pol

The prediction market platform Polymarket has disclosed that it has completed its first institutional-level on-chain block trade, a six-figure dollar transaction executed by digital asset broker FalconX and AI risk clearing infrastructure startup Anera Labs on the Polygon blockchain. The transaction involved contracts related to the Ornn Compute Price Index, which is used to track the rental prices of NVIDIA H100 GPU chips.Polymarket stated that this is the first on-chain block trade involving institutional participation in the prediction market space. In the future, FalconX will also serve as the exclusive market maker for block trades on the Polymarket platform to support the liquidity needs and price discovery for institutional clients.

The Liberal Democratic Party's Blockchain Promotion Parliamentary Alliance in Japan submitted a policy proposal to Finance Minister Katsuyuki Kitayama, calling for the clear inclusion of blockchain and Web3 in the national strategy. The proposal covers multiple areas including tax reform, cryptocurrency ETFs, leveraged trading regulation, responses to unregistered operators, cryptocurrency strategy, and trade logistics. Among them, the proposal suggests further research on the choice mechanism for "declaration separation taxation" and "withholding separation taxation" for crypto assets, and explores the tax treatment methods for exchanges and inheritance of crypto assets.In terms of derivatives regulation, the proposal believes that the current 2x leverage limit for individual cryptocurrency trading is too low and suggests gradually increasing the leverage level in conjunction with margin management systems. At the same time, the proposal also calls for a clear positioning of the cryptocurrency ETF system and strengthening law enforcement cooperation with overseas regulatory agencies. Katsuyuki Kitayama stated that he will actively promote the construction of related systems, including facilitating the implementation of cryptocurrency ETFs and researching a new tax system to be implemented in January 2028.

According to The Block, Strategy disclosed in SEC filings that it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and 31, cashing out approximately $2.5 million to pay for preferred stock dividends, marking the company's first sale of Bitcoin since December 2022.This disclosure has sparked controversy over a prediction pool on Polymarket with a trading volume exceeding $20 million—where the market bets on whether Strategy will sell Bitcoin before May 31. The crux of the dispute lies in: supporters of "yes" argue that the sale occurred before the deadline; supporters of "no" contend that the information had not been publicly disclosed by the time the market closed and should not be counted.The market is currently in the final review stage, with Polymarket adding that "results confirmed after the deadline will not be recognized," leaning towards supporting the "no" side. If the dispute escalates further, it will be decided by a vote of UMA token holders, but previous reports have indicated that UMA voting power is highly concentrated, with over 60% of active voters having ties to Polymarket accounts, raising questions about its fairness.

Polymarket announced on Thursday that it has signed an exclusive partnership agreement with the Berlin digital football platform OneFootball, which will connect the prediction market to OneFootball's 200 million monthly active users and 645 million fan ecosystem about two weeks before the start of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Polymarket will be the only prediction market partner within the OneFootball app, and competitors like Kalshi will not be allowed to enter this product.This is Polymarket's seventh major football partnership this year and the first collaboration aimed at media application distribution channels, having previously signed agreements with MLS, LaLiga, Serie A, Lazio, and DAZN.According to analysis by the Pew Research Center, since July 2024, sports have accounted for 39% of Polymarket's total trading volume. The 2026 World Cup champion market has seen a cumulative trading volume of over $1.2 billion since its launch last July, while the broader World Cup category market totals approximately $1.3 billion.OneFootball has previously launched the OFC token based on Base and Ethereum, as well as the points system BALLS. The integration with Polymarket will convert user engagement into actual transactions. OneFootball has raised over $300 million in funding, with investors including Liberty City Ventures, Animoca Brands, and Adidas.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated at the 32nd Dubrovnik Economic Conference that the global adoption of stablecoins could amplify the impact of Federal Reserve policies.He pointed out that for countries adopting stablecoins, it is akin to a fixed exchange rate system, effectively expanding the reach of U.S. monetary policy.

The probability of "Selling Bitcoin before May 31" on Polymarket has dropped to 23%, a 17% decrease in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of selling before June 30 is 67%, a 6% decrease in 24 hours; the probability of selling before December 31 is 88%, a 3% decrease in 24 hours. Today, Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase, the same amount that was deposited the previous day, suspected to dispel rumors of selling coins.According to market news, Odaily Seer’s prophet channel continues to pay attention to the prediction market, noticing changes before pricing.

