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Analyst Murphy: BTC technical support failure leads to losses approaching bear bottom

Analyst Murphy stated that the sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has returned to "extreme fear." On November 12, the realized losses of long-term and short-term holders moving to trading platforms reached recent highs, with the overall scale approaching the bear market bottom period of June to July this year.Murphy mentioned that the market has recently faced multiple extreme bearish factors, including the Binance black swan event, concerns over AI infrastructure restrictions triggered by the Democratic Party's midterm election victory, CPI exceeding expectations, Nvidia's sharp decline due to scandals, and MSTR being removed from the MSCI index. The severity of these events has surpassed historical levels, except for March 12, 2020. He acknowledged underestimating the impact of collective panic and the short-selling forces behind it, stating that under the dominance of irrational behavior, all technical supports have failed.Murphy also revealed that in his personal holdings, ETH is trapped at $2260, MSTRB is trapped at $136, and his heavily invested BTC has seen a significant reduction in unrealized gains, but he has chosen to maintain his positions. He still believes that the nine months from February to November this year are not a "bear market continuation," but rather a transitional period after emerging from the bear bottom structure, and stated that once signs of improved sentiment and indicator resonance appear, he will only buy on dips.

Jane Street's holdings in Nvidia more than doubled in the third quarter, valued at approximately 5.44 billion USD

The latest 13F filing from the quantitative trading firm Jane Street shows that as of September 30, the company held 23.8268 million shares of Nvidia common stock, with a market value of approximately $5.442 billion based on the quarter-end price. Compared to the end of the second quarter, when it held 11.8056 million shares valued at about $2.362 billion, the number of shares increased by 12.0211 million, an increase of about 101.8%. Among the listed common stock holdings, Nvidia is the second largest position, second only to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF.The 13F only reflects the quarter-end holdings and does not represent the current positions, nor does it disclose short positions, and it does not specify the timing of the increases or the gains and losses. The same document also lists a large number of call and put options for Nvidia, corresponding to approximately 74.76 million shares with a notional value of about $17.07 billion, and about 10.5 million shares with a notional value of approximately $23.98 billion. Options are reported based on the notional value of the underlying stock, and the notional size may significantly exceed the actual investment, making it impossible to assess the overall risk exposure after hedging based on this information; therefore, this holding cannot be simply understood as a one-way heavy bet.

first_img Eskender Abebe has been appointed Chief Product Officer of early-stage venture capital Archetype

Eskender Abebe announced his joining the early-stage crypto venture capital firm Archetype as Chief Product Officer. Archetype confirmed that he is the first Chief Product Officer of the firm. According to him, he will be responsible for building internal platforms and tools at Archetype, bringing a product perspective into the investment process, and working directly with early founders to help accelerate their progress. Eskender Abebe previously served as Chief Product Officer at Eliza Labs, the maintainer of the open-source AI framework elizaOS, and earlier held positions as the product lead for ENS and a senior technical product manager at Consensys.Eskender Abebe stated that he has been working at the intersection of crypto and AI for the past few years. He believes that crypto allows capital to be programmed, distributed, and coordinated without central institutions, while AI enables intelligence to be programmed, distributed, and coordinated without central institutions. He also mentioned that the experience in ownership, incentives, and open coordination in crypto will play a core role in the interactions and transactions of autonomous AI systems, and together they will change the upper limits of ideas that individuals and small teams can pursue.Regarding his responsibilities and reasons for joining, Eskender Abebe said that if the company structure changes, the supporting institutions should also adjust. He stated that excellent venture capital firms are always built on judgment, relationships, and beliefs, which do not change, but the products built around them can change, including tools, systems, and practical experiences used to support founders and allow them to focus on building. He also mentioned that he joined Archetype because he recognizes the team's judgment criteria and the depth of collaboration between the team and the founders and their ideas.
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