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Senior Partner at Polychain, Josh Rosenthal, posted on X platform, "After nearly 5 years at Polychain Capital, I have decided to leave. I feel fortunate to have witnessed the birth and growth of some companies that defined the cryptocurrency industry up close, for which I will always be grateful. I am now embarking on a new venture and look forward to sharing more information in the near future."

Today, Bitget CFD Chief Analyst Lewis Huang pointed out in an online live broadcast themed "Logic of Gold Trend Analysis" that this week's market focus will be on the U.S. May PCE Price Index and the final value of Q1 GDP.Previously, CPI and PPI data reached new highs, non-farm employment showed robust performance, and signals of inflation rebound combined with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance have led the market to gradually digest rate hike expectations. He emphasized that Waller has clearly stated that controlling inflation is the top priority, and the interest rate dot plot shows that rate hikes in 2026 are becoming an internal consensus, and the market needs to prepare for a higher and longer-lasting interest rate environment.Regarding the gold trend, Lewis Huang stated that due to the impact of geopolitical conflicts driving up energy prices, the overall year-on-year increase in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index may rise to 3.4% or even higher. If the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rises unexpectedly, the U.S. Dollar Index will gain strong momentum, while non-interest-bearing assets like gold will face weakening risks. He suggests that CFD traders closely monitor inflation expectation differentials and flexibly capture opportunities for U.S. dollar bullishness or guard against gold downturns.

According to HK01, the Hong Kong police have cracked a cross-border money laundering case. The involved group used 43 Hong Kong bank accounts to process funds from 34 fraud cases between June and September 2024, amounting to approximately HKD 18 million, and is suspected of laundering up to HKD 230 million in criminal proceeds through cryptocurrency transactions via bank accounts.The police investigation found that a 34-year-old woman from mainland China is suspected of coming to Hong Kong to set up multiple puppet bank accounts, assisting the criminal group in laundering approximately HKD 9.29 million in criminal proceeds, and purchasing cryptocurrency through virtual asset exchange shops to disguise the source and flow of funds. The woman was sentenced to 47.5 months in prison.The Hong Kong police remind that assisting a criminal group in handling funds could face up to 10 years in prison, and those involved in money laundering could face fines of up to HKD 5 million and imprisonment for up to 14 years.

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the prediction market platform Polymarket is suspected of paying dozens of social media creators to instruct them to record fake betting and high-profit videos on a simulated website that closely resembles the official site, using this as a promotional tactic to attract new users. The report indicates that the campaign required creators to conceal the official sponsorship relationship and specifically targeted the domestic audience in the United States.The investigation shows that the related marketing videos have accumulated over 140 million views on platforms such as TikTok, YouTube, and Instagram, involving up to $1.9 million in false bets. In response, Polymarket did not directly address the specific details of the investigation but stated in a statement that, as part of promoting industry transparency, the platform is conducting a comprehensive audit of active promotional content to ensure it strictly complies with internal standards and applicable regulatory and legal disclosure requirements.

Polymarket has become the exclusive prediction market partner of the Bundesliga in the United States. Polymarket stated that the official event contracts of the Bundesliga and its clubs are now exclusively available on Polymarket.

According to Jinshi reports, Castle Securities stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Waller's commitment to lowering inflation has enhanced the credibility of the Federal Reserve, thereby supporting U.S. long-term Treasury yields and suppressing term premiums. Following last week's Federal Reserve meeting, trading in the U.S. Treasury market, which amounts to $31 trillion, showed that long-term yields were more stable compared to the two-year yields that are more sensitive to policy. The company's head of fixed income sales, Nohshad Shah, stated, "A highly credible Federal Reserve should benefit long-end rate performance."

According to CoinDesk, major lobbying organizations in the U.S. cryptocurrency industry jointly sent a letter to the House Ways and Means Committee, urging the advancement of the "Tax Clarity for Mining and Staking Act," advocating for tax treatment options for cryptocurrency miners and staking income recipients. The bill was introduced by Republican Congressman Mike Carey, and its core content allows taxpayers to choose the timing of taxation when they receive new mining or staking assets—either paying taxes at the time the assets are generated or deferring taxes until the final sale.Industry associations, including the Blockchain Association, Digital Chamber, and Crypto Council for Innovation, have expressed support, arguing that the current tax system may force users participating in network security maintenance to bear tax burdens before they have realized the assets. Supporters claim that the proposal does not provide "indefinite deferral," but rather avoids immediate taxation on income that has not yet realized liquidity, thereby alleviating cash flow pressure on miners and validators.However, Democratic lawmakers and some external critics are concerned that this mechanism could be exploited by large mining companies for long-term tax deferral, especially in the context of some publicly listed or politically connected companies participating in mining operations, raising potential policy arbitrage disputes. Meanwhile, the industry's focus remains on the broader "Digital Asset Market Structure Act" (Clarity Act), but tax issues have become the second key battleground, expected to continue advancing in tandem with regulatory framework legislation in the coming weeks.

According to reports from Nanchong Rongmei, the Public Security Bureau of Nanchong City in Sichuan Province announced that the police recently investigated a case involving the use of AI large models to fabricate and disseminate false information about the securities market.It is reported that the person involved, Wang, sought to gain internet traffic revenue by using AI to generate an article of about 3,000 words related to the stock market and published it on online platforms. After verification by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the article fabricated false policy information regarding the collection of stamp duty, T+0 trading, and made misleading predictions about the securities market, disrupting the order of the financial market. Currently, the related false articles have been removed, and the police in Nanchong County have legally imposed administrative penalties on Wang.

