Jeffrey

HashKey Jeffrey: The rising probability of Trump's election will become a "starting gun," helping Bitcoin enter a fast lane of growth

ChainCatcher news, HashKey Group Chief Analyst Jeffrey Ding analyzed that on the betting market Polymarket, Trump's odds have surged to 90%. Meanwhile, the price of Bitcoin has also seen a historic breakthrough, briefly surpassing 75,000 USDT, with a daily increase of over 8%. This phenomenon indicates that the market's expectations for Trump's election are translating into positive investment sentiment towards Bitcoin, and the strengthening trend of Trump suggests that Bitcoin may enter a fast lane of rapid price increases.It can be seen that the skyrocketing probability of Trump's election has been regarded as the "starting gun" for the cryptocurrency market. It is expected that in the future, until Trump takes office in the White House, the digital currency market will continue to digest this positive news. A series of policies supporting cryptocurrencies that Trump promised during his campaign, including incorporating Bitcoin into the national reserve and replacing the current SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, are all seen as significant benefits for the market. Given that Trump is known for his "campaign promises must be fulfilled," we have reason to expect these policies to be gradually implemented after he takes office.The expectation of these policies being implemented, combined with the high probability of Trump's election, provides strong support for the price increase of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Market participants generally believe that Trump's victory is more favorable for the cryptocurrency industry compared to the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Therefore, as Trump's election probability rises, the market performance of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is worth looking forward to, and investors should closely monitor relevant policy trends and their impact on the market.

HashKey Jeffrey: Hong Kong stocks continue to soar, as the world falls into a liquidity scramble

ChainCatcher news, HashKey Jeffrey stated that since the U.S. interest rate cut, the global securities market has seen a glimmer of recovery. Following the A-share market, the Hong Kong stock market has also experienced a rare trading frenzy. According to today's closing data, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index soared by 6.2%, with the technology index skyrocketing by 8.5%. Since September 11, the Hang Seng Index has almost risen in a straight line, currently reaching 22,448 points, approaching the 22,689 points set on January 27, 2023, marking the highest point in nearly 31 months.The trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market has exceeded one trillion for several consecutive days, with a massive influx of buy orders, leading to trading delays on the exchange's servers, a situation reminiscent of 2015. The significant price increase has strong support from trading volume, which is a clear bullish signal indicating that investors are flocking to join this trend reversal, suggesting that the turning point from bear to bull market may have arrived.What does this mean for the crypto market? Will the crypto market continue to be "bled dry," or will it see a widespread rally? Currently, the Hong Kong stock market is recovering first, and the mainland securities market is also rising due to policy reasons, but the U.S. stock market, Japanese stock market, and the cryptocurrency market have all seen declines in the past two days due to capital diversion. Historical data shows that the massive liquidity from U.S. interest rate cuts tends to lead to a general economic recovery, but funds will first flow into markets with higher returns. In the initial period, the effects of the interest rate cut may not have fully radiated, and countries may adopt certain policy measures to compete for liquidity; the current "bleeding" phenomenon may just be a manifestation of liquidity competition among different markets before the effects of the interest rate cut spread.

HashKey Jeffrey: The darkness before dawn has passed, and interest rate cuts lead the crypto market into a new upward cycle

ChainCatcher news, the Federal Reserve announced after the FOMC meeting that the target range for the federal funds rate has been lowered from 5.25% to 5.50% to 4.75% to 5.0%, a decrease of 50 basis points.In response, HashKey Group Chief Analyst Jeffrey Ding stated: The darkness before dawn has passed, and a new wave of market momentum has begun. The Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut signifies its clear concerns about the current economic environment, necessitating a more substantial initiation of the rate-cutting cycle. Recently, the global economy has faced liquidity challenges, and this rate cut decision has injected new vitality into the global financial markets.Bitcoin, as the "digital gold" of the new era, has performed strongly against this backdrop, briefly breaking above $62,000. However, it is not just Bitcoin that benefits; the entire cryptocurrency market is expected to experience a new wave of momentum under the loose monetary policy. It is important to note that, unlike traditional markets, Bitcoin's performance is more influenced by the liquidity of the dollar rather than changes in the U.S. economic outlook. This means that in the future loose monetary environment, Bitcoin may continue to be the preferred asset for investors seeking to hedge against inflation and seek safe havens.As the rate-cutting cycle continues, the cryptocurrency market may enter a longer period of upward momentum. Market volatility still exists, but this round of cryptocurrency trends may attract more funds and innovation into the field, pushing the entire crypto ecosystem into a new stage of development.
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