According to Decrypt, a former Ukrainian police officer kidnapped a cryptocurrency entrepreneur and extorted approximately $2.2 million through violence, intimidation, and false debt claims. Prosecutors stated that the gang targeted at least four victims and committed crimes using law enforcement methods, official vehicles, and impersonating police officers. The Kyiv regional prosecutor's office announced that the pre-trial investigation has been completed, and the gang includes four former police officers and one previously convicted civilian, but none of them have been formally charged for these attacks yet. This case comes amid a global surge in "ransomware attacks" in the cryptocurrency space, where criminals use violent coercion to steal digital assets.

According to Reuters, private equity giant Apollo Global Management and Blackstone Group are bringing in more investors for a debt financing deal worth approximately $36 billion to help Anthropic build its artificial intelligence infrastructure.Insiders revealed that this debt financing will be used to purchase Google-customized TPU (Tensor Processing Unit) chips, which will then be leased by Anthropic. Broadcom, which assisted Google in developing the chips, will provide guarantees for the majority of the funds in this transaction.This move is expected to become one of the largest private credit transactions in history and may also be the largest chip financing debt transaction to date. The plan aims to provide computational power support for Anthropic by leveraging Broadcom's creditworthiness.

The Polymarket development team stated, "The current trading functionality is experiencing issues. The team has confirmed the cause of the problem and is deploying a fix. Real-time status updates can be viewed on the official status page."

According to Fortune, U.S. prosecutors this week charged Google software engineer Michele Spagnuolo (36 years old, Italian, currently residing in Switzerland) with insider trading.Prosecutors stated that under the username "AlphaRaccoon," he placed bets on the prediction market platform Polymarket using internal search trend data before the public release of Google's "2025 Search Annual" data, accumulating profits of over $1.2 million.The FBI identified him by tracking cryptocurrency payments. Google has suspended him and stated that using confidential information to place bets severely violates company policy.Spagnuolo is charged with violating the Commodity Exchange Act, telecommunications fraud, and money laundering, and could face years in prison.

According to Decrypt, the Kyiv regional prosecutor's office in Ukraine has completed a pre-trial investigation into a gang that includes four former police officers and one civilian with a criminal record, suspected of kidnapping a cryptocurrency entrepreneur through violence, intimidation, and false debt claims, extorting over $2.2 million.The prosecution stated that the individuals involved targeted at least four victims, using law enforcement skills, official vehicles, and police identities to disguise their crimes, forcing victims to hand over funds and sign documents for non-existent debts. In one case, a victim from Kyiv was kidnapped at gunpoint and forced to sign a false debt document for $5 million.The prosecution accused the individuals of creating and participating in an armed gang, kidnapping, illegal detention, robbery, extortion, and illegal possession of drugs. The gang's activities were terminated in November 2025, and all individuals involved have been dismissed from police duties, with the case materials transferred to the court.

According to Jinshi reports, Schmid stated that the current monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is not very tight.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB board member Panetta stated that the forward-looking situation seems to require a recalibration of the monetary policy stance.

According to Jinshi News, T. Rowe Price Chief U.S. Economist Blerina Uruci stated that the market may still be underestimating the likelihood of the Federal Reserve further tightening its policies.She pointed out that since early May, the duration of the Iran conflict has exceeded expectations, oil prices have risen, and U.S. economic growth has remained resilient. Uruci believes that the probability of the federal funds rate remaining unchanged over the next 12 months is 45%, the probability of a rate hike by the end of the year or early 2027 is 35%, and the probability of a rate cut is 20%.

Lookonchain posted on platform X that Michael Saylor's Strategy has just deposited 411.48 BTC into Coinbase Prime, worth 30.3 million dollars; on Polymarket, the probability of MicroStrategy selling BTC before December 31, 2026, has now reached 84%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Musalem stated on Thursday that, like several Federal Reserve decision-makers last month, he believes the phrase "accommodative stance" should be removed from the post-meeting statement to create the possibility for interest rate hikes. He supports this interest rate decision and believes that the accommodative stance no longer aligns with the economic outlook and risk balance.