Analysis: The continuous negative funding rate and the complete collapse of market sentiment indicate that the market may be close to bottoming out
ChainCatcher message, Hartmann Capital founder Felix Hartmann posted: "I might be a bit early, but I feel we are close to the bottom.The funding rate has been negative for a while. The futures premium flipped to negative weeks ago.AI tokens have dropped 80-99%. Quality altcoins have retraced to long-term trend lines, eliminating the excessive rise in Q4.Market sentiment has completely collapsed------this is often the best signal.Stablecoins are not going away; they need on-chain infrastructure. AI agents are inevitable, and they require non-KYC financial channels. The wealth effect of Bitcoin once drove altcoins up, but the ETF era has changed that.Fink expects a SOL ETF soon------unlike BTC/ETH, there are no pending issues with Grayscale. Pure capital inflow. ETFs could become events similar to the Coinbase/Binance listings in this cycle. Cryptocurrency has a cultural problem------too much extraction, too little creation. But the next four years will bring real progress in stablecoins and AI.Today's feeling of despair is as irrational as the euphoria of Q4. We may oscillate, but most of the unlocked venture capital tokens may have already been sold off in the past two quarters. This could be the final stage."