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On October 15, MSCI revised the eligibility rules for constituents of the global investable market index, tightening the definition of "non-operating companies" and subjecting Bitcoin treasury companies to stricter scrutiny. The Strategy led by Michael Saylor has not been removed from the MSCI index.MSCI stated that it will assess whether a company qualifies as a "non-operating" company based on its operational and financial characteristics, and companies holding digital assets may still have genuine operational activities; existing constituents are still subject to a buffering mechanism, and the relevant consequences will need to be clarified further in the November index review.

Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated that Tehran has proposed a seven-day plan aimed at restoring normal navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, with the decision resting in the hands of the United States.Amir-Abdollahian mentioned at the Organization of Islamic Cooperation meeting that Iran has conveyed the proposal through Qatar, and if the conditions are met, the strait will be reopened within seven days.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, two dormant whales that had been inactive for 12 to 13 years transferred 416.6941 BTC to the same address. Among them, the wallet that had been dormant for 13 years transferred 167.8402 BTC, worth 13.62 million dollars; the wallet that had been dormant for 12 years transferred 248.8539 BTC, worth 20.20 million dollars.The original value of the aforementioned BTC was approximately 105,400 dollars, and its current value has increased by about 33.71 million dollars.

Analyst Killa posted on platform X, stating that Bitcoin has risen for the past three weekends, followed by a reversal on Monday. When there is greater downward pressure over the weekend, the market typically shows an opposite trend; if Bitcoin rises to a weekly closing, Monday is worth close attention. If it starts to decline over the weekend, a similar situation occurred last time when Bitcoin subsequently rose.

According to Philippine crypto media BitPinas, in response to CoinDesk's previous report regarding Coinsph facing the risk of license revocation due to alleged involvement in offshore betting transactions, the Philippine crypto trading platform Coinsph stated that its virtual asset service provider (VASP) license under Betur Inc. and the electronic money issuance (EMI) license of DCPay Philippines are currently both valid, and it denies providing services to non-compliant offshore betting operators.Coinsph stated that the restrictions imposed by the Philippine central bank only involve fiat currency top-ups to DCPay through InstaPay and PESONet, while cryptocurrency trading, withdrawals, and other payment services are still operating normally. The company also acknowledged that the central bank has requested it to improve its internal control measures and is currently cooperating with regulatory requirements. The Philippine central bank declined to comment on specific regulatory matters.

According to Cointelegraph, Solana has not reported any mainnet outages for two consecutive years. The Fidelity Center for Applied Technology (FCAT) report indicates that its network health has made progress in resilience, economic security, and performance metrics.The report points out that high staking participation and incentive mechanisms for rewarding validators support Solana's economic security, while low latency, improved scalability, and low-cost transactions also support its large-scale applications.The report also states that the concentration of staking among a few validator identities and operators, as well as the concentration of custodial and client software, still requires ongoing observation. Jacob Creech, Vice President of Technology at the Solana Foundation, stated that Solana reduced the slot time to 350 milliseconds on August 21; the foundation announced plans in June to further reduce it to 200 milliseconds, with three subsequent adjustments of 50 milliseconds each.

According to the news released by the Avon and Somerset Police, Terroll Paul (31 years old), Mohamed Samagassi (37 years old), and Pierre Madzou (30 years old) broke into a man's residence in Bristol in the early hours of May 15, assaulted the victim, and demanded a large amount of cryptocurrency, but were unsuccessful.On October 15, the three were sentenced at Bristol Crown Court for aggravated burglary, with Paul receiving a 6-year sentence, Madzou receiving 5 and a half years, and Samagassi receiving 5 years. The victim suffered severe head injuries and required hospitalization, while his underage sister successfully called the police. The three suspects were subsequently arrested at the scene and pleaded guilty during their court appearance in August.

According to Thai media Khaosod English, Thai immigration police recently arrested a 37-year-old Chinese man in Bangkok. He is wanted by Chinese police for allegedly participating in a transnational criminal network and money laundering activities. The police stated that the related criminal network involves transactions exceeding 500 million yuan (approximately 2.485 billion Thai baht).The suspect is accused of processing cryptocurrency and foreign exchange transactions for the criminal gang through more than 133 accounts and assisting members of the transnational criminal network in obtaining visas. The police indicated that the suspect had evaded capture by falsifying residence registration documents, changing license plates, and altering the appearance of vehicles, ultimately being apprehended in a luxury mansion in Bangkok. Thai authorities will handle his overstayed residence issue according to the law and coordinate his repatriation to China for investigation.

According to Reuters, citing informed sources, after Anthropic disclosed its latest financial data, some existing and potential IPO investors are considering lowering their valuation expectations. At an investor event in San Francisco on October 14, some investors discussed a valuation of about $1.5 trillion, down from the previous expectation of about $2 trillion for the November IPO.Anthropic disclosed to investors that its third-quarter revenue grew 45% quarter-over-quarter to $16.8 billion, achieving adjusted profitability. However, second-quarter revenue had more than doubled quarter-over-quarter to $11.6 billion, and the slowdown in growth disappointed some investors. The aforementioned valuation is a discussion among investors and is not the final IPO pricing; Anthropic did not immediately respond to Reuters' request for comment.

