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BTC $66,851.24 -1.85%
ETH $2,053.71 -3.52%
BNB $581.07 -5.33%
XRP $1.30 -3.34%
SOL $78.80 -6.35%
TRX $0.3145 -0.45%
DOGE $0.0898 -2.95%
ADA $0.2396 -3.74%
BCH $441.72 -3.37%
LINK $8.56 -4.73%
HYPE $34.71 -4.08%
AAVE $94.51 -4.76%
SUI $0.8558 -4.60%
XLM $0.1648 -3.48%
ZEC $236.25 -4.18%

ben

Analysis: With the rise of smart agent payments, Circle and Coinbase have become the "best representative targets" benefiting from the growth of stablecoins

According to The Block, analysts from the research and brokerage firm Bernstein pointed out that Circle and Coinbase are the main tools for gaining exposure to the growth of stablecoins, due to the partnership between the two companies around USDC and the emerging role of stablecoins in smart agent payments, which could become an important driver of their future growth.In a report released on Monday, analysts led by Gautam Chhugani wrote, "We believe that smart agent payments provide an upside optionality for stablecoins. This is not a factor that currently has a substantial impact on the demand for stablecoins, but in the future smart agent economy, stablecoins may play a certain role." The analysts noted that so-called machine payments refer to transactions initiated, authorized, and completed by software or autonomous devices, rather than by human operation. These payments differ from automatic bill payments or subscription models; they are essentially programmatic, enabling real-time decision-making, price negotiation, and instant settlement without human intervention.Bernstein believes that stablecoins have a natural advantage in this environment because of their programmability, instant settlement capabilities, support for micropayments, and global reach. Payment logic such as escrow, conditional payments, or revenue distribution can be directly embedded in stablecoins, allowing smart agents to complete transactions without connecting to banks or waiting for confirmations.The report also pointed out that transactions can be settled in seconds, allowing AI agents to pay for computing power or data in real-time; high-throughput blockchains and state channels make large-scale micropayments economically viable; at the same time, stablecoins have cross-border attributes, eliminating the need to rely on SWIFT, correspondent banking systems, or foreign exchange conversions, thereby further reducing transaction costs.

U.S. SEC Chairman: Tokenized securities are still subject to securities laws, and distributed ledger technology has many potential benefits for the financial industry

The chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Paul Atkins, stated during his appearance on the All-In Podcast, "From my perspective, distributed ledger technology (DLT) has many potential benefits for the financial services industry, and we are at a tipping point where T+0 settlement—almost instantaneous delivery and payment, even through on-chain digital assets—could be realized. This is very exciting. To prevent issues like fraud, we may even need to set up some speed bumps. However, there are also challenges, such as liquidity issues. What does the concept of best bid and ask mean in this new system? This is one of the problems we need to solve.Our principle is: if an asset is essentially a security, even if it is tokenized, it is still a security, and federal securities laws still apply. But regulators have the responsibility to ensure that our rules truly apply to new practical uses. As the purposes of trading and methods of delivery change, we also need to make corresponding adjustments. We need to adjust the system to make it truly applicable to the new technological environment.This is exactly what we are currently working on—reviewing our regulatory rules line by line to ensure they can adapt to the development of emerging technologies. The SEC is coordinating regulation with the CFTC. For example, if an asset is a tokenized security, it falls under the SEC's regulatory framework; whereas if it is a digital currency, digital token, digital tool, or digital collectible, it falls under the CFTC's regulatory scope."

Analysis: If the US-Iran conflict continues for several months, war spending and debt expansion may benefit Bitcoin

Macro strategist Mark Connors stated that if the conflict between the United States and Iran continues for months, the increase in fiscal spending, debt expansion, and declining interest rates brought about by the war could create a favorable environment for Bitcoin.Connors pointed out that wars typically require financing through the issuance of more government bonds, which will increase the supply of dollars in the financial system, thereby weakening the value of existing currencies and benefiting non-dollar assets like Bitcoin. Since mid-2025, the annualized growth rate of U.S. federal debt has been about 14%, and if this trend continues, the debt size may continue to grow by about 15% year-on-year. He believes that this ongoing debt expansion is essentially a form of "monetary dilution," which has historically been beneficial for Bitcoin's performance. Since the U.S. first launched strikes against Iran, the price of Bitcoin has risen by about 3.6%. As U.S. government debt increases and relies more on short-term bond financing, policymakers may be more inclined to lower interest rates in the future to reduce interest burdens. In an environment of "declining interest rates + ongoing debt expansion," liquidity typically improves, which is precisely the macro backdrop in which Bitcoin has historically performed strongly.
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