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According to Jinshi News, former Executive Director of the Bank of Japan, Eiji Maeda, stated that the next interest rate hike is expected to occur in December, followed by another increase in March or April.Eiji Maeda mentioned that the current pace of interest rate hikes has accelerated to approximately once every three months, and he believes this pace is appropriate.

Bitcoin has been trapped in the range of $80,000 to $84,000 for the past two weeks. Huobi HTX's chief analyst Cloud believes that this is essentially a balance of two opposing forces: ETFs have seen a net outflow for two consecutive weeks, while exchange holdings continue to flow out, and long-term holders are only moderately cashing out. In the week leading up to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Bitcoin is likely to continue waiting in this range. The CME has only priced in a 16% chance of a rate hike in October, while economists generally believe it is close to a 50-50 chance. This discrepancy in pricing and opinions will make funds hesitant to bet in advance.If a direction is chosen in advance, the possibility of a downward test is slightly higher: the funding rate remains high, and the options skew continues to lean towards puts, indicating that bulls have not yet cleared out, and the demand for downside protection is still increasing. However, there has been effective support formed multiple times below $80,000 in the past month, making a downward breakout more likely to be a false breakout.Confirmation signals for a breakout are divided into two groups: for an upward breakout, the daily close needs to be above $84,200, with a cumulative net inflow of over $500 million into ETFs for three consecutive days, and the funding rate not exceeding 15%; for a downward breakout, it must fall below $79,800, with a single-week ETF outflow exceeding $500 million, while exchange funds turn into net inflows. The true source of direction will come from the interest rate decision announced at midnight on October 29, Beijing time, and the nearly 89% pricing for a rate hike in December.Note: The content of this article is not investment advice and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation for any investment products.

Citigroup raised the target price for SpaceX (SPCX.O) from $200 to $240.

According to Bloomberg Law, Arkansas and its Oil and Gas Commission requested the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals on Tuesday to overturn a lower court order. The order prohibits the enforcement of the state's law that restricts foreign entities from holding digital asset mining operations. The lower court previously determined that the law may have been rendered ineffective by federal regulations taking precedence.Joseph Nelson from the Arkansas Attorney General's Office rebutted this determination. He stated that the law falls within the core area of state police power, and the restricted entities are consistent with countries that the federal government has identified as threats to national security. The law was passed in 2024 and prohibits citizens or businesses from countries subject to U.S. Department of State weapon export controls from holding interests in digital asset mining equipment in the state.

According to the market information platform Liquid247.xyz, the current price of ETH is $2,452.55. The thickest order book is on Coinbase spot: buy orders amount to $12.2731 million, sell orders amount to $10.4393 million, with buy orders exceeding sell orders by $1.8339 million.Binance spot and Binance perpetual buy orders are also thicker than sell orders, but the scale is smaller than Coinbase spot. If the price falls, the buy orders on Coinbase spot will be relatively thicker.

According to Coinglass data, the current whale holdings on the Hyperliquid platform amount to 8.549 billion USD, with long positions at 4.006 billion USD, accounting for 46.86% of the total holdings, and short positions at 4.543 billion USD, accounting for 53.14%. The profit and loss for long positions is 277 million USD, while for short positions it is -258 million USD.Among them, the whale address 0x5b5d..60 has shorted ETH with a full margin at a price of 2322.65 USD, currently realizing an unrealized profit and loss of -14.1391 million USD.

Seventeen-year-old Kimi former researcher Chen Guangyu has been reported to join Discovery Loop, an AI company founded by former Google chief scientist Jeff Dean. On October 20, the anonymous account Arfur Grok, which tracks the movement of AI talent in Silicon Valley, disclosed this news. Chen Guangyu had just announced his departure from Kimi five days prior, where he was involved in research on Attention Residuals architecture and the development of Kimi K3.Discovery Loop was established in August of this year, co-founded by Jeff Dean and three other Google veterans. The company plans to enable AI to autonomously propose research hypotheses, run thousands of experiments in parallel, and adjust plans based on results, initially focusing on AI model development, with future expansion into fields such as healthcare, materials, and energy. Google's parent company Alphabet is one of its founding investors, and the company has yet to launch any public products. Business Insider reported in September that Discovery Loop is seeking funding at a valuation of about $50 billion.Previously, Silicon Valley investor Deedy Das mentioned a 17-year-old who received five job offers in the million-dollar range in AI. There was speculation that it was Chen Guangyu, but Deedy never publicly disclosed the individual's identity.

According to on-chain analysts' monitoring, a certain address withdrew 3,000 ETH from Gemini nine years ago, valued at $56,400 at that time, with an acquisition cost as low as $18.82.The address has held the assets for many years, until it began to gradually deposit to exchanges starting in August 2025, with the last deposit of 1,000 ETH made 9 hours ago, at an average deposit price of $2,874.17. If sold, it would yield a profit of $8.566 million, with a return rate of 151.7 times.