Renowned trader Killa recently released a video predicting market trends before and after the U.S. midterm elections. His analysis summarizes the timing relationship between previous midterm elections and Bitcoin's bottoming out (2014: bottomed out about 70 days after the midterm elections. 2018: bottomed out about 40-44 days later. 2022: bottomed out almost during the midterm elections), suggesting that Bitcoin may form a weekly level bottom before the U.S. midterm elections on November 3.He also presented two main scenario hypotheses: Early bottom scenario: BTC forms a low point before (or around) the midterm elections (possibly sweeping the current low or maintaining above 80k), then starts to rebound, first testing the 80k area, and may eventually surge to 95k. This would lead to a bullish fourth quarter, contrary to the common expectation of "risk-off after the elections." Classic risk-off scenario: first rises sharply (possibly sweeping the high point or even reaching 94-95k), then experiences a historically common sell-off/risk-off decline after the midterm elections (similar in 3 out of the last 4 occurrences).Killa advises investors to closely observe the price structure leading up to the midterm elections and react accordingly. If an early bottom is reached, they may hold bullish positions after the elections; if a high is reached and then starts to weaken, consider risk-off. Overall, he emphasizes that the pattern is accelerating in change and cannot simply replicate the historical experience of "must drop after the elections." Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at 74,688 USD and turned bullish during the market-wide decline on June 5.

Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost pointed out that the Uniswap token UNI has performed strongly since the beginning of the year, with its TVL reaching a new high for the year in September (over $4 billion), and DEX trading volume also peaking at $93.6 billion. The price has risen by as much as 370% from the low in June. However, due to the increase in the number of tokens flowing into exchanges, UNI is currently in a distribution phase. The inflow of UNI on Binance reached its highest level of the year, with the Z-score exceeding 4 multiple times in late September, and daily inflows exceeding $40 million. Although the inflow momentum seems to have weakened, the overall inflow remains quite active. If the inflow continues to decline, UNI may be expected to bottom out, ending a correction of over 30% since its recent high of $10.9.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin shared that the cost of Bitcoin mining is roughly half derived from capital expenditures on computing power equipment and the other half from electricity consumption; in contrast, the cost of AI inference is almost entirely dominated by capital expenditures on computing power. This difference reflects the distinct cost structures of the two computing businesses. Bitcoin miners need to continuously pay for electricity and determine their profit margins based on mining machine efficiency, coin prices, and network difficulty changes; AI inference, on the other hand, relies more on investments in expensive hardware like GPUs, as well as equipment utilization and computing efficiency.The industrial boundaries of both are also changing. As the demand for AI computing power grows, some Bitcoin mining companies are beginning to shift their existing electricity resources and data center facilities towards AI and high-performance computing businesses, hoping to transition from pure mining to computing infrastructure services. Some mining companies are leveraging previously allocated electricity capacity for mining to enter the AI data center market. However, transformation does not mean that cost pressures disappear: mining operations are more directly exposed to fluctuations in electricity prices and Bitcoin prices, while AI computing businesses must bear risks related to GPU procurement, depreciation, and underutilization. Both types of businesses compete for electricity and computing resources, but ultimately, profitability depends on how these resources are converted into revenue.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event on Polymarket "Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Championship Playoffs," the "Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5" sub-market's "Over" option win rate has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 31% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Cryptocurrency exchange Bitget announced that it will terminate services for certain users, with different deadlines for different accounts. According to The Defiant, Bitget's terms of service list Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan as prohibited jurisdictions. An affected user stated that the service deadline for their account is October 21.

According to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern Time October 16) the total net outflow of Ethereum spot ETFs was $69.6827 million.The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest single-day net outflow yesterday was Blackrock ETF ETHA, with a single-day net outflow of $69.6827 million. Currently, the historical total net inflow of ETHA has reached $12.494 billion.As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $14.946 billion, and the ETF net asset ratio (market value compared to the total market value of Ethereum) is 5.07%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $12.940 billion.

According to the market information platform Liquid247.xyz, the current price of ETH is $2,428.13. The thickest order book is on Binance spot: buy orders amount to $9.8819 million, sell orders amount to $9.0782 million, with buy orders exceeding sell orders by $803,700.The perpetual buy orders on OKX are also thicker than sell orders, but the scale is smaller than that of Binance spot. If the price falls, the buy orders on Binance spot will be relatively thicker.

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng responded on the X platform regarding the recent mass deletion of old tweets, stating that he was merely testing an AI tool to clean up past retweeted content and did not delete any original posts, so there is no need for the outside world to overinterpret.

On October 15, 2026, U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied the motion to revoke the $5 million settlement agreement reached between the cryptocurrency exchange Gemini and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), with the fines paid and permanent injunctions remaining in effect. Previously, the CFTC had stated that the original lawsuit should not have been filed. The controversy stemmed from Gemini's involvement in proposed Bitcoin futures contracts.The CFTC filed the lawsuit in June 2022, accusing it of misleading regulators regarding trading safeguards, customer financing, special rate arrangements, and activities that could affect contract pricing; the parties settled in January 2025, with Gemini neither admitting nor denying the related allegations. In May 2026, after an internal review, the CFTC jointly filed a motion with Gemini to revoke the settlement, citing issues with whistleblower credibility, evidence, and enforcement practices. The judge found that the relevant circumstances existed prior to the settlement, and the change in enforcement focus was insufficient to revoke a binding court order; the CFTC still retains enforcement discretion.

According to Coinglass data, the current whale holdings on the Hyperliquid platform amount to 8.232 billion USD, with long positions totaling 3.833 billion USD, accounting for 46.57% of the holdings, and short positions totaling 4.399 billion USD, accounting for 53.43%. The profit and loss for long positions is 182 million USD, while for short positions it is -150 million USD.Among them, the whale address 0x5b5d..60 has shorted ETH with a 5x leverage at a price of 2322.64 USD, currently realizing an unrealized profit and loss of -10.3679 million USD.