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According to the latest data from Polymarket Builders, on July 14, Gate's prediction market ranked first in daily trading volume among all channels on Polymarket. With the World Cup semi-finals underway, trading related to the events remains active, and Gate's prediction market maintains its leading advantage. In addition, Gate's prediction market not only ranks first in daily trading volume but also leads in weekly and monthly trading volumes across all channels on Polymarket, continuously demonstrating strong performance and showcasing the platform's user activity and trading enthusiasm in the sports event prediction market.Currently, Gate is launching the "Gate Prediction Market × World Cup Semi-Final Focus Event" campaign, with a total prize pool of 50,000 USDT. During the event, users can sign up and participate in the specified focus event predictions for the World Cup semi-finals on Gate Polymarket. Meeting the event requirements will qualify users for rewards, with no need to predict correctly, allowing them to share the 50,000 USDT prize pool. Additionally, Gate has launched the "World Cup Final Sprint Gift" campaign. During this period, users participating in predictions related to the quarter-finals, semi-finals, or finals in the World Cup section of Gate Polymarket have the chance to receive an 88 yuan JD.com gift card, with a total of 10,000 rewards to be distributed, accompanying users in witnessing the birth of the World Cup champion.As the first centralized trading platform to integrate with Polymarket, Gate has become an important entry point for users to participate in the prediction market. Users can directly access the prediction market through the Gate App, entering the Polymarket page from the Alpha section on the homepage, and conveniently participate in various event predictions using USDT in their accounts. Users can also utilize the "Smart Money" feature to track the positions and market judgments of high-win-rate traders, gaining more reference for event predictions. Gate is continuously expanding the application scenarios of the prediction market, providing users with a diversified experience from event judgment to trading participation.

According to Bitcoin News, the Czech Ministry of Finance officially listed the decentralized prediction market platform Polymarket on the "Unauthorized Online Gambling List" on July 13. The Czech gambling regulator requires internet service providers (ISPs) to complete access blocking for the platform within 15 days.The Czech regulator stated that Polymarket lacks necessary oversight, its operations essentially fall under gambling products, and due to its decentralized nature and unlicensed operation, it bypasses local gambling legal frameworks, posing risks such as market manipulation using insider information and lack of risk control. Recently, several European regulators have continued to tighten control over Polymarket, with Italy re-adding it to the ban list and the Netherlands also rejecting the platform's appeal.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that any changes to the balance sheet policy will be announced in advance.

According to The Block, the DeFi startup project Gondor based on Polymarket has announced the launch of version 1, which will support users in cross-margin lending for their entire Polymarket portfolio to obtain credit for purchasing more prediction market shares.This feature is expected to go live publicly in September, with the private testing phase starting next week. Gondor v1 is a significant upgrade from its beta version tested 7 months ago. The previous beta version only supported lending against a single position, while the cross-margin model assesses based on the overall account health of the user, similar to how traditional financial brokers grant credit based on a client's diversified portfolio.

According to Jinshi, Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, stated that if the sell-off of AI concept stocks intensifies, the recent rise of the dollar may face risks. He pointed out that international investors are actively positioning themselves in the AI theme, driving a record rolling net inflow of foreign capital into the U.S. stock market over the past 12 months, but most of these investors have not hedged against foreign exchange risks.If AI performance disappoints and leads to a decline in capital inflows, it will pose significant downside risks to the dollar.

According to DeFiLlama data, Polymarket's revenue reached $11.46 million in the week from July 6 to 12, setting a new high since 2026. Currently, its total value locked (TVL) is approximately $374 million, with an annualized revenue of about $188 million and a trading volume of approximately $4.936 billion in the last 30 days.

According to Bitcoin.com, the Singapore Police Force's Anti-Fraud Centre and Cybercrime Investigation Department, in a six-week joint anti-fraud operation from April 16 to May 31, 2026, collaborated with Coinbase, Coinhako, Gemini, Independent Reserve, OKX, StraitsX, and Upbit to identify potential fraud victims using blockchain analysis tools from Chainalysis and TRM Labs. They conducted over 145 targeted interventions through phone calls and on-site visits, preventing potential losses exceeding $4.2 million.Coinbase Singapore posted on X on July 10, stating that it collaborated with the Singapore Police to prevent over 145 individuals from losing a total of more than $4.2 million due to fraud. The Singapore Police stated that they will continue to work with cryptocurrency exchanges and other private sectors to combat cybercrime.

According to IBTIMES, Brazilian police announced the launch of "Operation Veil of Maya," executing 9 search and seizure warrants simultaneously in São Paulo, Ribeirão Preto, Porto Alegre, and Canoas to combat a money laundering network involving 87 shell companies. The operation's name is derived from the philosophical concept of "Maya," which refers to the illusion that hides reality.Investigations show that cryptocurrency primarily plays a role in cross-border fund transfers within this money laundering network, where criminals receive illegal income through shell companies, convert the funds into crypto assets, and then transfer them abroad. Those involved may face charges of money laundering, tax evasion, participation in organized crime, and other related accusations, but the police have not yet disclosed the scale of the funds involved or the quantity of seized assets.