According to the Straits Times, Edward Robinson, Chief Economist of the Monetary Authority of Singapore, stated at the Beijing Financial Street Forum on October 20 that once artificial intelligence leads to widespread productivity improvements, central banks may relax monetary policy. However, currently, the AI investment boom is driving demand, and policies should maintain appropriate restrictions. He pointed out that AI-related investments are driving economic growth, but the technology has not yet brought significant productivity improvements to the broader economy, and he called for a gradual, data-driven approach.The Monetary Authority tightened monetary policy in April and July 2026 due to rising inflation risks, and maintained the policy unchanged in October. An October 14 statement warned that if the AI boom generates broader economic spillovers and raises unit labor costs, domestic inflation may remain high. Robinson noted that AI-driven electronic products accounted for over 70% of this year's export growth in Asia, but the growth of industries producing AI-related technologies mainly stems from increased investment and more intensive use of existing resources, rather than efficiency improvements. He cited OECD estimates stating that if sufficiently widespread and appropriately invested, AI could increase total factor productivity growth by up to 0.6 percentage points annually.

According to Token Terminal data, on the Base chain, the total scale of tokenized stocks issued by Coinbase deposited in various DeFi platforms is approximately 18.9 million USD, of which Aave V4 accounts for about 10.1 million USD, representing about 53%, making it the largest DeFi platform for such assets by locked value.

J.P. Morgan Asset Management has first included Bitcoin in its long-term capital market expectations, forecasting an annualized return of about 10% for Bitcoin over the next decade, which is expected to outperform stocks, bonds, and gold. However, this prediction also assumes that Bitcoin's annualized volatility could reach as high as 55%, more than three times that of U.S. large-cap stocks.J.P. Morgan believes that the gradual improvement of the regulatory framework, along with the continuous enhancement of market liquidity and price discovery mechanisms, may further promote Bitcoin's recognition in traditional financial markets. Looking ahead to the next decade, technological innovations in fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, healthcare, and space, as well as a global capital expenditure growth of approximately $15 trillion, are also expected to drive economic growth and asset returns. Analysts point out that the correlation between Bitcoin and other assets is unstable, making it currently unsuitable as a diversification asset in balanced investment portfolios; therefore, the institution has not yet included it in its main investment portfolio model. If Bitcoin's volatility continues to decline in the future and its correlation with other assets stabilizes, its portfolio allocation value is expected to increase.

On October 20, the on-chain intelligence platform Arkham announced the launch of Arkham Enterprise, positioned as a high-level analytical platform for professional workflows, with uses including asset tracking, risk scoring, case management, and transaction research. Arkham stated that the platform relies on the world's best tagging set, containing 3.9 billion attribution records, covering $18 trillion in on-chain transaction volume. On the same day, the company adjusted the features of the free platform and launched Enterprise Grants.The data update frequency for both the free and Enterprise platforms has been upgraded in sync. Previously, a large amount of data and tags were updated once a day; after the underlying infrastructure was rebuilt, transactions, new tags, and address balances have been changed to real-time updates, with new transactions appearing without needing to refresh the page. Most alerts supporting on-chain have reduced latency by about 80%, and the database load will also decrease. Tracer 2.0 has been rebuilt for professional on-chain investigations, allowing users to pull counterparties into a network graph from any address and track funds hop by hop; with the addition of bridge support, funds can be followed across supported chains in the same tracking. Visualizer 2.0 presents incoming and outgoing transactions, counterparties, and tokens in real-time through an interactive graph after pasting an address or entity.Enterprise also offers case management and risk scoring. The former allows investigation findings to be grouped by case and form structured records; the latter assesses the risk of addresses and entities based on Arkham attribution data, with indicators covering sanction exposure, mixer exposure, sources of funds, and the number of transaction hops between addresses and marked sources. The adjustments to the free version effective that day include: Tracer 2.0, transaction filtering, complete transaction history, creation of custom tags and entities, and the counterparty section of the browser page is only available to Enterprise users. Free users can view the most recent 100 transactions and retain and edit existing custom tags and entities; the free platform still includes all Arkham tags, Visualizer 2.0, prediction markets, block explorers, and tagging features. Enterprise Grants provide free access to Enterprise for select independent investigators, researchers, and public interest organizations.

Ethereum Institutional announced the appointment of David Duong as the head of the U.S. region, responsible for promoting collaboration with U.S. institutional investors to further engage institutions in the Ethereum ecosystem.David Duong previously served as the Global Head of Investment Research at Coinbase, focusing on cryptocurrency market research for institutional clients of the exchange, covering areas such as macroeconomic analysis, valuation models, and market structure. He has 17 years of experience in sell-side macro strategy research at HSBC, Santander Bank, and Deutsche Bank.

