for

Citigroup Research stated in the U.S. Economic Weekly published on July 2 that the U.S. non-farm payroll data for June showed a significant weakening, strongly refuting the necessity for interest rate hikes. Citigroup believes that several factors that previously supported a hawkish stance, including rising oil prices, accelerated wage growth, and core PCE above target, have gradually faded, stating that "the reasons for rate hikes have disappeared."Data shows that in June, the U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 57,000 jobs, far below expectations, and the data for the previous two months was revised down by a total of 74,000 jobs. After revision, the average monthly growth of non-farm payrolls over the past three months has dropped to about 111,000, a significant decline from over 180,000 before the revision. The unemployment rate in June fell from 4.296% to 4.189%, but Citigroup believes this is mainly due to the labor participation rate dropping from 61.8% to 61.5%. If the participation rate remains unchanged, the unemployment rate would actually rise to above 4.5%.Regarding inflation, Citigroup stated that multiple factors are collectively suppressing price pressures. Oil prices have fallen back to pre-conflict levels, and July CPI and PCE data are expected to show a month-on-month decline; further slowing of housing rents will also drag down core CPI and core PCE. In addition, the revision of the core PCE methodology will adopt a more reasonable price adjustment approach for AI-related goods. Citigroup estimates that the year-on-year growth rate of the revised core PCE may be adjusted down by 20 to 30 basis points, which will be officially reflected in September.Citigroup maintains its baseline forecast, expecting the Federal Reserve to remain on hold at the FOMC meetings in July and September, with the first rate cut of 25 basis points occurring at the meeting on October 28, followed by another 25 basis points cut in December, bringing the federal funds rate range down to 3.0% to 3.25% by the end of the year. Citigroup also expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates three more times in 2027, with a terminal rate range of 2.75% to 3.0%.

Founder of Strategy, Michael Saylor, has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. He stated, "Bitcoin is digital energy."According to previous patterns, Strategy always discloses information about increasing Bitcoin holdings on the day after relevant news is released.

Hyperliquid founder Jeff posted on platform X that VALR, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in Africa, will directly utilize Hyperliquid's on-chain liquidity to support its core perpetual contract products. This is a significant milestone that will redefine the way the next generation of financial applications are built.The breakthrough in cloud computing lies in the ability for any startup to quickly test its ideas and rest assured that the infrastructure will scale as the business grows. As the most liquid global venue for assets like BTC, Hyperliquid will play the same role in the global economy. By leveraging the deepest on-chain liquidity, builders can shift their focus back to their products and users. Heartfelt congratulations to the VALR team. We are honored that they chose to build on Hyperliquid. Looking forward to expanding together.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been in a negative premium range for 48 consecutive days (from May 19 to present), with the latest value at -0.0911%. This index measures the deviation of the BTC price on Coinbase (a mainstream compliant platform in the U.S.) relative to the global average price. The sustained negative value indicates heavy selling pressure in the U.S. market, a decline in risk appetite, capital outflows, or rising risk aversion.Historical data shows that long-term negative premiums are often accompanied by the exit of institutional funds from the U.S., and caution is needed regarding short-term pullback pressure. The Coinbase premium index is primarily used to assess the demand for Bitcoin among professionals and institutions. By comparing the BTC prices on Coinbase Advanced and Binance, one can directly understand the purchasing behavior of these users. Negative data indicates that the amount sold by institutional investors exceeds that of retail investors, while retail investors are mostly active on the Binance platform, and their behavior has led to the decline in the Coinbase premium index. Previously, this index was in a negative premium for 40 consecutive days from January 16 to February 24 this year, setting the longest "continuous negative" record since the launch of this indicator, surpassing the approximately 30 days of continuous negative premium during the "1011 crash."

