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4E: Bitcoin's bullish sentiment in December is strong, and this week's "non-farm payrolls + Powell" will set the tone for year-end interest rate cuts

ChainCatcher news, the rise of the "Trump trade" in November has become a dominant factor driving global market trends. According to 4E monitoring, last week all three major U.S. stock indices rose, with weekly gains exceeding 1%. In November, the Dow Jones increased by 7.5% and the S&P rose by 5.7%, both marking the largest single-month gains of the year, while the Nasdaq accumulated over 6%. Large tech stocks saw widespread gains, with Tesla rising over 38% in November, achieving its best performance in nearly two years, and Nvidia accumulating a 179.23% increase this year. So far this year, the S&P 500 index has risen over 27%, compared to a 24% increase last year, leading to differing views on the outlook for U.S. stocks.The cryptocurrency market performed impressively in November, attracting widespread global attention. Bitcoin's monthly increase exceeded 37%, while Ethereum's rise reached 54%. Altcoins experienced significant gains at the end of the month, with market share continuously expanding; Bitcoin's market share has dropped by 8.15% from the peak of this bull market (61.78% on November 21), while the total market capitalization of altcoins rose nearly 70% in November. Historical data shows that Bitcoin has a significant average increase in December during the second half of the year, combined with the fact that most of Trump's cabinet are cryptocurrency investors, leading to strong bullish sentiment in the market.In the foreign exchange market, the dollar fell by 1.67% last week, ending an eight-week streak of gains, with a cumulative increase of 1.72% in November. The "Trump trade" boosted the dollar in November, hindering gold's upward momentum and triggering a sell-off after the election; spot gold fell about 3.7% in November, marking the largest monthly decline since September of last year. Oil prices continued to decline last week, with a weekly drop of over 3%.In recent weeks, investors have focused on Trump's various economic policies, but at the same time, the expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have also become quite nuanced. While the market expects an increased probability of a rate cut in December, the space for cuts in 2025 is continuously decreasing. The "near increase, far decrease" phenomenon largely reflects anxiety about the resurgence of inflation under a future Trump administration. This Thursday's speech by Powell and Friday's non-farm payroll data will largely set the tone for year-end rate cuts.eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, precious metals, and foreign exchange. Recently, it launched a USDT stablecoin wealth management product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets reasonably.

The former director of the Technology Supervision Department of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Yao Qian, has been expelled from the Party and dismissed from public office, involving transactions related to virtual currencies and other power-for-money exchanges

According to ChainCatcher news, on the website of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and National Supervisory Commission, Yao Qian, former director of the Science and Technology Supervision Bureau of the China Securities Regulatory Commission and former director of the Information Center, has been expelled from the Party and public office due to serious violations of discipline and law. Investigations show that Yao Qian used regulatory power to seek benefits for specific technology service providers, involving money-for-power transactions related to virtual currencies, and illegally accepted huge amounts of property.In addition, he also violated the spirit of the Central Eight Provisions by improperly accepting valuable items, accepting banquets, and engaging in irregular operations in employee recruitment and investment shares. After research and decision by the Party Committee of the China Securities Regulatory Commission and relevant disciplinary inspection and supervision departments, Yao Qian has been subjected to serious penalties, and issues involving suspected criminal activities have been transferred to the procuratorial organs for legal review and prosecution.Previous report indicated that Yao Qian was suspected of serious violations of discipline and law, and had previously undergone disciplinary review by the disciplinary inspection team stationed at the China Securities Regulatory Commission and supervisory investigation by the Shantou Municipal Supervisory Committee in Guangdong Province.It is reported that Yao Qian was the first director of the Digital Currency Research Department of the People's Bank of China (CBDC) and was named one of the most influential figures in the blockchain field by Coindesk in 2017. He has published multiple research articles on blockchain technology, digital currency, and Web 3.0, and co-authored the book "Web 3.0: Changes and Challenges of the Next Generation Internet."

4E: Powell suppresses interest rate cut expectations, U.S. stocks hit the largest weekly decline in two months, market sentiment declines

ChainCatcher news: After a strong surge following the election, market sentiment has somewhat cooled last week. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell seems intent on slowing down interest rate cuts, which has dampened the excitement generated by the "Trump trade."According to 4E monitoring, the three major U.S. stock indexes continued to weaken after reaching new highs on Monday. On Friday, a significant cut in interest rate expectations put pressure on the stock market, causing it to decline across the board. The S&P 500 index fell 2% over the past five trading days, erasing half of its gains since the election. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.24% this week, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 3.15%, marking its largest weekly decline since September.Bitcoin, after breaking through $93,000 on Wednesday to set a new all-time high, began to consolidate amid the pullback in U.S. stocks but showed resilience. It is currently trading in a narrow range around the $90,000 mark. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $90,799, with a 7-day increase of nearly 12%. Other altcoins followed Bitcoin's fluctuations, with SOL benefiting from the MEME frenzy, demonstrating strong rebound and upward momentum.In the commodities market, the cooling of interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve has led to a continued strengthening of the dollar, reaching its highest level in over a year. The dollar index rose 1.6% last week and has increased for seven consecutive weeks. The strong dollar continues to pressure commodities, with spot gold falling about 4.6% last week, marking its largest weekly decline in three years, and retreating nearly 9.3% from its historical high. U.S. oil fell nearly 5%, while Brent crude dropped nearly 4%.Current market focus is on inflation concerns following the Trump administration's rise and the Federal Reserve's more hawkish outlook. Powell's speech on Thursday essentially indicated that Fed officials do not need to rush into rate cuts, leading traders to significantly reduce their rate cut expectations. The retreat in sentiment and uncertainty in monetary policy have increased upward resistance in the market. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, commodities like gold, and foreign exchange. It recently launched a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to be aware of market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.
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