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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until June is 95.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 4.8%. By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 92.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 7.7%. By September, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 86.1%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 13.2%.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB board member Nagel stated that if the inflation outlook does not improve, it means an interest rate hike may occur in June.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, after the whale "set 10 big targets" and made a short profit of over 2 million dollars, it has now gone long with 46.1 BTC (3.63 million dollars), currently showing an unrealized profit of 74,000 dollars.

The largest regulated electronic currency token issuer in the EU, Circle, announced that it has obtained approval from the French Financial Markets Authority (AMF) on April 20, 2026, to provide crypto asset services under the framework of the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA).This approval allows Circle France to provide custody and transfer services for its issued stablecoins USDC and EURC in accordance with Article 60(4) of MiCA. This move enables Circle France to offer these services to customers in the European Economic Area (EEA).Dante Disparte, Circle's Chief Strategy Officer and Global Head of Policy and Operations, stated, "This milestone reflects our ongoing commitment to operate within the European regulatory framework and support the establishment of a trusted digital financial infrastructure in France and across the EU." This move marks another significant step in Circle's ongoing commitment to regulatory compliance and building a trusted digital financial infrastructure in Europe.

Bitget announced the official launch of the global campaign "A 'Substantial' Resume" (Boxed for Opportunity) on the occasion of the third anniversary of its Blockchain4Youth program. This campaign cleverly combines "Bitcoin Pizza Day," printing the resumes and portfolios of selected candidates on pizza boxes and delivering them directly to Web3 companies and ecosystem partners worldwide, creatively connecting Web3 youth talent with industry opportunities.Since its launch in 2024, the Blockchain4Youth program has attracted over 15,000 participants globally, established partnerships with more than 70 universities, and held over a hundred campus events. As the project enters its third year, its focus has gradually shifted from basic education and awareness to more specific career development support.Bitget CMO Ignacio Aguirre Franco stated that the core of Blockchain4Youth is to help young people connect the pathways from knowledge learning and skills demonstration to integrating into the industry ecosystem.

According to Crypto In America, the U.S. CLARITY Act has reached a key compromise on the yield mechanism for stablecoins, clearing an important obstacle for the Senate Banking Committee to advance its review.Under the latest proposal, crypto companies can offer rewards (such as cashback or membership benefits) based on user transaction behavior, but are prohibited from paying interest yields (APY) on idle stablecoin balances. This compromise means that stablecoins will be explicitly positioned as payment tools, rather than as bank-like deposits or high-yield savings products. The industry generally believes that this provision strikes a balance between the crypto industry and traditional banks, but is overall more favorable to the banking system.Industry organizations, including Coinbase, have renewed their support for the bill, believing that although the yield restrictions have tightened, there is still room to earn rewards based on actual usage scenarios. Some industry insiders have pointed out that this move limits the financial attributes of stablecoins.In terms of the regulatory process, Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott is expected to schedule a markup of the bill soon, possibly as early as mid-May after Congress reconvenes. Additionally, discussions around DeFi regulation (such as defining developer responsibilities) and ethical provisions are still ongoing and may become important variables affecting the bill's final passage. The market generally believes that the next two weeks will be a critical window for whether the CLARITY Act can be implemented.

According to CoinDesk, Kraken's parent company Payward submitted a second amended complaint to the U.S. District Court for the District of Colorado, suing former custody partner Etana Custody and its CEO Dion Brandon Russell, accusing them of misappropriating over $25 million in customer funds and operating a "Ponzi scheme."Payward claims that Etana mixed custodial assets with its own funds to pay for operational expenses and high-risk investments, and covered up the funding gap with false account reports.In April 2025, when Kraken attempted to withdraw about $25 million in reserve funds, Etana delayed the process citing false reconciliation issues and relied on new deposits to fill the gap. Among these, at least $16 million was invested in a promissory note from Seabury Trade Capital, which later defaulted.Colorado regulators subsequently issued a cease and desist order against Etana, which entered liquidation proceedings in November 2025 and is currently managed by a court-appointed receiver. Kraken is seeking at least $25 million in damages and triple civil theft damages.

According to PR Newswire, Ethereum treasury company Bitmine Immersion Technologies disclosed that it increased its holdings by 101,745 ETH last week. The company's cryptocurrency asset holdings now include 5,180,131 ETH, 200 BTC, equity in Eightco Holdings worth 83 million dollars, and shares in Beast Industries worth 200 million dollars.In addition, the total amount of ETH staked by the company is 4,362,757 ETH (calculated at 2,336 dollars per ETH, totaling 10.2 billion dollars).

According to Fortune, the stablecoin infrastructure startup Rain is currently valued at $1.95 billion and has announced a partnership with payment giant Mastercard to issue credit and prepaid cards, as well as explore pathways for using stablecoins for payment settlements.Previously, Rain primarily relied on the Visa network to issue card products, and this collaboration with Mastercard signifies its entry into the "dual card network" layout phase, further expanding its institutional client market. Rain stated that this partnership will focus on serving large institutional clients that are deeply bound to a single payment network, enabling them to introduce stablecoin settlement capabilities without changing their existing payment systems.Meanwhile, the application of stablecoins continues to expand at the industry level, with institutions such as Stripe and Coinbase promoting the integration of stablecoin payments and settlements, indicating that the fusion of traditional finance and crypto payment infrastructure is accelerating. Analysts believe that as the regulatory framework becomes clearer, stablecoins are rapidly shifting from trading tools to enterprise payment and cross-border settlement infrastructure.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, the whale "set 10 big targets" tweeted that it opened a short position of 2,448.2 BTC at the price of $79,903.19, worth $195 million, and has now realized a profit of $2.463 million.

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, as the price of TST rises, a certain 3x leveraged long TST whale has now realized a profit of over 1.21 million dollars, and this whale currently holds a position of 133.59 million TST.

According to the latest data from Saylortracker, as Bitcoin strongly rebounds and breaks through $80,000, the Strategy's holdings of BTC currently total 818,334 BTC, with a market value returning above $6.5 billion, currently reported at $6.568 billion, with an average cost of $75,537, resulting in an unrealized profit of $3.87 billion.

The decentralized trading platform Aster announced that the sixth phase of the airdrop has been settled, with a total of 620,608.16 $ASTER distributed. Among them, 310,304.08 have been permanently destroyed, and another 310,304.08 have been transferred to the Aster Treasury contract.According to the arrangement, the 50% immediate claim window opened at 12:00 UTC on May 4 and will close at 12:00 on June 4. Users can claim the corresponding airdrop assets during the window period.The official stated that the related destruction and distribution transactions have been recorded on-chain, supporting public verification.

According to official news, the on-chain identity project Phi will cease operations on May 25, and phi.box and other services will be discontinued, but the PHI token will be retained and continue to trade on Aerodrome.Phi stated that in January of this year, the team underwent large-scale layoffs to reduce costs in search of a sustainable development path. In the following months, Phi explored various possibilities, including transitioning into the prediction market or artificial intelligence fields, but currently, the funds can no longer support the project's continued operation.

According to FinanceFeeds, Alex Thorn, the research director of Galaxy Digital, stated that as advancements in quantum computing hardware accelerate, the Bitcoin community is shifting from decentralized debates to forming a preliminary consensus on quantum threats. The core direction is to gradually introduce post-quantum cryptography (PQC) through soft forks, achieving an upgrade of the address system and long-term security assurance.The report points out that the current Bitcoin signature mechanism, which uses the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm, can theoretically be cracked by Shor's algorithm. Approximately 2 million BTC from early p2pkh addresses are at risk because their public keys have been exposed, facing the potential risk of "collecting first and decrypting later." The community tends to promote a "migration window" mechanism to guide users in transferring their assets to new quantum-resistant addresses, and after a multi-year grace period, to implement freezing or destruction of untransferred assets to prevent large-scale market impacts in extreme situations. Additionally, the consensus includes enhancing "cryptographic agility," which allows protocols to switch signature algorithms without interrupting the network.The current proposal leans towards a dual-signature mechanism that uses ECDSA and PQC (such as Dilithium) in parallel, ensuring security redundancy while facilitating a smooth transition. Analysts believe that this approach transforms the quantum threat from a "black swan event" into a manageable technological upgrade, helping to solidify Bitcoin's security foundation as a long-term store of value asset.

Nic Puckrin, co-founder and CEO of Coin Bureau, posted on the X platform that Bitcoin has surpassed the $80,000 mark, reaching a nearly three-month high, and has re-entered several key technical and on-chain indicator ranges, including the CME gap (between $79,000 and $84,000) midpoint, bull market support zone, and has risen above the short-term holder realized price and the true market average.Nic Puckrin analyzed that if the Bitcoin price can stabilize in the current range, the next levels to watch include the ETF average cost range around $83,000 and the upper edge of the CME gap around $84,500. Overall, Bitcoin's short-term trend has entered a critical verification phase, and the market may welcome a more volatile trading window.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, address 0x55e...3DF26 has accumulated a deposit of 6,200 ETH to Binance in the past 24 hours, worth 14.54 million USD, with an average deposit price of 2,346 USD.Currently, this address still holds ETH worth 17.84 million USD in Spark.

According to The Block, as Bitcoin strongly rebounded and broke through $80,000, Strategy's total holdings of 818,334 BTC have seen their market value return above $65 billion, currently reported at $65.74 billion, with an average cost of $75,537, resulting in an unrealized gain of $3.926 billion.However, Strategy founder Michael Saylor disclosed yesterday that they will suspend this week's regular Bitcoin purchase plan, marking the second time this year they have paused weekly increases.It is reported that Strategy is expected to announce its first-quarter results on Tuesday, with the market anticipating a loss of $18.98 per share, higher than the loss level of $16.38 in the same period last year.

According to the token unlocking data from the Crypto asset data platform RootData, Solayer (LAYER) will unlock approximately 30.77 million tokens at 12:00 PM Beijing time on May 11, worth about 2.62 million USD.

According to token unlocking data from the Crypto asset data platform RootData, io.net (IO) will unlock approximately 14.14 million tokens at 0:00 Beijing time on May 11, worth about 1.72 million USD.