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, after being dormant for five months, the Step Finance attacker sold all 261,933 SOL (worth $21.4 million) and bridged the funds to Ethereum, subsequently purchasing 12,128 ETH.After that, the attacker deposited these ETH into Tornado Cash for money laundering.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the ETH/BTC exchange rate has rebounded from a low of 0.0252 to 0.0285 over the past month. This year, a giant whale has achieved a cumulative profit of 6,389 ETH (approximately 11.34 million USD) through two ETH/BTC exchange rate trades, and today it initiated the third ETH/BTC exchange rate trade of the year, selling 4,695 ETH at an exchange rate of 0.0285, exchanging for 133.8 BTC.This giant whale bets that the ETH/BTC exchange rate will weaken subsequently, meaning that ETH will rise less compared to BTC or fall more. On-chain data shows that this giant whale sold ETH at high exchange rates and bought back ETH at low exchange rates in both of its previous ETH/BTC swing trades this year, cumulatively increasing its holdings by 6,389 ETH.Among them, at the beginning of January, it sold 22,345 ETH for 774 BTC and bought back 24,564 ETH at the end of January, making a profit of 2,219 ETH; in mid-April, it sold 24,564 ETH for 784.7 BTC, and at the beginning of June, it bought back 28,734 ETH, making another profit of 4,170 ETH.

According to CoinDesk, Barstool Sports founder Dave Portnoy stated that after buying Bitcoin when it was close to $100,000, he will hold it until it reaches $0.He mentioned that every time he sells Bitcoin, the price skyrockets; every time he buys Bitcoin, the price plummets, and he indicated that this is a typical timing issue.

According to Coinglass data, in the past 7 days, CEX platforms saw an inflow of 4,932.87 BTC, among which:Binance platform inflow of 2,006.76 BTC;OKX platform inflow of 1,999.85 BTC;Kraken platform inflow of 848.24 BTC;Coinbase Pro platform outflow of 110.81 BTC;Bitfinex platform outflow of 113.06 BTC.

According to Cointelegraph, Kraken has begun allowing eligible users to use certain tokenized stocks and ETFs as collateral for futures and margin trading, enabling them to open leveraged positions without selling their related holdings.The first batch supports 10 types of tokenized stocks and ETFs, including Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Strategy, SPDR S&P 500 ETF, and Invesco QQQ Trust. This feature is currently only available to eligible users outside the United States.Kraken has also set collateral limits for different assets, with a maximum collateral value of $1 million for large-cap ETFs, $250,000 for most individual stocks, and $100,000 for tokenized gold and Circle stocks. The platform stated that collateral limits and collateral discount rates will be reviewed regularly and may be adjusted based on market conditions.

According to The Block, the decentralized lending protocol Aave saw its deposit scale surpass $100 million about two days after launching the V3 market on the Monad network. Aave deployed the V3 version on July 3, introducing lending functions and the GHO stablecoin to the network for the first time, initially supporting 12 assets including USDT 0, USDC, GHO, WETH, and cbBTC. Within 24 hours of launch, the deposit scale had already exceeded $75 million.According to the Aave governance proposal, the Monad Foundation has committed to providing $15 million in incentives over the next 12 months and to purchase and hold 10 million GHO for at least 6 months; the Aave DAO will also provide an additional 500,000 GHO to support the development of the stablecoin ecosystem.In addition, Aave founder Stani Kulechov stated that the deposit scale of Aave V4 on the Ethereum mainnet has also surpassed $250 million, setting a historical high for this version. He expressed hope that the future deposit scale of V4 will further grow to $1 billion and continue to expand into crypto asset collateralized loans and securities-backed lending businesses.

According to Coinglass data, the current holdings of whales on the Hyperliquid platform amount to $4.877 billion, with long positions at $2.404 billion, accounting for 49.3% of the holdings, and short positions at $2.473 billion, accounting for 50.7%. The profit and loss for long positions is -$26.9483 million, and for short positions, it is -$72.198 million.Among them, the whale address 0x082e..88 has taken a 5x leveraged long position on HYPE at a price of $38.6755, currently showing an unrealized profit and loss of $41.7566 million.

On-chain analyst Specter posted on the X platform, revealing that about 16 hours ago, a wallet suspected to be related to Mining Express exchanged 5,004 ETH for approximately 8.8 million DAI. Specter stated that he first tagged this address on June 15 but only recently completed further tracking analysis, providing multiple related addresses for verification.Currently, this large-scale exchange behavior has drawn market attention to potential historical capital flows and liquidation motives. According to his tracking, this address has an on-chain connection to the Mining Express project initiated in Ukraine in 2019 by Brazilian founder Kaze Fuziyama.The project initially attracted investors through a multi-level marketing (MLM) approach, later being labeled a Ponzi scheme, and after halting payments, shifted to business models such as cloud rendering.Historical on-chain records show that on March 19, 2024, this wallet received 4,512 ETH from related addresses and subsequently engaged in staking operations through Lido and Ether.fi; by April 2026, all these ETH had entered a staked state and were fully unstaked by May 4.

