ChainCatcher message, "Election Forecast Indicator" from The New York Times latest shows that, based on data at 10:30 PM local time, the probability of Donald Trump winning is 84%, with approximately 295 electoral votes.

ChainCatcher message, New York Times reporter Nate Cohn stated: "Tonight, for the first time, we think Trump is likely to win the presidential election. He has an advantage in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. For Harris to win, she needs to sweep these three states."

ChainCatcher news, multiple insiders revealed that former New York City Mayor and Bloomberg owner Michael Bloomberg recently donated $50 million to a nonprofit organization supporting Democratic presidential candidate Harris.According to insiders, Bloomberg's latest donation went to the nonprofit Future Forward USA Action. Prior to this anonymous donation, he had already provided $47 million in public political donations to the Democratic Party, making him second only to George Soros among major Democratic donors.Bloomberg invested $95 million to help the Democrats in the 2018 midterm elections. Forbes data shows that the 82-year-old Bloomberg's net worth is comparable to that of Bill Gates, at approximately $105 billion. (The New York Times)

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates privately stated that he has donated $50 million to U.S. Vice President Harris.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, former U.S. President Trump has agreed to participate in a Fox News "town hall meeting" in Georgia on October 16.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times and Siena poll, Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump in three key states: Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, with support rates of 50% to 46% in each state.Since President Biden announced he would not seek re-election, the situation for the Democrats has significantly reversed. Although Harris still faces challenges on economic and immigration issues, her recognition among voters for intelligence and governance ability is higher than Trump's. The poll also indicates that the Democrats have a slight advantage in the Senate elections in these three states.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, the leaders of the Democratic National Committee will confirm President Biden as the nominee by the end of July.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, Biden has told his allies that he is considering whether to continue his campaign.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, Binance founder Zhao Changpeng is still actively preparing for a transition into the AI and biotechnology sectors after pleading guilty last November. Insiders revealed that Zhao communicated via text with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman at the end of last year, discussing the challenges faced by startups in global expansion.It is reported that Zhao and Altman had met a year prior. During the leadership struggle at OpenAI last November, the two reestablished contact. Additionally, Zhao had dinner in December in Los Angeles with Gu Ronghui, a professor of computer science at Columbia University and co-founder of the blockchain security company CertiK, which is backed by Binance. Gu wrote in a court letter that Zhao mentioned he had communicated with Altman, stating, "They both believe that AI will greatly assist in technological development and the advancement of human knowledge." Zhao also indicated that he is seeking investment to support large data centers for AI applications.Last month, Zhao announced the launch of an online education platform, Giggle Academy, and expressed interest in investing in AI and biotechnology on social media. In court documents, he stated that he hopes to fund small research laboratories to use blockchain technology to cure diseases and benefit billions of people worldwide.Zhao pleaded guilty last November to violating anti-money laundering regulations and was sentenced to four months in prison by a judge on Tuesday local time. Prosecutors had recommended a three-year prison sentence, while defense attorneys requested probation. Despite facing imprisonment, the $33 billion crypto mogul seems confident about his future transformation path.

ChainCatcher news, according to The New York Times, U.S. government officials are monitoring certain cryptocurrency mining operations linked to China. Many data centers located in the U.S. can be traced directly back to the Chinese government, raising concerns about operations near military bases and other areas related to national security. One of the sites reportedly being monitored by authorities is a mining operation in Wyoming, which is close to a Microsoft data center that supports some operations of the Pentagon.In a report about the operation, Microsoft stated, "There is no direct evidence that this entity has malicious activity." However, pending further discovery, we believe that the computational power of industrial-grade cryptocurrency mining operations, along with the presence of an unknown number of Chinese nationals directly near Microsoft data centers and one of the three major U.S. strategic missile bases, presents significant threat vectors."It is reported that the company Bit Origin has converted a pork processing plant into a cryptocurrency data center, choosing this location due to an agreement with the local utility provider rather than proximity to Microsoft facilities.

