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The midterm elections have concluded, and Wall Street institutions collectively released bullish signals for the U.S. stock market

The dust has settled on the U.S. midterm elections, with the Democratic Party winning control of both chambers of Congress, and Trump has stated that he accepts the election results. After the uncertainty dissipated, the market rebounded significantly, with the S&P 500 index rising nearly 2% in a single day, the Dow Jones index increasing by over 3%, and the VIX experiencing its largest single-day drop since April 2025. Institutions such as JPMorgan, Nomura, HSBC, and Citadel Securities have successively released bullish reports.The core logic is that institutions had significantly deleveraged before the election, and short positions in the stock market were close to a five-year high. Citadel Securities stated that the net position of CTAs in U.S. stocks is approximately negative 3.3 standard deviations, placing it in the 10th percentile since 2018. Retail investors have net bought nearly $33 billion over 22 consecutive trading days since October 5, and the corporate buyback authorization window has also quickly reopened, with new authorizations reaching $1.5 trillion this year.Tech stock valuations are compressing simultaneously. The price-to-earnings ratio of the Nasdaq 100 has dropped to 19.1 times, the lowest since October 2022; the price-to-earnings ratio of semiconductor components has fallen to 13.8 times. HSBC views the Anthropic IPO as a key turning point for a comprehensive bullish trend in tech stocks. Historical data shows that since 1938, the S&P 500 has risen in 95% of the years in the 12 months following midterm elections, with an average increase of about 14%.

South Korea plans to postpone the cryptocurrency capital gains tax for two years until 2029, and may allow losses to be carried forward for deductions

According to a report by the Korean News Agency, South Korean Finance Minister Lee Hyoung-il stated that the government plans to postpone the cryptocurrency capital gains tax originally scheduled for implementation in 2027 by two years to 2029 and will consult with the National Assembly to advance related legislation. The South Korean government explained that it plans to start exchanging virtual asset tax information with the United States in 2029, and taxing before this could put the domestic cryptocurrency market at a competitive disadvantage. This delay aims to improve the taxation mechanism for domestic and foreign transactions and enhance tax fairness.Under the current plan, the portion of individual annual cryptocurrency gains exceeding 2.5 million Korean won (approximately $1,869) will be subject to a tax rate of 22%. If the postponement plan is ultimately approved, this will be the fourth delay in implementation since South Korea first pushed for cryptocurrency capital gains taxation in 2020. In addition, the South Korean government also plans to study allowing investors to carry forward losses to offset future gains, proposing a three-year limit; at the same time, it will establish a government-business working group to improve the taxation details for different transaction scenarios and promote the legislation of the digital asset bill. The government plans to submit relevant amendments to the National Assembly during the regular session in 2027.
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