According to CoinDesk, the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) officially announced a regulatory framework for crypto assets this week, which has been widely regarded by the industry as an international plan emphasizing "global liquidity access," but its implementation still faces significant compliance and approval challenges.Under the new regulations, the FCA allows overseas trading platforms to serve UK users through locally authorized branches and to access global trading infrastructure, thereby avoiding the creation of a closed domestic liquidity pool. At the same time, stablecoins not issued in the UK can also circulate in the UK market, a stance that is seen as a clear distinction from the European Union's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) regional isolation model.The "Qualified Crypto Asset Trading Platform" (QCATP) mechanism in the new regulations is viewed as a key structure connecting global exchanges with the UK market, expected to enhance price efficiency and market depth. However, industry insiders point out that the FCA has not clarified which jurisdictions are recognized as having "comparable regulatory protection," and this uncertainty may affect corporate layout decisions.In addition, rules related to decentralized finance (DeFi) are still not fully defined, and some practitioners worry that early proposals may restrict centralized platforms' access to the DeFi ecosystem, causing the UK to lag behind other jurisdictions in related innovation fields.On the compliance front, lawyers have pointed out that under the new Financial Services and Markets Act framework, the authorization process may be extremely stringent, with historical data showing that the FCA's anti-money laundering registration approval rate is less than 15%. The new system will also cover multi-dimensional regulatory requirements such as consumer responsibility, capital adequacy, operational resilience, and executive accountability, significantly raising the entry threshold.The industry believes that the framework overall provides a systemic basis for institutional funds to enter the crypto market, but whether the UK can truly become a global crypto hub will depend on the certainty of regulatory enforcement and approval efficiency in the coming months.

According to Xinhua News Agency, British Prime Minister Starmer and French President Macron issued a joint statement on the 3rd, stating that the two countries will cooperate with Oman to ensure the security of its sovereign maritime shipping.Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Karibabadi responded on the 4th, stating that the Strait of Hormuz is not a place for external countries to conduct military displays, and Iran opposes any military actions that may affect the safety of this waterway. Karibabadi responded on social media, saying that as the guarantor of security in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran will remain highly vigilant regarding relevant military movements. The security of the Strait of Hormuz should be jointly maintained by the coastal countries, and any actions that create crises will be borne by the relevant parties. He also emphasized that the aforementioned warning "is serious."

The decentralized privacy protocol Hinkal has released a security incident update, confirming that attackers extracted approximately 797,000 USDC from its Ethereum contract through a series of transactions and exchanged it for about 454 ETH. Approximately 410 ETH was subsequently transferred to Tornado Cash, while the remaining approximately 44.67 ETH was cross-chain transferred to the Bitcoin network via THORChain. They are currently tracking the flow of funds in collaboration with external security teams.Hinkal stated that this security incident is limited to the relevant funds pool on the Ethereum chain, and other on-chain contracts have not been affected. However, all contracts have been temporarily suspended for repairs and security verification. All affected user funds will be compensated at a 1:1 ratio, and the specific compensation process and timeline will be announced in future updates.

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been in the negative premium range for 47 consecutive days (from May 19 to present), with the latest value at -0.1007%.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted an analysis on the X platform stating that Bitcoin has entered the late stage of a bear market, and the U.S. spot ETF has shown for the first time that selling pressure is easing. In the latest trading day, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $223 million.Most of the demand flowed into FBTC (+$166 million) and ARKB (+$91.8 million).

The U.S. stock-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer disclosed that as of July 3, 2026, its own BTC holdings remain at 0, excluding customer deposits.This week, Bitdeer produced 223.1 BTC, sold 223.1 BTC, resulting in a net increase of 0 BTC. Bitdeer has disclosed its own BTC holdings as 0 since February 20, 2026, and it has continued for 19 weeks.