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ZEC $485.17 -1.12%
BTC $63,385.71 +0.02%
ETH $1,886.96 +0.54%
BNB $609.09 -0.17%
XRP $1.01 +0.33%
SOL $76.23 +0.64%
TRX $0.3337 -0.55%
DOGE $0.0702 -0.35%
ADA $0.1815 -0.77%
BCH $206.03 -3.55%
LINK $8.84 +1.24%
HYPE $57.24 +1.80%
AAVE $87.90 -0.76%
SUI $0.6855 -0.01%
XLM $0.1600 +0.82%
ZEC $485.17 -1.12%

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Data: In August, Bitcoin may maintain a range of $58,000 to $67,000, with a breakthrough still requiring macroeconomic and capital catalysts

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. released the August Bitcoin market outlook, stating that BTC is currently down about 50% from the cycle high of $126,200 set in October 2025, with prices approaching the on-chain average holding cost. It is expected that August will likely maintain a volatile trend. The report suggests that the most probable scenario for August (with a probability of about 55%) is that BTC will trade in the range of $57,700 to $67,000, potentially closing at $60,000 to $64,000 by the end of the month.The bearish scenario (30% probability) involves a drop below $57,700, further testing the on-chain realized price of about $52,800; the bullish scenario (15% probability) requires a stable position above $67,000, along with continuous inflows of ETF funds, a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, and a weakening dollar, targeting $71,000 to $74,000. The current valuation is close to the on-chain cost area, and the spot Bitcoin ETF continues to see net inflows, providing support for the market; however, the high interest rate environment, sustained high U.S. Treasury yields, and a relatively strong dollar still limit the upside potential for risk assets. The report also reminds to pay attention to the impact of macro events such as U.S. non-farm employment, CPI, and the Jackson Hole central bank annual meeting on market liquidity.
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