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BTC $80,991.46 +1.40%
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BNB $630.20 +1.10%
XRP $1.41 +1.25%
SOL $86.16 +2.36%
TRX $0.3444 +0.83%
DOGE $0.1142 +3.48%
ADA $0.2607 +4.40%
BCH $461.05 +3.90%
LINK $9.77 +4.36%
HYPE $43.83 +4.69%
AAVE $93.41 +1.06%
SUI $0.9664 +4.03%
XLM $0.1598 +1.19%
ZEC $510.57 +20.99%

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Analysis: The funding rate has been negative for 66 consecutive days, yet Bitcoin has still risen to around $81,000, with institutional hedging being the main reason

According to Decrypt, as the price of Bitcoin rises to around $81,000, its perpetual contract 30-day average funding rate has been negative for 66 consecutive days, setting a record for the longest duration this decade. Data shows that in a negative funding rate environment, shorts need to pay fees to longs, with the current annualized cost around 12%. Nevertheless, Bitcoin's price increased by about 12% in April, while open interest (OI) grew by about 12%, indicating that the market has not experienced typical panic short-selling.Analysts point out that this phenomenon mainly stems from institutional hedging behavior rather than pure bearish sentiment, including hedge funds shorting futures during redemption cycles, basis trading strategies (going long on related stocks while shorting Bitcoin), and mining companies hedging their Bitcoin assets as they shift to AI computing business.Historical data indicates that buying Bitcoin during similar negative funding rate phases has a probability of achieving positive returns within a 90-day period ranging from 83% to 96%. The market generally believes that if the price effectively breaks through the key resistance level of around $82,000, it may trigger a short covering rally, pushing the price further up; conversely, it may retreat to oscillate in the range of $70,000 to $75,000.

CoinShares: Crypto ETPs have seen net inflows for five consecutive weeks, with a total inflow of over $4 billion in five weeks

According to The Block, CoinShares released a report showing that last week, global crypto asset ETPs recorded a net inflow of $117.8 million, achieving a fifth consecutive week of net inflows, with a cumulative inflow of over $4 billion in five weeks and a total management scale of approximately $155 billion. However, the funding structure has shown significant differentiation.The report pointed out that from Monday to Thursday, there was a total net outflow of $619 million, but on Friday, a large inflow of $737 million was recorded in a single day, reversing the week to a net inflow, reflecting a significant rebound in market risk appetite before the weekend. From a regional perspective, net inflows in the U.S. market dropped to $47.5 million, a significant slowdown compared to the previous week's $1.1 billion; Germany and Canada recorded inflows of $43.8 million and $16 million, respectively, with European funds performing relatively steadily.In terms of assets, Bitcoin-related products led the way with a weekly inflow of $192.1 million, of which the U.S. spot ETF contributed approximately $162.8 million; Ethereum products, on the other hand, saw a net outflow of $81.6 million. Analysts believe that the number of participating assets has decreased from 9 to 4, indicating that market sentiment weakened significantly in the middle of the week before showing signs of recovery.

a16z Crypto completes $2.2 billion fundraising for its fifth fund

According to The Block, venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz's crypto branch a16z crypto has completed fundraising for its fifth fund, totaling $2.2 billion. This fund is smaller than the record $4.5 billion raised for the fourth fund in 2022.a16z crypto communications partner Paul Cafiero stated that the company intends to return to a smaller fund size because "a shorter fundraising cycle allows us to keep up with the rapidly changing crypto trends." The previous fund sizes for a16z crypto were $2.2 billion for the third fund in 2021, $515 million for the second fund in 2020, and $350 million for the first fund in 2018.a16z crypto also announced the promotion of CTO Eddy Lazzarin to general partner (GP), making him the fourth general partner alongside Chris Dixon, Ali Yahya, and Guy Wuollet.a16z crypto noted that while the market is in a relatively calm phase, adoption signals are improving, pointing out that the use of stablecoins continues to grow, and the application of blockchain in capital markets is becoming increasingly widespread, including perpetual contracts for price discovery, prediction markets for information aggregation, and on-chain lending for stablecoin credit markets. The company also cited the GENIUS Act as an example of a clearer regulatory framework, maintaining a "hopeful and optimistic" attitude towards the Clarity Act passed this year. The fund will focus 100% on investments in the crypto space and will not expand into adjacent areas such as AI or robotics.a16z crypto has previously invested in projects such as Coinbase, Uniswap, Solana, Kalshi, Anchorage Digital, and Phantom. Other crypto venture capital firms have also been active recently, with Haun Ventures completing fundraising for its second fund of $1 billion earlier this week, Dragonfly recently completing its fourth fund of $650 million, and Paradigm reportedly seeking up to $1.5 billion for a broader fund, while Blockchain Capital is also raising approximately $700 million.

Forbes: SBF's venture capital capabilities reassessed; if not imprisoned, could possess a fortune of $100 billion

According to Forbes, SBF's early investment portfolio is being re-evaluated by the market, with some opinions suggesting that if he had not been imprisoned due to the FTX collapse, his venture capital layout could theoretically yield a wealth increase of up to about $100 billion.Before the FTX collapse, SBF had established an investment landscape covering several star companies, including Anthropic, SpaceX, Robinhood, and the AI programming tool Cursor, which was considered to have significant foresight.Industry insiders pointed out that he had bet on key tracks ahead of the AI wave, among which: Cursor recently reached a partnership with SpaceX, with a valuation potentially reaching $60 billion, and Anthropic's valuation is nearing $90 billion. Rory O'Driscoll, a partner at Scale Venture Partners, stated that SBF had laid out investments in several core AI companies before ChatGPT, "demonstrating a rare investment sensitivity." However, this "investment talent narrative" was ultimately completely altered by the FTX collapse.SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence for misappropriating over $8 billion in customer funds. At his peak, his personal wealth reached about $24 billion, and he made it onto the Forbes 400 list. Today, his venture capital capabilities are intertwined with his history of financial crime, making him one of the most controversial cases in cryptocurrency history.
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