pro

This Friday, the United States will release non-farm payroll data, which will serve as an important reference for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Prior to this, CME's "FedWatch" shows that traders are betting on a probability of over 50% for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates twice this year.

According to Ai Yi's monitoring, the leading privacy coin XMR's top holder has only used 23 days, with total profits from betting on a single coin rising exceeding 3.15 million USD.This bet started on August 9, with a maximum holding of 34,000 XMR (approximately 16.72 million USD). Last night, half of the position was closed for a profit of 1.637 million USD; currently, they still hold 16,000 XMR at 4x leverage, with an unrealized profit exceeding 1.53 million USD.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley," the sub-market "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley First Set Winner" has seen a dramatic fluctuation in the winning probability of the "Landaluce" option, soaring from 59% an hour ago to the current 91.5% (a fluctuation of 32.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced on Friday that former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez has agreed to pay $172,000 to settle allegations of insider trading in the prediction market by using advance knowledge of presidential speeches.Perez was able to access the content before the speeches were released due to his job, allowing him to bet on known outcomes. From December 2025 to February 2026, he profited over $107,500 from this. Under the settlement agreement, he must forfeit $107,539.02 in illegal gains, pay a civil penalty of $65,000, accept a three-year trading ban, and cease further violations of the Commodity Exchange Act.The CFTC noted that the fine was significantly discounted under the new cooperation policy and praised Perez for providing exemplary assistance during the investigation, while also thanking exchange operator Kalshi for their cooperation in the case. This case highlights the insider trading risks associated with the growing popularity of prediction markets. Previously, a U.S. soldier was charged with insider trading related to military operations in Venezuela on Polymarket, and a MrBeast video editor was also fired during the Kalshi insider trading investigation.

As Bitcoin's price rose to about $79,007 on Sunday, the 840,447 Bitcoins held by Michael Saylor's Strategy had a total value of approximately $6.64 billion, about 4.4% higher than its average purchase cost of $75,653, resulting in an unrealized gain of over $2.8 billion. Saylor posted a chart of his holdings on the X platform with the caption "We're Back," sparking speculation in the market about a possible resumption of buying.Strategy typically discloses its weekly Bitcoin purchases on Monday mornings, and the company has not increased its holdings for about two months. Recently, Strategy raised $334 million by selling MSTR stock without touching its Bitcoin holdings and sold a small amount of Bitcoin to pay preferred stock dividends and buybacks, indicating a shift in capital management strategy. Bitcoin fell to $76,877 last Friday due to comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Waller about inflation cooling less than expected, but it remains far below the historical high of about $126,000 in October.

The European digital currency market is forming a pattern of parallel development between the central bank digital euro and private euro stablecoins. Revolut has previously launched phased testing of EURR in Denmark, Poland, and Portugal. This euro stablecoin operates on Ethereum and is issued by Bridge Building, a subsidiary of Stripe.The ECB emphasizes that the digital euro will adopt a highly private design, with offline payment information only held by the transacting parties, and online transactions cannot be directly linked to individuals by the Eurosystem. Europe is advancing its digital payment system through public digital currencies and private stablecoins to reduce reliance on dollar stablecoins and non-European payment infrastructures.

Bitcoin News posted on platform X that the U.S. Senate plans to hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on September 15. This vote to end debate requires 60 votes in support; if it passes, the Senate will move forward with the formal consideration of the bill, but this does not mean the bill will ultimately pass.The CLARITY Act aims to establish a comprehensive federal regulatory framework for the digital asset market. Meanwhile, Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Michael Selig stated that the agency can use its existing authority to advance limited cryptocurrency regulation, but this authority cannot replace the broader framework currently under consideration by Congress.

Analyst Rekt Fencer released a chart showing the BTC to Nasdaq 3-day line ratio, marking three significant pullbacks: approximately -84.9% in 2018, approximately -80.7% in 2022, and currently about -54.3% in 2026.Rekt Fencer stated that after the first two times Bitcoin lagged so significantly relative to the Nasdaq, there were very strong independent upward trends, with prices subsequently surging. The current ratio has again dropped significantly, and history may repeat for the third time; the bottom is nearing, and BTC will strengthen again.

According to GMGN data, trader Bonkguy (unipcs) has increased his position in MarsCoin, currently holding approximately 24.9 million MarsCoin, with a total position value of about 1.31 million USD. He has invested a total of approximately 984,800 USD, with an average cost of 0.0389 USD, and an unrealized profit of about 346,000 USD.Bonkguy stated that he chose to further increase his position in MarsCoin after seeing the bullish trend following the launch of the contract on Binance, and he believes in the previous trading logic, asserting that trading requires patience to wait for the logic to materialize.

