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Galaxy Digital: The Bitcoin cycle low may be higher than before, with a potential bottom of $62,000 to $53,600

According to Cointelegraph, the latest research from Galaxy Digital indicates that due to a lack of speculative activity, the Bitcoin cycle low may occur at higher price levels than in previous bear markets. The analysis suggests that the potential bottom is between $62,000 and the actual Bitcoin price of $53,600.Galaxy's research director Alex Thorn analyzed each top and bottom of the Bitcoin cycle and noted that the four-year cycle is closely related to Bitcoin's historical trends. The decline from peak to trough has steadily narrowed across market cycles, decreasing from early drops of 85% and 84% to 77% in 2022 and 51% in 2026. The current top signal for October 2025 is weak, with only 2 out of 11 traditional top indicators signaling, while the widely watched Pi Cycle Top indicator has failed to trigger for the first time.The market capitalization to realized value ratio (MVRV) for Bitcoin peaked at 2.29, while this ratio ranged from 2.93 to 5.91 in previous cycles. The report also found that several key bottom signals are still missing. Currently, only 4 out of 13 indicators have been triggered, and most stronger signals have yet to appear. Thorn pointed out that based on the current cost price of $53,600, Galaxy estimates the fundamental bottom range to be between $40,000 and $46,000. A more severe "washout" scenario points to $30,000 to $37,000, while a more gradual decline may maintain around $51,000 to $54,000.

Gate completes SpaceX IPO stock distribution and simultaneously launches exclusive benefits activities for subscription users

According to the official announcement, Gate has completed the stock distribution for the direct IPO phase project SpaceX (SPCX). Users can check their SPCX stock assets that have been credited to their stock accounts; the unallocated portion and remaining subscription funds have been automatically returned to the spot account. With the completion of the stock distribution, SPCX will subsequently enter the market trading phase according to the new stock listing process in the U.S.Meanwhile, Gate has launched exclusive benefits for users who subscribed to SpaceX (SPCX), allowing participation in designated USDT surplus products with a maximum annualized return of 200%. Holding USD1 also grants additional yield rewards. The platform has simultaneously launched the "SPCX Stock Launch Plan" limited-time event. During the event, users participating in stock trading can receive first-order rewards, share their SPCX holdings for a chance to receive stock airdrops, and complete designated trading volumes to participate in leaderboard competitions, with a total of 50,000 USDT worth of SPCX stock prize pool to share.In addition, Gate stocks have launched on the stock trading web platform, achieving comprehensive coverage on both App and Web. Gate stocks support trading over 10,000 mainstream U.S. market stocks and ETFs using USDT, covering major U.S. securities trading markets such as the NYSE and NASDAQ, and support fractional trading starting from as low as 0.01 shares. With the launch of the direct IPO, Gate is gradually improving its product ecosystem covering Pre-IPO, IPO, and stock trading, providing users with a more convenient one-stop global investment experience.
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