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on the X platform revealing that there has been a significant development in the case of abandoned bitcoins, where "Noah Doe" is attempting to obtain ownership of Satoshi Nakamoto's bitcoins through legal proceedings. The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) has officially applied to intervene in the case as a defendant and seeks to push the court to dismiss all lawsuits.It is reported that BPI, represented by the law firm White & Case, has not only applied to intervene in the case but has also submitted a proposed defense document, 15 active defenses, and plans to file a motion to dismiss.Alex Thorn disclosed that BPI claims it is qualified to intervene because the organization has long self-custodied a portion of its bitcoin reserves intended for indefinite holding. The plaintiff's theory that "long-term inactivity constitutes abandonment" could potentially include similar assets in future lawsuits. If the legal logic of this case is ultimately supported by the court, it may set a precedent for depriving long-term self-custody users of asset ownership, making this lawsuit not only related to Satoshi Nakamoto's assets but also concerning the legal foundation of the entire bitcoin self-custody ecosystem.

According to Jinshi reports, the International Financial Association pointed out that the Federal Reserve is becoming more hawkish, and with the resurgence of oil price fluctuations, this may tighten U.S. dollar liquidity and raise the risk threshold for emerging markets.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated that the alternative asset management firm Subversive Capital has submitted applications for two actively managed prediction market ETFs, including the Subversive Prediction ETF and the Subversive All Season Sports ETF.The related funds are expected to place bets on approximately 30 to 50 events across different prediction markets, covering areas such as macroeconomics, politics, weather, and sports events. Balchunas described it as the "degen Peter Lynch."

According to Bloomberg, the prediction market platform Polymarket is seeking regulatory approval in the United States to conduct margin trading operations in compliance.The company submitted a futures commission merchant (FCM) operating application to the National Futures Association (NFA) through its subsidiary Coming Home GBA LLC on July 3. This move will allow users to participate in event betting with less capital and is expected to attract more professional traders to the market.

The Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) and the wallet service provider Phantom submitted a joint opinion to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) calling for a clear delineation of the roles of "infrastructure developers" and "regulated financial service providers" in on-chain markets.The two parties suggested to the CFTC: first, to confirm that merely releasing on-chain protocol software does not constitute a regulated activity requiring registration, to avoid developers being viewed as unregistered exchanges or clearinghouses; second, to provide a compliant pathway for existing licensed exchanges and clearinghouses to engage in matching and clearing using on-chain infrastructure; third, to elevate the previous "no-action letter" regarding Phantom's "non-custodial wallets not being financial intermediaries" to formal rules, providing a unified and predictable regulatory framework for similar wallets.

PPP market prediction tool monitoring shows that the "Anthropic highest valuation this year" prediction event data on Polymarket indicates that the probability of Anthropic reaching a valuation of $1.5 trillion by the end of 2026 has risen to 78%, up 47% in 24 hours; the probability of reaching $2 trillion has risen to 37%, up 19% in 24 hours.On June 1, Anthropic secretly submitted an S-1 registration statement draft to the U.S. SEC, officially starting the IPO process in the U.S. Recently, research institution SemiAnalysis released a report stating that Anthropic is expected to achieve $1 billion in GAAP operating profit in the third quarter of 2026, with an operating profit margin of 6%.

According to official news, Paxos announced that PayPal USD (PYUSD) is officially natively issued on the Polygon chain and provides services to the market through the Polygon "Open Money Stack."This move aims to provide on-chain dollar settlement solutions for institutions and enterprises under federal regulation, covering deposit, withdrawal, and compliance functions. The Polygon chain currently has a daily average stablecoin settlement amount exceeding $2.5 billion, with a total settlement amount exceeding $2.6 trillion. PYUSD is issued by Paxos, a national trust chartered institution regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

According to The Block, a global anti-fraud operation led by INTERPOL has arrested over 5,800 suspects and successfully uncovered a cryptocurrency money laundering network that used cross-chain token exchange methods to conceal illegal fund flows.One suspect's digital wallet processed over $122.5 million in funds in just 10 months. On-chain analysts pointed out that while cross-chain operations increase tracking difficulty, it does not mean that fund flows cannot be traced. Such cases indicate that financial crimes continue to evolve alongside the advancement of blockchain technology.

The official interface shows that Polymarket has launched Perp trading functionality, currently supporting 10 assets including BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE, as well as gold, silver, SP500, NAS100, WTIOIL, SPCX, with a maximum leverage of 20 times.

According to news from the People's Bank of China on July 8, the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee held its 113th regular meeting for the second quarter of 2026 on July 4. The meeting pointed out that since the beginning of this year, monetary policy has remained moderately accommodative, the cost of social financing is at a historically low level, and the supply and demand in the foreign exchange market are basically balanced. In the face of the current complex and changing external environment, as well as domestic challenges such as strong supply and weak demand and structural differentiation, the overall operation of our economy is stable and moving towards improvement.The meeting emphasized that in the next stage, it will continue to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy, increase counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, strengthen the coordination of monetary and fiscal policies, and promote stable economic growth and a reasonable rebound in prices. At the same time, the meeting clearly stated the need to maintain ample liquidity and promote the low-level operation of comprehensive social financing costs; assess the operation of the bond market from a macro-prudential perspective, and pay attention to changes in long-term yields; maintain basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. In addition, the central bank will continue to optimize various structural monetary policy tools, solidly implement the "five major tasks" of finance, and increase financial support for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, small and micro enterprises, and the private economy.