Morgan Stanley Analyst: The Election May Trigger Market Volatility, Delayed Vote Counting Becomes a Key Risk Factor
ChainCatcher news, according to Bitcoin.com News, Morgan Stanley analysts Monica Guerra and Daniel Kohen's latest research report points out that the 2024 U.S. presidential election could trigger significant market volatility, with major risks stemming from vote counting delays, economic uncertainty, and changes in voter sentiment. The analysts emphasize that while political outcomes and corresponding policy changes may affect corporate earnings, business and economic cycles are the key factors influencing market performance.The report specifically warns that the tight race in key swing states and the uncertainty surrounding mail-in ballot counting times could result in the final outcome taking days or even weeks to determine. Additionally, unexpected political events such as the "October surprise" could influence the election dynamics during the campaign's final stretch. The analysts advise investors to focus on long-term strategies and avoid overreacting to market fluctuations caused by the election.