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first_img Chamath: The open-source weighted model is about four months away from the best closed-source frontier model

Social Capital founder Chamath Palihapitiya released an in-depth research report stating that open-source weight models are about four months away from matching the best closed-source frontier models in public evaluations, with increasing fluctuations in the gap. If open-source models allow companies more control over data, infrastructure, and customization while approaching frontier performance, the value corresponding to companies still paying for frontier laboratories becomes a business issue. Openness exists on a spectrum, from fully open-source models that can be downloaded and freely modified to open-source weight models with various restrictions, while closed-source models keep weights proprietary.Palantir CEO Alex Karp warned that companies might hand over differentiated proprietary knowledge and processes to frontier model providers. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella stated that companies are effectively paying for intelligence twice: once in money and again in the more valuable proprietary knowledge that must be disclosed to make the intelligence useful. Despite concerns, companies are still willing to pay for frontier performance, even if the best open-source weight models are only months behind, with frontier laboratory revenues continuing to accelerate.Leading companies use both types of models, leveraging open-source models for control and customization while utilizing closed-source frontier models for maximum capability, with some cases reporting up to 12 times engineering efficiency and over 20 times cost savings. Some vendors adopt a dual-track approach, with Google offering both Gemini and Gemma, and Meta providing both Muse Spark and Llama. The 99-page report also discusses the costs of maintaining a lead for frontier laboratories, five factors of model competition, model operating locations, and investments in open-source weights by NVIDIA and Samsung.

first_img XRP Ledger upgrade Batch V1.1 is just one vote away from activation

The Batch V1.1 upgrade for the XRP Ledger is just one vote away from initiating the activation process. The RippleX team has fixed 11 software defects in the latest review. The Batch feature allows users to combine up to eight related transactions into a single operation, ensuring that both parties complete the transfer simultaneously when two people exchange tokens, thus avoiding the situation where one party pays while the other fails.In Tuesday's snapshot, the upgrade received support from 27 out of 35 trusted validators, accounting for approximately 77%, while changes to the XRP Ledger require an 80% support rate. Therefore, currently, one validator's vote can determine success or failure, and obtaining one more vote will initiate a two-week activation countdown. The support rate must remain above this threshold for 14 days, during which validators can change their votes.Previously, researchers discovered vulnerabilities in the original Batch proposal, allowing attackers to initiate transactions using others' accounts without authorization under specific conditions; this version was not deployed on the mainnet. The new version was released with xrpld 3.3.0 on August 6, and the latest review found 11 issues related to signatures, authorization checks, and server crashes. Among these, a serious vulnerability rated by the security company Common Prefix could allow attackers to reuse user signature permissions to execute transactions beyond expectations. RippleX stated that the review involved four senior engineers, audits from Halborn and Common Prefix, public security competitions, and automated testing, and mentioned that commercial projects using Batch have been signed or are in development.

Galaxy Research: Coldcard attackers continue to transfer funds, approximately 45% of the stolen assets have entered mixing or cross-chain pathways

Galaxy Research published that the attackers in the Coldcard "Wave 3" attack are still continuously transferring the stolen funds. During this phase, the attackers created 293 2-of-2 multi-signature wallets for each victim's assets. The first batch of funds was transferred across chains to Ethereum via THORChain; the latest round of transfers has begun entering the CoinJoin mixing process.Currently, the Wave 3 attackers are processing the largest amounts of stolen funds in order of the stolen amount, having sequentially transferred the funds from wallets ranked 1 to 11. The next 10 wallets that have not yet been transferred hold a total of 30.81 BTC, while wallets ranked 61 to 293 hold a total of 33.77 BTC. So far, the attackers have transferred about 45% of the stolen assets from this exploit, with funds flowing to Ethereum (via THORChain) or entering CoinJoin mixing transactions. Additionally, this fund transfer has revealed a previously unknown wallet: 58 addresses jointly spent in a 2-of-2 multi-signature format identical to that of Wave 3, and these were further transferred by the Wave 3 attackers to a jump address that funds CoinJoin.The on-chain analysis team currently marks this wallet as "cause = open," but believes it likely also belongs to Coldcard victims, which means the number of wallets involved in Wave 3 may increase to 294, raising the previously reported total amount stolen from the Coldcard vulnerability to approximately 1806 BTC. Currently, about 82% of the stolen BTC remains in addresses initially controlled by the attackers, while about 18% has been transferred, with the flow of funds indicating that it may be undergoing laundering processes.

first_img Analysis: Japan's government bond yields hit a 30-year high, while Bitcoin is trading sideways at $78,000

According to Cointelegraph, the global bond bear market continues to ferment, with Japan's 10-year government bond yield rising to 3% on Tuesday, the first time since 1996; the 30-year government bond yield also broke through the historical high of 4.18%. The U.S. 10-year government bond yield simultaneously rose to a multi-year high of 4.78%, and global long-term sovereign bond yields are at their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis.In this context, Bitcoin remains in a sideways consolidation, maintaining around $78,000, slightly retreating from an earlier high of nearly $79,000. There is a dense resistance area between the current spot price and $86,000, which limits Bitcoin's upward momentum. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic in the short term, with the $76,000 to $82,000 range seen as a key battleground in the coming weeks.This round of selling occurred after U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen announced an increase in the upper limit of government bond repurchase transactions to $4 billion starting in September, with some commentators likening it to a form of yield curve control. Arthur Hayes has long argued that the Federal Reserve will eventually activate the FIMA repo facility, a mechanism that will create new dollar liquidity, which is also why he recommends allocating Bitcoin, gold, and cryptocurrencies; Yellen hinted at the future use of this tool as early as August.
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