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According to Jinshi reports, the Polish armed forces stated that due to Russia's airstrikes on Ukraine, Poland has deployed fighter jets for protective reasons.

According to The Block, the Solana Policy Institute in the United States has sent a letter to the bipartisan leaders of the Senate, urging them to push the Clarity Act digital asset bill into the voting process before the congressional legislative window closes in early August. The bill aims to provide regulatory clarity for U.S. crypto developers, institutions, and consumers, and establish a "non-money transmission" safe harbor for non-custodial software developers through the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act.The latest Republican version also adds ethical provisions that prohibit federal officials and their spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets, with the relevant provisions set to expire on January 20, 2029. SPI stated that the bill helps prevent "overreach" of regulation and criminal enforcement against software developers, maintaining the momentum for domestic construction in the United States.

According to The New York Times, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance quietly adjusted its law enforcement cooperation policy last April, requiring law enforcement agencies in various countries to forward relevant requests to foreign government agencies for processing, which must go through international treaty procedures, significantly extending the response time.Police representatives from five European countries reported at a law enforcement meeting in the Netherlands that, except for urgent cases involving child sexual abuse, terrorism, or threats to life, the vast majority of requests were forwarded to the UAE government, where Binance is registered, severely hindering investigations.Meanwhile, several senior employees from Binance's compliance team have left one after another, further intensifying external concerns. Binance denied slowing down cooperation, stating that this move aims to ensure compliance with data privacy regulations.

According to Fortune, the prediction market platform Polymarket has established the Polymarket Institute, a new organization dedicated to researching prediction market information discovery and forecasting mechanisms, fully funded by Polymarket but without disclosing the specific amount.The institute will set up a "Scientific Scholarship" program to fund doctoral researchers conducting research in related fields, initially recruiting 12 researchers, each of whom will receive a one-time grant of $10,000. To ensure research independence, researchers are prohibited from trading on platforms like Polymarket during their tenure and retain the unconditional right to publish any research findings (even if unfavorable to Polymarket). The funding will adopt a university donation model rather than commissioned research to avoid Polymarket having editorial influence over the results.Polymarket's Chief Data Officer Kai Brusch will serve as the Managing Director of the institute, and Carnegie Mellon University Assistant Professor of Economics and Technology Brian Jabarian will serve as the Scientific Director. To avoid conflicts of interest, Jabarian will not receive personal compensation for this role.

Circle's Senior Director of Strategy and Policy for the EU, Patrick Hansen, pointed out that since the implementation of the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), approximately 35 electronic money tokens (EMT) from 21 institutions have obtained compliance certification, with banks and electronic money institutions entering the market, showing a good momentum for local issuance.However, among the top 50 stablecoins globally, currently only USDC, USDG, and EURC meet MiCA requirements, while the rest remain outside the regulatory framework, leaving EU users facing a dual dilemma of lack of protection or being forced to cut off access. Hansen believes that for MiCA to truly become a global regulatory blueprint, it must achieve two goals simultaneously: first, to promote local EMTs to go global with competitive systems; second, to establish a recognition mechanism for compliant stablecoins from abroad, attracting global issuers into the MiCA regulatory framework, rather than making local issuance the only entry path.

South Korean Finance Minister Choo Kyung-ho apologized for launching a single stock leveraged ETF without careful consideration. According to Gate market data, on Wednesday, the South Korean KOSPI index experienced turbulence, dropping as much as 12% during the day, and ultimately narrowing its decline to about 8%. Choo Kyung-ho stated that the government is studying market stabilization measures and may further adjust the relevant regulations for single stock leveraged ETFs to respond to market fluctuations.

According to Jinshi reports, Paul Zangieri, a senior economist at Prudential Investment, is closely monitoring the communication wording of the Federal Reserve. It is expected that the FOMC will "maintain or even strengthen its hawkish tone," as ongoing inflation, rising oil prices, and internal disagreements within the FOMC open the door for further tightening of policies later this year.

According to Jinshi reports, D.A. Davidson's co-chief investment officer James Ragan stated that since the last Federal Reserve meeting, inflation data has been moderate and employment growth has been modest, but the escalation of military conflict between the U.S. and Iran in July has disrupted these positive trends. This means that the progress made in inflation in June may reverse, and the Federal Reserve needs to assess the persistence of core inflation trends.If it is determined that higher inflation expectations are forming, they should raise interest rates in July rather than wait until September, especially considering the political risks of the midterm elections.

According to Jinshi reports, the Bank of Korea stated that inflation will exceed the target in the second half of the year, so it is necessary to maintain a tight policy stance.

According to reports from China News Service, multiple South Korean media outlets believe that the recent sharp decline in the stock market is interpreted as a shock from the listing of China's largest semiconductor company, Changxin Technology. The market is worried that Changxin Technology will use the funds raised from its stock market listing to catch up with semiconductor companies like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and this concern has spread, leading to a setback in investor sentiment.According to a previous report by CNBC, Z-Ben Advisors analyst Peter Alexander believes that, referencing the development paths of the steel and new energy vehicle industries, Changxin Technology will quickly seize market share in the low-end memory chip market and ultimately shake the monopoly positions of Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology in the global memory industry.

