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According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, "Maji" Huang Licheng briefly increased his position with a 25x leveraged ETH long position of about 300 coins, bringing the total position size to 25.16 million dollars. He then placed sell orders in the range of 2260 to 2300 dollars, planning to take partial profits of about 1.8 million dollars.It is reported that this address has accumulated a profit of 1.5 million dollars during this round of increase, with account funds rising to 2.57 million dollars, and the current liquidation price for the ETH position is at 2066 dollars.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated that the current policy interest rate is well-prepared to respond to market changes, and the rate is roughly within a neutral range.

According to Jinshi News, Société Générale analyst Kit Juckes stated in a report that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year, the dollar may exhibit range-bound fluctuations. He pointed out that the market expects all G10 central banks, except for the Federal Reserve, to raise interest rates, and these rate expectations limit the appreciation of the dollar. If the Federal Reserve significantly cuts interest rates in the context of high inflation and loose fiscal policy, the dollar is likely to decline.

Cryptocurrency market analyst Axel posted a report on social media stating that the current pullback of Bitcoin is significantly smaller than during the periods of 2017-18 (-64.3%) and 2021-22, and is closer to the moderate scenario of 2013-15. However, this does not confirm that a bottom has been formed. The current Bitcoin price is slightly above 1.25 times the realized price ($67,675), and the market is in a critical valuation range.As long as this range can be maintained, or if the price can quickly recover after a brief drop below it, then the market structure remains neutral. If it continues to break below this support level, it is likely to drop to the range of $54,140 near the realized price, around $54,000 to $58,000.

According to the official announcement, Binance will gradually implement the Spot Price Range Execution Rules (PRER) starting from April 14, 2026, to prevent user orders from being executed at abnormal prices under extreme market conditions. This rule will limit orders to be executed only within a dynamic price range, aiming to maintain a fair and orderly market environment.

According to the official announcement, Binance spot will implement a spot price range protection mechanism, allowing orders to be executed only within a dynamic price range.Starting from April 14, 2026, the spot price range protection mechanism (PRER) will be gradually implemented to ensure that trading prices reflect a fair and orderly market.

VanEck's research director Matthew Sigel analyzed in a post on the X platform that the current protective demand in the Bitcoin derivatives market has risen to the historical 99th percentile, which is typically seen as a "contrarian buy signal" under extreme risk-averse market sentiment, and he judges that the market is currently suitable for establishing long positions.The VanEck Digital Transformation ETF (NODE), which Matthew Sigel also manages, has risen 27% since its inception, while Bitcoin has fallen 33% during the same period, achieving lower volatility performance through diversified allocation and focusing on profitable sectors. However, he also warns that if the massive capital expenditures in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector do not generate corresponding returns, it could pose substantial pressure on the market, especially in the context of a concentration in S&P 500 constituents.Note: Percentile is a statistical position concept, with the 99th percentile representing a relatively extreme level, and the 50th percentile representing the median level.

CoinGlass stated that BTC whale order book data shows that the price of Bitcoin is "trapped" within a range. Sell orders are concentrated at $67,500 and in the range of $67,950 to $68,050. Buy orders are located between $65,600 and $65,800, with strong support around $64,900.Currently, it is not a trending market, but rather a sideways market. If the sell wall above is absorbed, it leans bullish; if the buy orders below are withdrawn or consumed, it leans bearish. Until then, the price remains compressed within the range set by the whales.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin rose about 2% in March, ending a consecutive five-month decline, marking the first positive turn after the longest consecutive decline since 2018, with the market focusing on trend reversal signals. Historical data shows that similar rebounds often accompany strong recoveries after several months of decline.In 2019, there was an approximately 300% increase after consecutive declines, and some analysts believe that this round may have found a temporary bottom around the $60,000 mark. However, seasonal patterns indicate discrepancies in April's performance: since 2013, April has mostly seen gains, but in recent years, after a rise in March, the probability of a decline in April has increased, leaving short-term direction uncertain.In terms of price, BTC is currently trading around $68,000, with a key resistance zone between $69,000 and $70,000 above. Further up, attention is on the supply zone between $70,000 and $72,000. If it breaks through effectively, it may test $76,000 or even $80,000; conversely, if it faces pressure, the market may continue its oscillating pattern.

