performance

QCP Capital: Remains optimistic about Bitcoin's strong performance in October, with this week's CPI data being crucial

ChainCatcher news, QCP Capital's latest analysis points out that despite a turbulent start to the month, Bitcoin's upward trend in October seems to be back on track. Currently, the Bitcoin price is comparable to last Monday's level. QCP notes that the "Uptober" narrative, along with strong non-farm payroll data, has helped Bitcoin find strong support around the $60,000 mark. The upcoming HBO Bitcoin documentary is also bringing more mainstream attention to the cryptocurrency, and meme tokens related to Len Sassaman are starting to gain traction.Despite a poor start last week, options flow still points to a bullish fourth quarter, with investors continuing to buy the $75,000/$95,000 call spread expiring in December. Considering the potential for future interest rate cuts and the strong correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market, QCP remains optimistic about October's strong performance. This Thursday's U.S. CPI data will be the market focus. Recently, U.S. wage and employment data has been strong, and the market will closely watch for any signs of rising inflation. The Federal Reserve's expectations for rate cuts have been adjusted from 50 basis points to 25 basis points within a week, and this week's data may determine whether further adjustments to rate cut expectations will be made.

4E: Powell's speech lowers expectations for significant interest rate cuts, with U.S. stocks and Bitcoin both achieving their best performance in history in September

ChainCatcher news, on Monday local time, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated during a speech that if the economy performs as expected, there may be two more rate cuts this year, totaling 50 basis points. The market perceives Powell's overall remarks as "hawkish." Following Powell's speech, the market significantly reduced the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November.According to 4E observations, the three major U.S. stock indices fell after Powell's speech but began to rise in the final trading hours, ultimately closing slightly higher, with both the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 reaching new closing highs. Historically, U.S. stocks perform poorly in September, but this year the Dow rose 1.85%, the S&P 500 increased by 2.02%, and the Nasdaq gained 2.68%. Notably, the Dow and the S&P 500 recorded five consecutive monthly gains.The cryptocurrency market generally declined, with Bitcoin down 1.81% at $63,600, and Ethereum slightly down by 0.27%. Data shows that Bitcoin rose 7.35% in September, marking its best historical performance. It is worth noting that historically, whenever Bitcoin has risen in September, it has continued to rise until the end of the year. Gold fell by 0.47%, with a 4.74% increase in September; the U.S. dollar index rose by 0.30%, with a cumulative decline of 0.93% in September.After the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut in September, the pace of global central bank rate cuts has accelerated, significantly improving the macro environment and increasing investors' risk appetite. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports assets such as cryptocurrencies, stock indices, bulk gold, and foreign exchange. This Friday, the U.S. non-farm payroll data for September will be released, providing further key insights into the U.S. economic situation and the Federal Reserve's rate cuts. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market volatility risks and to allocate assets wisely.

Analysis: The outstanding performance of Bitcoin and gold is related to the increase in global liquidity, the expansion of global central bank balance sheets, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, Bitcoin has risen by 7% in the past five days, breaking the $64,000 mark for the first time since August 26. Meanwhile, gold has set new all-time highs over 30 times this year, surpassing $2,600 per ounce. Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at investment management and financial planning firm Creative Planning, stated that this is the first time since Bitcoin's inception in 2009 that both Bitcoin and gold have become the best-performing assets of the year.Analyst James Van Straten noted that the outstanding performance of Bitcoin and gold is related to the increase in global liquidity, the expansion of global central bank balance sheets, and the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which stimulate investment and economic activity. The current balance sheet of the Federal Reserve stands at $7.1 trillion, and although quantitative tightening is still underway, the pace has slowed. The reduction in reverse repo balances, now just above $300 billion, has released liquidity back into the financial system. This has a stimulating effect, increasing the availability of funds for loans, investments, and overall economic activity.From a broader perspective, the total balance sheet of the world's 15 largest central banks (including the U.S., EU, Japan, and China) is approaching $31 trillion. While this figure itself is not the focus, the trend shows a global recovery of central bank balance sheets since July, rising from about $30 trillion. This increase in liquidity is particularly stimulating for Bitcoin, as its price movements often correspond with liquidity trends. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut further supported the rise of both Bitcoin and gold.
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovators