CCData

CCData: It is expected that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts this year will lead to a decrease of $1.5625 billion in stablecoin interest income

ChainCatcher message, according to a report published by CCData, the five major centralized stablecoins collectively hold nearly $125 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds. For every 50 basis points (bps) cut in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, there could be a loss of approximately $625 million in interest income. The report shows that U.S. Treasury bonds account for 80.2% of the reserves held by major stablecoins.Data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool indicates that the market expects a total interest rate cut of 75 basis points by the end of 2024. If this prediction comes true, stablecoins could face an additional loss of $937.5 million in income, bringing the total potential loss due to the Federal Reserve's easing policy to $1.5625 billion.Among the affected stablecoins, Tether's USDT holds the largest share of U.S. Treasury-backed reserves, totaling up to $93.2 billion, including U.S. Treasury bonds and repurchase agreements. Following closely is Circle's USD Coin (USDC), which holds $28.7 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds through the Circle Reserve Fund, while other stablecoins have smaller positions in Treasury bonds.Despite these potential financial setbacks, the stablecoin market continues to show resilience. According to CCData, in September, the total market capitalization of stablecoins increased by 1.50%, reaching $172 billion, marking 12 consecutive months of growth.

CCData: It is expected that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts this year will lead to a total decrease of $1.5625 billion in interest income from stablecoins

ChainCatcher news, according to Cryptonews, the Federal Reserve recently decided to cut interest rates for the first time since March 2020, which is expected to impact the income streams of the five major centralized stablecoins. According to a report released by CCData on September 27, these stablecoins collectively hold nearly $125 billion in U.S. Treasury securities, and for every 50 basis points (bps) cut in interest rates, they could lose about $625 million in interest income. The report indicates that U.S. Treasury securities account for 80.2% of the reserves held by major stablecoins.Data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool shows that the market expects a total interest rate cut of 75 basis points by the end of 2024, including a 50 basis point cut in November and a 25 basis point cut in December. If these predictions come true, stablecoins could face an additional income loss of $937.5 million, bringing the total potential loss from the Federal Reserve's easing policy to $1.5625 billion.Among the affected stablecoins, Tether's USDT holds the largest share of U.S. Treasury-backed reserves, totaling up to $93.2 billion, including U.S. Treasuries and repurchase agreements. Following closely is Circle's USD Coin (USDC), which holds $28.7 billion in U.S. Treasuries through the Circle Reserve Fund. Other stablecoins, such as First Digital USD (FDUSD), PayPal USD (PYUSD), and TrueUSD (TUSD), have smaller Treasury positions of $1.83 billion, $634 million, and $502 million, respectively.Despite these potential financial setbacks, the stablecoin market continues to show resilience. According to CCData, in September, the total market capitalization of stablecoins increased by 1.50%, reaching $172 billion, marking 12 consecutive months of growth.

Analysts: It is expected that Ethereum ETFs will attract $15 billion in inflows within the first 18 months

ChainCatcher news, according to DLNews, currently, nine applicants are waiting for approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and the Ethereum spot ETF is expected to launch shortly after the Independence Day holiday. OKX Chief Business Officer Lennix Lai stated that investors will invest up to $500 million in these funds in the first week. Although the assets under management (AUM) of the Ethereum ETF may not match that of the Bitcoin ETF, its trading volume is expected to reach similar levels. Lai also noted that the launch of the new funds will trigger a new round of cryptocurrency market rallies.CCData analyst Jacob Joseph predicts that these ETFs will attract $3.9 billion in inflows within the first 100 days of trading, while Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan expects $15 billion in inflows over the first 18 months.In addition, experts believe that the price of Ethereum may rise due to 27% of Ethereum being locked, potentially leading to a supply-demand imbalance in the short term, making it an attractive option for institutional asset allocation. Lekker Capital founder Quinn Thompson predicts that the price of Ethereum could soar to $7,000. However, some analysts are cautious about the market outlook, believing that the demand from traditional financial institutions for Ethereum may not meet expectations.
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