ChainCatcher message, The New York Times wrote to Judge Lewis A. Kaplan stating that The New York Times opposes the imprisonment of SBF, as this action violates the First Amendment rights of the public to obtain information about financial scandals protected by the U.S. Constitution.The New York Times pointed out that SBF's provision of his ex-girlfriend Caroline Ellison's private diary to The New York Times was considered by the judicial department as an attempt to interfere with the trial, but this overlooks the public's legitimate interest in Ellison and her activities at the cryptocurrency trading company. The public has the right to know more about her identity and actions, and news organizations will strive to provide timely, relevant, and fair reporting to the public. Article 23.1 of the Constitution will provide appropriate protection and balance of interests for the free speech of relevant witnesses. Imprisonment restrictions on SBF can only be imposed when permitted by the First Amendment and Rules 23.1(a) and (h).

ChainCatcher news, media organizations such as Bloomberg, Dow Jones, The New York Times, and the Financial Times filed an appeal on Friday against a court ruling that FTX can keep customer names confidential in its bankruptcy case. Lawyers argued that FTX is not entitled to an exception from typical bankruptcy disclosure requirements simply because its customers use cryptocurrency.Earlier this month, a U.S. bankruptcy judge ruled that FTX does not have to disclose its customers' names to avoid exposing them to identity theft and other scams. Bankruptcy companies are typically required to disclose the names of their creditors and the amounts owed, including debts of individual customers, but U.S. bankruptcy law has an exception for information that could pose a risk of identity theft or other harm. (Reuters)

ChainCatcher news reports that sources indicate the founder of Modulo Capital is under scrutiny by prosecutors investigating FTX and is negotiating with FTX bankruptcy lawyers to return Alameda Research's $400 million investment.Sources also indicate that there is no evidence suggesting the Modulo founder has done anything wrong, and they hope to exchange the return of investment funds for FTX's exemption of certain legal liabilities for Modulo Capital. This portion of the funds is currently held in an interest-bearing account at JPMorgan.According to previous reports by ChainCatcher, Alameda Research invested a total of $400 million in Modulo Capital in 2022. Modulo Capital was founded in March 2022 and has no public performance record, with co-founder Duncan Rheingans-Yoo graduating from Harvard University just two years prior. Additionally, sources revealed that another co-founder of Modulo Capital, Lily, had a romantic relationship with SBF. (Source link)

ChainCatcher news, according to a report by The New York Times citing informed sources, FTX founder SBF's lawyers are in discussions with U.S. prosecutors about a deal that would allow SBF to be released on bail after being extradited to the United States.According to informed sources, under the terms that have been discussed, SBF could be granted bail under strict conditions, including house arrest. Another informed source indicated that electronic monitoring is also being discussed. It is still unclear what other measures may be taken. (Source link)

ChainCatcher news, including the Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, New York Times, and Bloomberg, has filed a lawsuit seeking to disclose the identities of the creditors of the collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX. FTX has over 100,000 creditors, and these news organizations want at least the names of the creditors.The lawsuit states, "The news media serves as the eyes and ears of the public, informing the public about the issues of the day, and this valuable social function is hindered by the sealing of judicial records." The news media argues that while it may be necessary to redact the contact information of the creditors for safety reasons, the names of these creditors do not pose a risk of identity theft or personal danger. (The Block)

ChainCatcher message, materials obtained by The New York Times show that on November 10, Zhao Changpeng criticized SBF for deliberately undermining Tether's stability through his hedge fund Alameda in a group chat that included several leading figures in the crypto industry. In response to Zhao Changpeng's accusation, SBF appeared bewildered: "Huh? What did I do to the stablecoin? Do you mean you think a $250,000 USDT trade would unpeg it?"Zhao Changpeng continued to respond that he did not believe such a trade could successfully destroy Tether, but it would still cause problems. "My sincere advice is: stop everything you are doing. Put on your suit and go back to Washington to start answering questions."SBF then replied: "Such a trade would not have any material impact on Tether. To my knowledge, neither I nor Alameda have attempted to deliberately unpeg Tether or any other stablecoin." "I have made many mistakes over the past year, but this is not one of them." (source link)