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first_img Fu Peng: AI infrastructure stocks have shown characteristics of "old Deng stocks," while liquidity assets like Bitcoin may complete valuation clearance ahead of the stock market

Chief Economist of Bitfire Group, Fu Peng, stated that the AI industry is currently in a transitional period from the midstream to the downstream. The infrastructure layer, represented by Nvidia, has entered a mature stage, displaying characteristics of established stocks. However, the downstream application layer has yet to see a milestone breakthrough similar to ChatGPT. The next 10 to 18 months will be a transitional period for the industry cycle. He indicated that the competition in the second half of AI will no longer be about the story of repeatedly burning money to build infrastructure, but rather whether AI, as an efficiency tool, can generate stable payments, profits, and diffusion after entering real industries.He also mentioned that current market funds are following a logic of narrowing focus, prioritizing the elimination of speculative assets that are peripheral, highly elastic, and lack cash flow support, while continuously concentrating on the most core and highest certainty targets. Pure liquidity assets at the denominator end, such as Bitcoin, often digest valuation pressure before traditional stock markets.He further noted that DRAM and HBM storage are ultimately commodities, subject to the laws of commodity cycles. When the industry fundamentals are extremely certain and volatility drops to very low levels, the excessive accumulation of off-market financial leverage often becomes an invisible killer that triggers a sharp decline. Even when a company's fundamentals are sound, prices can fluctuate dramatically during deleveraging.

Binance Research: On-chain markets generally contracted in the first half of 2026, with DeFi TVL declining by 38%

The Binance research report shows that in the first half of 2026, the on-chain market contracted overall rather than experiencing capital rotation. The total locked value in DeFi across the entire chain decreased by $43.4 billion, a decline of 38%; the total market capitalization of the six major mainstream Layer 1 public chains covered in the report decreased by $246.5 billion, a decline of 42%. The Ethereum spot ETF holdings dropped from over 6 million ETH to 5.2 million, while the holdings of digital asset reserve companies increased from 6 million to 7.7 million, indicating a change in marginal holding structure.The report also pointed out that after the increase in Ethereum's Gas limit, the average Gas price decreased by 75% compared to 2025, and the number of transactions grew by about 50%, but the annual on-chain revenue is still expected to decline by 53%. User activity on Layer 2 general networks significantly weakened, with user operations dropping by about 77% from January to June 2026. The Solana network's REV fell from $40 million in January to $14 million in June.On the other hand, BNB Chain performed outstandingly in the field of tokenized stocks and tokenized real-world assets, with the market share of on-chain tokenized RWA increasing from 9.8% to 13.5% in the first half of the year. The report also mentioned that prediction markets, DEX, lending, and tokenized RWA remain among the few major directions that maintain activity.

hot_img Data: SKHYNIX contract Hyperliquid positions reached 571 million USD, SKHY contract Binance positions reached 115 million USD

Recently, South Korean stock leader SK Hynix has experienced a continuous decline, triggering an increase in the trading activity of related stock derivatives. According to the RootData Pro data panel, in mainstream stock derivatives exchanges:The SKHYNIX contract has generally dropped about 7% in 24 hours, with Lighter and HTX experiencing relatively smaller declines. From the perspective of open interest (OI), Hyperliquid leads with $571 million, followed by Binance with $501 million, and OKX in third place with $82.14 million; in terms of trading volume, Binance has the highest 24-hour transaction amount at $4.15 billion, followed by Hyperliquid at $1.51 billion and OKX at $1.19 billion.The SKHY contract has mostly dropped about 4%-5% across platforms in 24 hours. From the OI perspective, Binance leads with $115 million, followed by Hyperliquid with $110 million, Bitget with $20.22 million, and OKX with $17.41 million; in terms of trading volume, Binance has the highest 24-hour transaction amount at $1.61 billion, followed by XT.com at $482 million, OKX at $387 million, and Hyperliquid at $310 million.From the perspective of price spread, the spread for SKHYNIX on Binance, Bitget, and Bybit is about 0.0032%, Hyperliquid is 0.0054%, and OKX is 0.0076%; the spread for SKHY on Binance, OKX, Hyperliquid, Bitget, Bybit, and Gate is about 0.0081%, indicating high price synchronization. In terms of funding rates, the SKHYNIX contracts on Lighter, OKX, and Hyperliquid have relatively high funding rates, indicating an increase in long position costs.It is reported that SK Hynix announced its Q2 2026 financial report on July 29, with revenue of 79.32 trillion won, operating profit of 60.54 trillion won, and net profit of 93.92 trillion won, all setting quarterly records. However, the performance did not fully meet the market's high expectations, and SK Hynix's stock price once plummeted over 19.3% during the session, setting a record for the largest single-day decline in history. Overall, the funding for SK Hynix (SKHYNIX/SKHY) contracts is mainly concentrated on Hyperliquid and Binance.
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