The recently released policy simulation report "Europe 2031" points out that, constrained by a shortage of computing power and reliance on external models, Europe may face the risk of economic and political marginalization in the global AI competition if it does not make significant strategic adjustments. The report notes that Europe currently accounts for only 5% of global AI computing power, lacking leverage in technological competition, and its advocated "technological sovereignty" may be difficult to achieve due to insufficient funding and lagging policies, even facing the risk of losing autonomous control over core technology companies (such as ASML).To address the aforementioned challenges, the report proposes a series of countermeasures. It suggests that Europe should mobilize public and private capital on a large scale, focusing investments on foundational computing infrastructure such as energy, semiconductors, and data centers; and form a technology alliance with countries like the UK and Japan to integrate supply chain advantages for international negotiation leverage. Additionally, the report calls for Europe to advance labor market reforms to adapt to the proliferation of AI and tighten scrutiny of foreign investment in local manufacturing to consolidate its existing advantages in industrial AI and robotics.

The Hong Kong Police Force's Financial Intelligence and Investigation Bureau, in conjunction with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Hong Kong Association of Banks, jointly held an "Anti-Money Laundering Exhibition." Hong Kong Police Commissioner Raymond Siu disclosed data stating that in the first quarter of this year, Hong Kong recorded over 9,400 fraud cases, a decrease of about 60 cases compared to the same period last year, but the amount of losses exceeded HKD 1.85 billion, an increase of nearly HKD 300 million compared to the same period last year. In the first quarter of this year, about 2,000 people were arrested for fraud and money laundering-related cases, with approximately 70% being "puppet account" holders.The Hong Kong police remind that under the law, a conviction for money laundering can result in a maximum fine of HKD 5 million and imprisonment for 14 years, and the court may apply for an increased sentence depending on the circumstances.

According to a report by Kyodo News, the Osaka Prefectural Police arrested three men on suspicion of violating the Organized Crime Punishment Law for laundering criminal proceeds on behalf of an investment fraud gang. It is said that these three individuals exchanged approximately 14 million yen from 10 victims across six prefectures into stablecoins and other cryptocurrency assets to conceal the source of the funds.According to the Osaka Prefectural Police, these three individuals belong to "over-the-counter traders" who conduct personal cryptocurrency transactions without using trading platforms and are believed to have participated in money laundering activities amounting to billions of yen.

"On-chain detective" ZachXBT published a case analysis stating that in a cryptocurrency asset case involving an Indian scam gang, the relevant individuals reported the case to law enforcement after their assets were frozen, drawing attention. The incident began when a user sought help, claiming that approximately 5.73 BTC (about $475,000) was frozen on Changelly in March 2025.Subsequent on-chain analysis revealed that these funds could be traced back to multiple social engineering attacks and theft cases related to Bitcoin ATMs targeting U.S. users, with a total amount involved exceeding $1 million and several elderly victims. The investigation showed that the individual provided multiple changing explanations for the source of the funds, including "loan," "boss transfer," and "investment from 2014-2015," and there were significant contradictions in the evidence chain.More concerning is that this user had previously filed a police report in India in December 2025, attempting to recover the frozen funds (case number 3207-P/2025). Subsequent on-chain evidence collection and email data analysis indicated that they might be a "mule" for transferring funds, with some bank documents inconsistent with their identity information. ZachXBT noted that such cases demonstrate that social engineering attacks and cross-border fund transfers continue to occur and remind users to avoid interacting with funds from suspicious sources to prevent triggering compliance freezes or legal risks.

According to Jinshi, multiple institutions have significant disagreements regarding the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs believes that if inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates in September or in the fall, while Huatai Securities expects rates to remain unchanged in September, with the probability of a rate hike by the end of the year close to 50%. Regarding rate cuts, Nordea Bank believes that cuts may be delayed until 2027, while Citigroup expects cuts in 2026. Other institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and CITIC Securities tend to favor maintaining the current policy.

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated in an interview with Front Office Sports that he does not view Polymarket as a primary competitor, but is more concerned about the threats posed by CME Group, Robinhood, and sports betting operators. According to data from Bank of America analysts, Kalshi holds about 91% of the regulated prediction market share in the U.S., with approximately $1 billion of the $1.6 billion in open contracts in the industry, and has listed about 97% of active markets.In the past 30 days, Kalshi's trading volume was approximately $9.8 billion, close to Polymarket's $9.9 billion. CME launched FanDuel Predicts in partnership with FanDuel last December; Robinhood began shifting some contracts to its Rothera platform in collaboration with Susquehanna after building a prediction market based on the Kalshi exchange in 2025.Mansour called for Polymarket to be included in a regulatory framework, stating that insider trading cases on its offshore platform harm the entire industry. The CFTC released a 267-page rule proposal on June 10, intending to allow most sports contracts but prohibiting in-game betting and college pre-game sports, with a 45-day public comment period.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that among the 19 people, no one believes that tightening policy is necessary today.

According to Jinshi News, Lombard Odier's macro chief Florian Ielpo believes that market trends reflect a repricing of the Federal Reserve's credibility and independence. Inflation has clearly become the core of the Federal Reserve's response mechanism again, and someone is at the helm of this. He pointed out that the Federal Reserve "has adjusted its tone, with information being more concise and more instructive, no longer emphasizing any dissent—most of the wording from previous statements has been discarded, which should be seen as a small monetary policy revolution."

According to Jinshi, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist of Carson Group, stated that the meeting hosted by Waller for the first time did not cause much of a stir. The market realizes that inflation is clearly heating up, but the economy remains resilient. The market generally expects that there is a high probability of no interest rate cuts this year, which has been further confirmed. The next question is whether there will actually be an interest rate hike, or if the Federal Reserve will remain on the sidelines for the rest of the year.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve FOMC statement reiterates the policy of maintaining ample reserves in the banking system and instructs the open market operations department to increase securities holdings when appropriate.