.Altman is also worried about AI escaping human control. He pointed out that an excessive fear of the latter risk could lead to the former situation becoming a reality, as some advocate sacrificing a significant amount of freedom for security out of anxiety. The article suggests this may indirectly refer to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, who has repeatedly warned about AI risks and called for increased government regulation. Anthropic is the only mainstream AI company that has not signed the open letter supporting open-weight models.Although OpenAI has not yet open-sourced its cutting-edge models, it released two open-weight models last year: gpt-oss-120b and gpt-oss-20b. Altman also stated that U.S. AI leaders have failed to adequately demonstrate to the public how the technology enhances life autonomy, and he anticipates the largest wave of entrepreneurship, as AI is empowering more people to start small businesses.
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