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "Ethereum will reach price in July" prediction market, the probability of ETH reaching $2000 is 26%, down 46% in 24 hours; the probability of dropping to $1800 is currently reported at 43%, up 28% in 24 hours. According to the rules of this prediction market, the relevant results are determined based on the highest price of the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair's 1-minute K-line.Yesterday, ETH once surged to $1981, less than 1% away from the $2000 mark, but then quickly fell back and has now dropped below $1900.

It has been reported that the mayoral candidate of Incheon, South Korea, is accused of falsely reporting assets, suspected of failing to declare the spouse's cryptocurrency assets.

According to CoinDesk, U.S. District Court Judge Katherine Menendez in Minnesota ruled that the state law classifying the operation of prediction markets as a criminal offense likely violates the federal Commodity Exchange Act (CEA), and granted a preliminary injunction to Kalshi, Polymarket, and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), suspending the enforcement of the state law.The judge found that prediction market contracts structurally fall under the category of "swap" products regulated by the CFTC, and that federal law takes precedence over state law, with the three plaintiffs "likely to prevail in a formal trial." Additionally, the judge noted that failing to suspend the enforcement of the law would cause "irreparable harm" to Kalshi and Polymarket. This preliminary injunction will remain in effect until a final judgment is made in the case.

The Brazilian Federal Police are cracking down on a drug trafficking gang that has been laundering money through cryptocurrency in Operation Commodity. Since 2021, the gang has smuggled over 6.5 tons of cocaine to Europe via the Port of Rio de Janeiro, with the drugs hidden in shipments of coffee, cement, and mortar.The operation covered São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Santa Catarina, and Espírito Santo, with police executing 13 preventive arrests and 44 search and seizure warrants. The court ordered the seizure of assets and the freezing of up to 1 billion reais, approximately 196 million dollars. Police stated that the gang is linked to Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV), and laundered money through a luxury car dealership and shell companies in the Greater São Paulo area, with the dealership selling vehicles such as Ferrari, Porsche, Corvette, and Land Rover.The individuals involved used shell companies to issue invoices lacking supporting documents, bringing drug trafficking proceeds into the Brazilian financial system and using cryptocurrency to conceal transactions. The suspects will be held accountable for charges including transnational organized crime, international drug trafficking, and money laundering.

The Singapore Police Force and the Federal Bureau of Investigation signed a memorandum of understanding to strengthen joint actions, intelligence sharing, training, and law enforcement assistance in online scams, cyber fraud, and money laundering cases.The two parties completed a joint operation targeting cross-border cryptocurrency fraud in Singapore and the United States, identifying 54 victims and potential victims through information sharing and blockchain intelligence, and preventing potential losses of approximately 2.7 million USD in the United States and about 388,000 SGD in Singapore.

According to former Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett, one of the largest police unions in the United States, the National Fraternal Order of Police, has shifted its support to the latest version of the Clarity Act, stating that the revised provisions of the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA) address its previous concerns and preserve law enforcement's ability to investigate cryptocurrency crimes.The report notes that the text of the latest version of the BRCA, released on Wednesday, has not changed, and it is currently unclear what specific revisions the union is referring to.

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's SpaceX Starship conducting its 13th test flight on July 24 has risen to 77%, up 16% in 24 hours; the probability for the 13th test flight on July 25 has risen to 83%, up 35% in 24 hours.SpaceX previously announced that due to weather reasons, the 13th test flight of the SpaceX Starship was postponed to July 24, but it is still uncertain whether the weather reasons still exist. SpaceX attempted the first test flight of the Starship on July 17, but due to some Raptor engines failing to start as expected, the automatic launch abort procedure was triggered, resulting in the failure of the first test flight. It is reported that SpaceX is currently fully "betting" on the Starship and has begun to refuse commercial Falcon rocket launch orders after 2028.

The PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of "the next Claude Opus model being released on July 23, 2026" on Polymarket is currently reported at 61%, up 51% in the last 24 hours. In addition, the probability of "being released before July 24" is currently reported at 9%; the probability of "being released before July 25" is currently reported at 5%.This event will settle based on the date (Eastern Time) when Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made publicly available. Only models explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic are valid, and they must be open to the public (including public testing or open waiting lists). Other models such as Sonnet and Haiku are not included, and the final settlement will primarily rely on official information from Anthropic.

Michael Kratsios, the Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, stated that information has been obtained showing that Moonshot AI is distilling Anthropic's Fable model by building a large-scale internal platform for the development of its K3 model, and has switched access methods multiple times to evade detection. He also pointed out that Moonshot AI has purchased GB300 servers and accessed GB300 equipment in Thailand, which may be used for training AI models. Kratsios stated that the U.S. supports legitimate distillation and open innovation but opposes the theft of U.S. technology through large-scale secret industrial distillation methods. Currently, Moonshot AI has not publicly responded to this.