Layer-1 blockchain Qubic has restarted the network and initiated the fund recovery process. Previously, attackers exploited a wallet seed vulnerability to transfer approximately 1.4 million USD worth of QU tokens from 1,404 accounts. The network validator Computors has approved the recovery plan, and affected users can submit claims, with a deadline of May 1, 2027.The Qubic block explorer shows that the network resumed processing ticks on October 19 at 20:00, with progress exceeding the previously paused 85,371,949. The vulnerability affects wallet seeds generated by certain Apple devices and browsers. Qubic recommends using version 4.26.4 or above to create new wallets and to transfer funds as soon as possible.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has announced the agenda for its inaugural "Frontier Forum." The forum, hosted by the CFTC Innovation Working Group, is scheduled for October 28 and will invite leaders in the field of artificial intelligence to discuss how AI may change the operation of the U.S. derivatives market.CFTC Chairman Mike Selig stated in a statement that super intelligence will transform our financial markets. This forum will focus on how the derivatives market can respond to the influx of machine intelligence and the potential impact of this technology on price discovery and risk management. The forum agenda adopts the term "super intelligence," preferred by U.S. President Trump.The Innovation Working Group indicated that the event will hear insights from leaders of companies such as Ornn, Architect, and Liquid Compute. Additionally, the forum will explore how traders' own AI agents might operate under the CFTC regulatory framework. This is the first event in the "Frontier Forum" series launched by the CFTC Innovation Working Group.

Bitcoin Treasuries posted on platform X that Fidelity, managing $78 trillion in assets, stated that the perpetual preferred shares of Bitcoin Treasury are the latest demand catalyst for BTC. Over the past year, the preferred shares have funded the purchase of over 135,000 BTC, equivalent to 0.5% of the total Bitcoin supply.Fidelity also stated that the increasing scarcity of BTC makes it a strong complement to the preferred shares.

Bitcoin News posted on platform X, stating that as the Clarity Act is stalled, regulators are independently formulating rules for the digital asset market based on existing authorities. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has solicited opinions on a framework for retail digital asset trading, which includes a new category of "crypto asset market" exchanges, with the comment period ending on December 14.The comment period for the Securities and Exchange Commission's proposed Regulation Crypto Assets will close on October 20. The pace at which regulators are crafting rules is faster than congressional legislation, but the relevant rules may face challenges in court or be rescinded by future commissions; a lasting regulatory framework still requires legislation.

SpaceX's capital expenditure for the third quarter of 2026 was $19.59 billion, slightly lower than the market expectation of $19.6 billion.

The developer of the Bitcoin yield platform HoneyB, Nectar Group, has completed a $5 million seed round financing, led by Portal Ventures, with participation from Peer Venture Partners, Anchorage Digital Ventures, an unnamed family office, and angel investors. Co-founder and CEO Josh Gordon stated that this round of financing uses a Simple Agreement for Future Equity (SAFE) plus a one-to-one token warrant structure, with a post-investment valuation of $30 million, and none of the investors received board seats or advisory positions.HoneyB aims to help Bitcoin holders earn yields on their holdings. In its first strategy, users borrow stablecoins using Bitcoin as collateral and then invest them in yield strategies involving U.S. Treasuries, fixed income, credit, gold, volatility, and options. The Bitcoin collateral can be held through on-chain smart contracts or by a tripartite arrangement consisting of borrowers, lenders, and custodians, with Anchorage Digital and BitGo providing custody services. HoneyB has also deployed infrastructure on Ethereum, Sui, Solana, and Arch Network. Gordon stated that the underlying investment products target an annualized return of about 10%, and HoneyB aims to provide users with an annualized return of about 2% to 4% on their Bitcoin holdings after deducting borrowing costs and fees.The first strategy will use a fund under Simplify Asset Management, which manages approximately $13.5 billion in assets, with Alphaledger responsible for managing and tokenizing the fund, and Amber Capital SPC as the issuer. Gordon named Bitwise, Lombard, Solv, and Sentora as competing platforms, noting that HoneyB's differentiation lies in integrating custody, lending, and investment services on the same platform, allowing institutional partners to offer their products under their own brand. HoneyB plans to launch in the fourth quarter of 2026, with its first product aimed at institutional investors outside the U.S., followed by plans to launch institutional products in the U.S. and retail products expected in the first quarter of 2027. Its business model involves charging a platform fee on deployed funds, and this round of funding will be used for product development, custody and financing integration, legal compliance, and distribution. Nectar was established in October last year and currently has more than 12 employees.