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After the release of Google's financial report, its market value evaporated by nearly 500 billion dollars, and analysts expect the stock price to maintain a range-bound fluctuation in the short term

According to CNBC, after the release of Alphabet's third-quarter financial report, the stock price fell more than 12% to $285, with a market value shrinking by nearly $500 billion. Despite Google Cloud's revenue growing 103% year-over-year, the market is still focused on earnings per share falling short of expectations and the negative free cash flow amid ongoing investments in AI infrastructure.Mike Khouw stated in a CNBC column that the fundamentals of Alphabet's core business remain intact, but a short-term rapid rebound faces two obstacles. First, multiple institutions have downgraded ratings, target prices, or future earnings forecasts. He pointed out that historically, stocks that have experienced concentrated downgrades tend to underperform the market or trade sideways in the following 30 days, and institutional rebalancing can also limit upward momentum. Second, the gap down after the earnings report further damaged the technical pattern.In terms of technical indicators, Alphabet's RSI has dropped to just over 20, and the MACD sell signal has strengthened. However, Khouw believes that with the stock price close to the 52-week low of $270.70, combined with an extremely oversold condition, further declines may be limited.In terms of trading strategy, Khouw suggested using a sell wide strangle options strategy to cope with the anticipated range-bound fluctuations. He believes that continued selling in the overall market poses the main downside risk, while unexpected positive news driving the stock price up rapidly could threaten the bullish call option selling side of the strategy.

first_img Samsung Electronics lowers the production of mid-range and low-end smartphones in the fourth quarter, as the supply of PCB raw materials is hindered

According to a report by ZDNet Korea on October 15, Samsung Electronics has lowered its production plan for mid-range and low-end smartphones in the fourth quarter. The reasons include rising prices of memory chips and disruptions in the supply of glass fiber used in PCB raw materials CCL. Japan's Nitto Denko is shifting more production capacity towards T-glass for AI semiconductors, reducing the output of E-glass for smartphone PCBs, leading to supply shortages and price increases. E-glass is used in semi-cured sheets for smartphone motherboards HDI and RFPCB.The report states that after the rise in storage prices increased manufacturing costs, Samsung reduced orders for related components. Models like the Galaxy A have lower profitability, making it difficult to significantly increase production. This year, the prices of basic mid-range models have risen by more than 100,000 Korean Won compared to the previous generation. The outlook for component orders communicated to partners for the fourth quarter corresponds to an annual smartphone shipment volume of just over 230 million units, which is below the component industry's expectation of 240 million units and represents a decrease of 20% to 30% compared to before the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday. Plans for the mobile business next year have not been shared with partners as in previous years.The monthly production outlook for the fourth quarter in mid-September was 14.3 million units in October, 9.5 million units in November, and 7.6 million units in December, totaling 31.4 million units. This was adjusted at the beginning of this month to 9.9 million units in October, 7.6 million units in November, and 6.7 million units in December, totaling 24.2 million units, a reduction of 23%. While the production of mid-range and low-end models has been lowered, the shipment plans for flagship models like the Galaxy S27 at the beginning of next year remain at a high level, and the shipment volume for foldable phones is also planned to increase. The MX and Network divisions reported a loss of 735 billion Korean Won in the second quarter, with the securities industry projecting an annual loss of 400 billion Korean Won.
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