The Zcash full node client Zakura team has released Zakura Common, a set of cryptography and protocol libraries for the Zcash ecosystem. Official benchmarks show that the proof generation speed on mobile has increased by over 14 times (over 5 times on desktop), the Sinsemilla hash speed has increased by over 21 times, the decryption speed has improved by over 1.5 times, and the zk-SNARK verification speed has increased by 4 to 8 times; in many cases, the waiting time for wallet transactions can be reduced from over 3 seconds to under 200 milliseconds.This upgrade does not require a network upgrade and has been open-sourced under the MIT/Apache 2.0 dual license. Zakura 1.3.0 will switch to this technology stack.

According to Hyperbot data, Huang Licheng's $100 million ETH long position has turned from a loss to a profit, currently with an unrealized profit of about $510,000.Currently, Huang Licheng's overall position is valued at over $118 million, including a $9.9 million 10x leveraged HYPE long position, a $4.336 million 40x leveraged Bitcoin long position, and a $4.197 million 10x leveraged PUMP long position.

Zhao Changpeng appeared on the podcast "Meanders" and discussed the pressures, adaptability, and lifelong motivation in the cryptocurrency field. When talking about pressure, Zhao Changpeng stated, "I generally do not set goals; I just do my best. This year the market is not good, so the company's performance may decline, but I have tried my best, I did not slack off, and I did not make any major mistakes. I handle problems in the same way.""No matter how difficult the problem is, I just try my best to deal with it. I also believe in simulation theory; I believe this world is simulated, so it’s like a game. It is simulated, but that does not mean this game is unimportant. However, in this game, I just need to do my best; you try your best to handle it, and after handling it, you can only wait, just lie back and win."Zhao Changpeng mentioned the industry, saying, "As for blockchain itself, I think the improvement in performance is still too slow. But because Bitcoin upgrades slowly, it is particularly stable, which is also an advantage. So there are advantages and disadvantages. Many of the ideas we had in the early days had many implementations, many that were not implemented, and many unexpected things happened."Regarding RWA, he said, "Even a year and a half ago, I would have doubted whether RWA could succeed, but now it is growing very fast. To be honest, I might have had some doubts about stablecoins five years ago, wondering how long they could last; at that time, I did not fully understand them. Stablecoins have their own uses. So these things are all things we did not think of before."

According to data from DefiLlama, Pons' revenue in the past 24 hours reached $693,125, surpassing Polymarket ($635,221) and fomo ($646,539), ranking eighth in protocol revenue, just behind Hyperliquid ($758,325).

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the HyperLabs address (0x43e9...a251) applied to redeem 433,000 HYPE from staking 10 minutes ago, worth 36.14 million USD. This HYPE will complete the staking withdrawal in 7 days, on September 6. According to previous records, these HYPE will be transferred to a centralized exchange through the market maker Flowdesk after the withdrawal.

According to on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa, a certain address built a position in the PONS native token at a low point 46 days ago, spending only $115,000, and is currently profiting over $2.82 million, with a return rate of 2456.6%. The address liquidated CASHCAT 1 hour ago, making a profit of $598,000.

According to CoinDesk, as Bitcoin surged from about $62,000 to over $77,000 last week, liquidating approximately $3 billion in leveraged short positions, major crypto market makers such as Abraxas Capital, Fasanara Capital, and Wintermute quietly established short positions in perpetual contracts worth hundreds of millions of dollars on Hyperliquid.Lookonchain data shows that the three institutions collectively hold short positions of 138,569 ETH (approximately $338 million) and 3,425 BTC (approximately $265 million); meanwhile, Abraxas Capital withdrew 73,872 ETH (approximately $173 million) from Binance in the past four days.This strategy is known as cash arbitrage or basis trading: traders hold spot positions while shorting an equivalent amount of assets through perpetual contracts to hedge against price volatility risks, primarily earning the funding rates paid by longs to shorts. In previous months, funding rates were long suppressed or even turned negative, but this month's rebound has quickly turned funding rates positive, reopening the arbitrage window. Aegis data shows that the 30-day average funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts on August 24 reached an annualized 6.7%, with a 7-day average of 8.7%; 21shares capital markets noted that basis trading for mainstream assets like Solana is also becoming lucrative.This trading has extended to regulated markets: Glassnode data shows that CME Bitcoin futures open interest has risen from about 87,000 BTC to 122,000 BTC.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Cumberland (0x040...0f3F) transferred 170,000 HYPE to Bybit and Coinbase, worth approximately $14.09 million, representing client sales. Some clients unstaked a few hours ago, while others have held for several months.

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket "ETH dropping to $2400 in the remaining period of August" has decreased to 30%, a 31% drop in 24 hours; the probability of dropping to $2300 has decreased to 4%, a 4% drop in 24 hours. This market is based on the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair.During the specified month in the title (from 00:00 on the 1st of the month Eastern Time to 23:59 on the last day), if the highest price of any 1-minute candlestick equals or exceeds the specified price in the title, it will be settled as Yes immediately; otherwise, it will be No. Only the 1-minute candlestick High price of Binance ETH/USDT is considered, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not included.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels," the sub-market "Spread -1.5" for the "Philadelphia Phillies" option has experienced severe fluctuations, plummeting from 60.5% an hour ago to the current 30.5% (a fluctuation of 30%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.