UBS

UBS analysts: The dollar valuation seems overvalued in the short term, suggesting investors take the opportunity to reduce dollar exposure

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, UBS released a research report stating that due to Trump's trade threats against BRICS countries, the dollar index has surpassed 106, but the current valuation appears to be overly high. Although the outlook for the dollar still seems bright, UBS analysts suggest that investors take advantage of the dollar's strength to reduce their dollar exposure in the short term.Market attention is turning to key economic events this week, including Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech on Wednesday and Friday's non-farm payroll data. According to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the market expects a 75% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. NatAlliance Securities' head of international fixed income, Brenner, stated that this data will determine whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates this month.Regarding the euro, influenced by the French government's facing a vote of no confidence, the euro fell nearly 0.8% against the dollar on Monday, marking the largest single-day decline in nearly a month. The three-month implied volatility of the euro rose to 8.172%, reaching a two-year high. The yield spread between French and German bonds has risen to a 12-year high, reflecting increasing market concerns about political risks in the eurozone.
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