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Federal Reserve Research: Cryptocurrency investors are more driven by belief, and information about Bitcoin's rise can stimulate more buying

According to Cointelegraph, the latest research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland shows that there are significant differences between cryptocurrency investors and traditional asset investors. Their views on the future returns and risks of digital assets diverge greatly, and the information about Bitcoin's historical price increases may further encourage investors to increase their allocation willingness and actually buy crypto assets.The research paper "Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance" is based on multiple rounds of household survey data in the United States, with each round covering up to approximately 25,000 households.Researchers found that compared to demographic characteristics such as age, income, and gender, investors' expectations for future returns from cryptocurrencies better explain who chooses to hold crypto assets. The study shows that cryptocurrency holders expect an average return of about 22% over the next year, significantly higher than the approximately 7% expectation of non-holders.At the same time, holders generally believe that the risks of crypto assets are lower than the judgments of non-holders. Researchers found that for every 1 percentage point increase in an individual's expected return from cryptocurrencies, the probability of holding crypto assets increases by about 0.8 percentage points. The explanatory power of return expectations and risk perceptions for cryptocurrency holding behavior even exceeds that of traditional factors such as age, income, and wealth.This characteristic contrasts with traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, and gold. For traditional investment types, investors' economic backgrounds usually better explain differences in asset allocation, while the crypto market relies more on investors' subjective judgments about future price performance.In addition, the research team discovered through a randomized information experiment that simply providing investors with information about Bitcoin's price increase over the past 12 months significantly boosts their willingness to allocate to crypto assets. Data shows that respondents who saw historical performance information about Bitcoin had an approximately 2 percentage point increase in the proportion planning to allocate to crypto assets, representing about a 47% increase compared to the control group's 4.3% allocation willingness; the probability of actually purchasing crypto assets also increased by about 2.5 percentage points.The study suggests that this mechanism may explain the cyclical boom and bust phenomenon in the crypto market: price increases attract more investors, and new funds further drive up prices, thus forming a cycle of "price increase --- enhanced optimistic expectations --- more buying."

The rapid rise of Bitcoin has triggered FOMO among retail investors, and analysts warn of short-term pullback risks

According to Forbes, Bitcoin recently rose from $62,900 to $79,500, with a 26% increase within 5 days, following the liquidation of over $3.1 billion in short positions. Trader MARMOT stated that this round of increase is not entirely driven by natural demand but is a typical short squeeze situation. He pointed out that approximately $3.1 billion in short positions were liquidated in the past few days, marking one of the largest liquidation events he has witnessed. At the same time, as Bitcoin rapidly rises, retail investors are chasing the price, leading to a noticeable FOMO sentiment in the market.Geoff Kendrick, head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that his previous prediction of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by the end of the year may be underestimated. He believes Bitcoin could retest its historical high of $126,000 and expects the market recovery to accelerate further after October 6.Meanwhile, some market participants believe that the current upward trend carries short-term overheating risks. Trader David Goldstein mentioned that Bitcoin's rise from $64,000 to nearly $80,000 is mainly driven by signals from the U.S. Treasury regarding bond repurchases and a short squeeze of unprecedented scale. He considers $80,000 to be the first significant resistance level, and this round of increase may peak in the $85,000 to $90,000 range, followed by a correction or fluctuations around $70,000 to $75,000.Forecasting platform data shows that market expectations for Bitcoin's future price are heating up. Meanwhile, inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have rebounded, with a cumulative inflow of $1.62 billion over four trading days as of August 21, reversing the previous week's trend of net outflows.However, several traders remind investors to avoid chasing prices due to rapid increases. Crypto Kit noted that just a week ago, the market was waiting for buying opportunities at $45,000 to $50,000, but now that Bitcoin has risen to $77,000, investors suddenly accept the current price, indicating a clear increase in market FOMO sentiment.
12 hours ago

China Merchants Yonglong Bank reviews mainland investors' zero balance non-active investment accounts, which have not submitted declarations or face suspension and closure

On August 21, China Merchants Yonglong Bank issued a notice to customers, stating that it is cooperating with the latest risk management and account compliance guidelines from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Securities and Futures Commission to conduct a comprehensive optimization and review of investment accounts for mainland investors. Upon verification, all investment accounts held by relevant customers (including wealth management, securities, and/or paper gold passbook accounts) as of May 22, 2026, have no asset balance, and there have been no investment transaction records in the past 12 months, which have been classified as "zero balance non-active investment accounts."To maintain normal account operations, the bank requires customers to submit the "Non-Active Investment Account Declaration" as soon as possible. Customers can complete the submission through the pop-up in the personal account section of the China Merchants Yonglong Bank mobile app; joint account holders or those who have not registered for the mobile app can call the customer service hotline for guidance, and each joint account holder must submit separately. The main content of the declaration includes confirming the accuracy of personal information, the legality of the source of funds, that the account has not been closed or suspended due to suspicious documents, and timely notification of any changes in information.The bank reminds that if customers fail to complete the submission in a timely manner, new investment transactions (including buying stocks, subscribing to wealth management products, etc.) will be suspended accordingly; if the submission continues to be delayed, it is expected that starting from November 2026, relevant "non-active investment accounts" may be closed. Once an account is suspended or closed, no new securities or wealth management product investment transactions can be conducted.
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