According to the official announcement, Bitget has launched the U-based EDGE perpetual contract, with a leverage range of 1-20 times. The contract trading BOT will be opened simultaneously.

Market maker Wintermute's latest market weekly report indicates that the ratio of Bitcoin perpetual contract trading volume to spot trading volume has risen to 15 times, while the funding rate volatility has dropped to a low point in this cycle, showing that market leverage is high but there is insufficient directional consensus. The current structure is closer to "compression and accumulation," or brewing significant unilateral volatility.Wintermute believes that if geopolitical tensions ease and oil prices fall back to around $100, short positions will face the risk of being squeezed to between $70,000 and $74,000. If the situation continues to ease, the resistance level at $74,000 may be tested.Conversely, if the situation escalates further and oil prices rise to $120, oil prices could drop to just above $60, and if the cyclical trend is similar, it could fall to the mid-high $50,000 range. More macro-wise, the directionality here is not important; what matters is the market structure itself. The leverage on futures contracts is high, capital flows are fluctuating within the narrowest range ever recorded, and volatility is also narrowing.Regarding which direction the catalysts ultimately develop, the market structure indicates that the resulting volatility will far exceed the levels currently reflected in spot, futures, and options prices.

According to the official announcement, Bitget has launched U-based BASED perpetual contracts, with a leverage range of 1-50 times. The contract trading BOT will also be opened simultaneously.

On-chain analyst Willy Woo pointed out that traditional on-chain models indicate that the current bottom range for Bitcoin is expected to be between $46,000 and $54,000.Data shows that Bitcoin storage funds have been continuously flowing out since last year, while the cumulative value days destroyed (CVDD) bottom model currently reads $45,500, which has the characteristic of continuously increasing in value over time.

On-chain data platform Glassnode posted on X platform, stating that the current Bitcoin price is at the lower end of the cost range for new investors ($60,000 - $70,000). Data shows that there has been a certain degree of accumulation within this range, but the overall scale is still below the typical levels that have historically driven strong rebounds, indicating relatively weak chip density.The current accumulation structure has constructive significance in form, but is still insufficient in strength and has not yet formed a clear upward momentum signal.

Bitcoin is currently maintaining a range-bound oscillation pattern. Under the multiple pressures of the macro environment, market liquidity continues to be constrained, and the price direction remains unclear. Analysis indicates that the interplay of energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks has led to a compression of liquidity, causing the market to enter a "wait-and-see period." The current market is not lacking in structure but rather in incremental funds.Recently, Bitcoin has stabilized after experiencing volatility, with selling pressure easing somewhat, while ETF fund flows have shown a slight net inflow. However, spot demand remains weak, and the imbalance between supply and demand limits price breakthroughs. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has found support in the $67,000-$69,000 range, with a key resistance level forming around $72,000. Analysts state that there is a "liquidity gap" above this range, and once effectively broken, the price could quickly rise to the $82,000 area; however, until demand shows significant improvement, the market will continue to maintain an oscillating pattern.On the macro level, high energy prices, global central banks maintaining high interest rates, and uncertainties in the Middle East collectively exacerbate market concerns about "stagflation" risks. Kraken Research points out that the combination of slowing growth and inflationary pressures complicates the policy path and suppresses the performance of risk assets. Against this backdrop, the market has entered a "liquidity compression phase."Bitunix analysis suggests that the mismatch of multiple macro factors has compressed funds into a narrow range, with Bitcoin acting more as a risk appetite indicator rather than a trend trading target. In terms of funds, the March spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of approximately $1.5 billion, an improvement from the net outflow in February, but still below January levels, indicating cautious institutional fund inflows. The derivatives market is leaning defensive, with funding rates remaining negative and high demand for downside protection; meanwhile, spot trading volume has not shown sustained growth, indicating limited market participation. Overall, Bitcoin has not yet formed a clear breakthrough or downward trend, and is currently closer to a "accumulation and consolidation" phase, with future movements still dependent on macro data, policy signals, and changes in geopolitical situations.

