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Benchmark lowers Coinbase's performance expectations, the "CLARITY Act" may be an important catalyst for stock prices

Benchmark has lowered its second-quarter performance expectations for Coinbase ahead of the earnings report next week, citing weak trading activity in the cryptocurrency market, but still maintains a "Buy" rating and a target price of $270. Based on Coinbase's stock price of about $172 on Wednesday, this target price corresponds to an upside potential of approximately 57%.Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer has revised Coinbase's second-quarter revenue expectation from $1.51 billion to $1.38 billion and has lowered the full-year revenue expectation for 2026 from $6.33 billion to $6 billion. The trading volume on centralized exchanges in the second quarter has decreased by about 28%, and the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has dropped by about 13%. The firm expects Coinbase's trading revenue to decline by more than 5%.However, the market showed initial signs of stabilization in June, with spot trading volume exceeding $1 trillion for the first time since March, which may somewhat alleviate the weak performance in the second quarter.Benchmark believes that if the CLARITY Act is ultimately passed, it could become a more significant catalyst for the stock price than quarterly performance, with Coinbase potentially being one of the main beneficiaries of the act. Trump has previously agreed to the relevant ethical provisions, removing a key obstacle to the advancement of the bill.

Famous trader: Bitcoin has completed a five-wave adjustment, and the structure indicates that a bottom may have formed

Famous trader Killa posted that Bitcoin's historical bear markets typically complete a 5-wave adjustment and form two significant peaks. The first peak often occurs after the initial major rebound following the top, known as the "complacency peak," where the market generally believes that the bull market has returned. Subsequently, prices usually continue to decline to new lows. He pointed out that similar structures appeared in the cycles of 2014, 2022, and 2026.After the complacency peak is formed, the market typically experiences a "dead cat bounce" and establishes a phase bottom; as market sentiment deteriorates and short positions concentrate, a short squeeze then drives the price rebound, with the final bottom usually forming after the second significant retest.Killa believes that BTC has currently swept through the bottom formed by the "dead cat bounce" and completed a 5-wave adjustment structure similar to previous cycles. From a structural perspective, the adjustment wave has ended, and the bottom may have already formed. However, he remains cautious about the time cycle. Previous bear markets typically lasted about 365 days before forming the final bottom, while this round, if the bottom has already appeared, has only lasted about 260 days, which is about 100 days earlier than the historical cycle. Currently, he maintains a 50-50 judgment, but compared to significantly making new lows, the likelihood of forming higher lows subsequently is greater.

Coinbase reaches a settlement with the U.S. SEC over the Freedom of Information Act lawsuit and promotes reforms in record-keeping policies

According to The Wall Street Journal, Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal stated that Coinbase has reached a settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission regarding a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit, with the SEC agreeing to pay $150,000 and amend its record-keeping policies. The lawsuit revealed that the SEC lost nearly a year’s worth of communications from former Chairman Gary Gensler and other senior officials during the peak enforcement period in the cryptocurrency industry.Coinbase had previously requested documents from the SEC regarding how it applies securities laws to digital assets, but the request was denied, leading to a lawsuit that received court support. The SEC claimed that some text messages were lost due to an automatic data deletion process. Grewal pointed out that the SEC has imposed billions of dollars in fines on financial institutions for similar record-keeping issues.In February of this year, Coinbase also reached a settlement with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation regarding another Freedom of Information Act lawsuit. Coinbase stated that this lawsuit revealed that the FDIC had instructed nearly twenty banks to suspend cryptocurrency-related activities since 2022, which subsequently led to congressional hearings and resulted in a court ruling that the FDIC violated federal law.Grewal stated that both lawsuits revolve around government transparency and due process, emphasizing that the American public has the right to know whether regulatory agencies are restricting legitimate cryptocurrency businesses from accessing banking services through non-public means.

Gate's second quarter report is out, empowering a one-stop financial service platform with over 12,500 types of stock assets

The digital asset trading platform Gate released its Q2 2026 report. According to data from several authoritative institutions, Gate ranks second globally in spot liquidity and trading volume, maintains a top three position in the derivatives market, and holds a top three market share in open interest (OI). This quarter, in terms of asset class diversification, Gate has advanced its integration of crypto assets and TradFi, accelerating the development of businesses such as stock trading, Pre-IPOs, CFDs, and wealth management, further enhancing global asset allocation capabilities. The platform has officially launched stock trading, establishing a 24/7 trading system covering the U.S., Hong Kong, and South Korean markets, supporting fractional share trading, stock dividends, inter-broker transfer, and stock splits and consolidations. By the end of Q2, Gate's global registered users exceeded 58 million, supporting trading of over 4,800 digital assets and more than 12,500 stock assets, continuously attracting global users to participate in the trading of a diversified asset system through the platform.At the same time, Gate has perfected the complete asset service chain from pre-IPO investment to public market trading. The SpaceX (SPCX) Pre-IPO project has accumulated subscription funds exceeding $396 million, with direct IPO subscription funds exceeding $143 million. Gate CFD has launched 663 trading assets, and the quarterly trading volume of ETFs approached $60 billion, with a month-on-month growth of over 40%. In addition, Gate has launched a global wealth management brand, Gate Wealth, providing global users with more efficient asset allocation and long-term value growth opportunities. Gate.AI has completed its architecture upgrade and brand renewal, supporting access to over 200 mainstream large models globally, and continues to lay out around AI Agents, RWA, prediction markets, and on-chain infrastructure. In Q2 2026, Gate continues to integrate asset allocation capabilities across digital assets, stocks, ETFs, RWA, foreign exchange, and commodities, accelerating its evolution into a global one-stop financial service platform.
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