According to the official announcement, Bitget has launched the U-based BSB perpetual contract, with a leverage range of 1-20 times. The contract trading BOT will be opened simultaneously.

The price of Bitcoin continues to be pressured below $72,000, and four on-chain data points indicate weakening market demand, putting short-term upward potential under pressure: 1. Glassnode's Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is close to zero, indicating that large holders are reducing or stopping their accumulation of BTC. This trend is similar to early 2025 when the price of Bitcoin fell to $74,500. Small to medium-sized holding entities (less than 1,000 BTC) are also showing a "distribution or inactive" state.Santiment points out that Bitcoin whale activity is "historically low," with only 6,417 transactions exceeding $100,000 last week, and transactions over $1 million dropping to 1,485, the lowest level since October 2024. Analysts say that smart money is taking a cautious wait-and-see approach due to the uncertainty surrounding the CLARITY Act and the war outlook.CryptoQuant's network activity index has been declining since August 2025, reflecting a decrease in overall on-chain demand. The fundamental indicators from Bitcoin Vector also show weak network liquidity and growth, with market conditions described as "stably lacking support." Short-term increases rely more on capital flow, short covering, or external catalysts rather than natural growth.Bitcoin's hash rate has significantly decreased to 813 EH/s over the past few weeks, down 22% from 1.2 ZH/s on March 5. Rising energy costs and geopolitical conflicts have led to hash rate earnings of less than $34 per PH/s/day, with most miners facing losses. Token Metrics analysts warn that if the difficulty drops more than 5% within a week, the exit of miners may accelerate, potentially increasing spot selling pressure further.

Greeks.live posted an analysis on platform X, indicating that Bitcoin is currently maintaining a rebound at $71,000, with the crisis of decline temporarily alleviated. The implied volatility (IV) across various major maturities has shown a significant decline, with mid to short-term IV dropping over 5% from its peak and more than 3% compared to two days ago. Ethereum's mid to short-term IV has decreased over 8% from its peak and more than 5% compared to two days ago.Skew has fully rebounded, with many put options established during the crisis being closed out, restoring a balance between bearish and bullish forces. This Friday marks the quarterly expiration, with over 40% of options expiring, and the most concentrated strike at $75,000 remains a strong resistance level. (Note: Skew typically refers to the difference in implied volatility of options with different strike prices; an upward movement in this indicator usually indicates a warming market risk appetite and an increase in bullish sentiment.)

According to the Iranian SNN news agency, Iranian Navy Commander Irani stated that the U.S. aircraft carrier strike group "Lincoln" is under continuous surveillance by Iran, and once it enters the range of the missile system, it will become a target for attack.

The Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury of Hong Kong, Xu Zhengyu, introduced the development of stablecoins and digital renminbi in Hong Kong, stating:The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are working closely together to optimize the arrangements for digital renminbi. Currently, the number of mainland operating institutions responsible for operating digital wallets has increased from four to five, while the number of local Hong Kong banks participating in the "Faster Payment System" for digital wallets has increased from 17 to 18. The number and usage of digital wallets opened with Hong Kong mobile numbers have shown stable growth.According to the People's Bank of China, as of the end of January 2026, approximately 80,000 digital wallets have been registered. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority and local banks have been actively promoting the application of digital renminbi in Hong Kong. Currently, the number of local merchant retail points accepting digital renminbi has increased from about 300 to approximately 5,200, covering chain retail stores, hotels, travel agencies, restaurants, convenience stores, and supermarkets.The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are exploring the arrangements and feasibility for upgrading digital wallets to increase their usage limits, expand application scenarios, and enhance user experience. As the policies and technical details involved still require in-depth discussion, specific plans and timelines are yet to be finalized.Stablecoins and central bank digital currencies (such as digital renminbi), as well as other new payment tools, including tokenized deposits and cross-border connections for rapid payment systems, have the potential to be applied in transaction settlements, local or cross-border payments, and other scenarios, provided they comply with relevant legal and regulatory requirements.These payment tools each have their own characteristics and varying degrees of maturity, and their future development prospects are largely determined by market forces. The government and financial regulatory agencies will continue to explore the potential and application scenarios of various new payment tools, better leveraging their synergies to address more pain points in the real economy.