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The Federal Reserve may maintain high interest rates for a long time, which is bearish for Bitcoin but bullish for Circle and RWA

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that in the context of rising inflation in the United States, the Federal Reserve may maintain a high interest rate policy for a long time, which will have three core impacts on the cryptocurrency market. He believes that as the U.S. CPI approaches 4%, the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh has almost no room for interest rate cuts, and the market currently expects the first rate cut to be delayed until September 2027. Grayscale pointed out that long-term high interest rates will put pressure on "currency devaluation trades" such as Bitcoin. Since Bitcoin, like gold, is a non-yielding asset, higher real interest rates will increase the opportunity cost of holding dollar-denominated assets. However, it remains optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects and believes that regulatory benefits such as the CLARITY Act can partially offset the related pressures. In addition, it believes that a high interest rate environment will accelerate the tokenization of fixed income assets. Currently, the yields on dollar-denominated fixed income products are higher than those of most DeFi yields; for example, the USDC lending rate on Aave is about 3.6%, while the yield on short-term corporate bonds is about 4.5%. Grayscale also stated that stablecoin issuers will benefit from high interest rates. Since the GENIUS Act prohibits stablecoins from paying interest to users, issuers can retain the income from reserve assets. It estimates that for every 25 basis point increase in short-term rates, Circle's revenue will increase by approximately $190 million.

Kraken's parent company Payward lays off 150 people to advance business integration before the IPO

According to CoinDesk, Kraken's parent company Payward is laying off about 150 employees. This move is part of the company's optimization adjustments in preparation for its IPO, according to two insiders. A Kraken spokesperson stated in a statement: "We continuously evaluate and adjust our organizational structure to ensure we have the right structure and talent to achieve growth objectives and better serve our customers."Meanwhile, Payward is seeking a new round of financing at a valuation of $20 billion to support its pre-IPO expansion strategy. Recently, the company completed a $600 million acquisition of stablecoin payment company Reap and a $550 million acquisition of digital asset derivatives platform Bitnomial. The previous largest acquisition occurred in 2025, when Payward acquired the U.S. retail futures platform NinjaTrader for $1.5 billion, which also holds a CFTC futures broker license.Payward submitted a confidential S-1 registration statement draft to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on November 19, 2025, taking the initial steps toward going public. In March of this year, CoinDesk reported that the company had postponed its IPO plans due to a sluggish market environment, but insiders indicated that the company still plans to move forward with the IPO once market conditions improve. At the Consensus Miami conference, Payward and Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi stated that the exchange's IPO preparations are "80%" complete.

Illustration of Arc 104's Web3 Business Partners: Circle Builds a "New Clearing Network" for the Stablecoin Era

The Web3 asset data platform RootData has outlined 104 partners of Arc, covering six core sectors: asset issuance, infrastructure, developer tools, trading, financial services, and payments. Compared to most public chains that first develop a developer ecosystem and then seek commercialization scenarios, Arc's path is clearly more aligned with the real financial circulation network. At the asset issuance level, stablecoin issuers such as AllUnity, BDACS, Bitso/Juno, and Stablecorp, as well as tokenized asset players like Centrifuge, Securitize, and WisdomTree have entered the scene, indicating that Arc prioritizes solving the "on-chain asset supply" issue, bringing dollars, bonds, and securities onto the chain. At the infrastructure level, partners like Blockdaemon, Chainalysis, Elliptic, QuickNode, and DRPC provide node services, compliance analysis, and on-chain data support. This means Arc is preparing for institutional funds, rather than following the typical Crypto public chain model of "growth first, compliance later." At the developer tools level, partners such as Axelar, Wormhole, Chainlink, MetaMask, Fireblocks, Privy, Alchemy, LayerZero, and TRM Labs are concentrated, essentially lowering the migration costs for institutions and developers, allowing funds, wallets, cross-chain, and compliance tools to be directly in place. At the trading level, institutions like Coinbase, Bybit, Kraken, Robinhood, Galaxy Digital, and B2C2 are responsible for secondary market liquidity and price discovery. The payment layer is heavily integrated by Visa, Mastercard, PhotonPay, Nuvei, EBANX, and Ramp. At the financial services level, firms like BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, State Street, Aave, Maple Finance, Morpho, and BitGo are appearing simultaneously, indicating that Arc has begun to bridge traditional banking, on-chain lending, and custody systems. On the surface, Arc appears to be a new public chain, but from an ecological structure perspective, it will serve as the new financial infrastructure for the Circle stablecoin era, directly emphasizing USDC gas fees, sub-second final settlement, compliance privacy, and native CCTP integration, aiming to directly penetrate real capital flows and attempt to become SWIFT + Stripe + DTCC. Related compilation: Arc Web3 Partner Network Compilation (continuously updated) Cryptocurrency projects actively showcasing their partner networks have become a key way to enhance transparency and market trust. It is reported that RootData welcomes Web3 projects to claim their information and continues to track and open more project business relationship disclosure channels. The platform has continuously released multiple editions of the cryptocurrency project ecosystem map, nominating Web3 ecosystem partners for upstream clients like Visa, Mastercard, and Coinbase. If you wish to nominate your project in future ecosystem maps, please fill out the [RootData 2026 Industry Ecosystem Mapping] form to supplement your important clients and partners.

Forward Industries' revenue increased by 319% year-on-year, but the impairment of SOL holdings dragged down performance, resulting in an expanded quarterly loss

Forward Industries, a Solana treasury company, announced its quarterly financial report for the period ending March 31, 2026, showing a year-on-year revenue increase of 319% to $13 million. However, due to the decline in the fair value of crypto assets, net losses widened to $283.1 million.The company stated that the growth this quarter was mainly driven by increased staking rewards from Solana (SOL). However, during the same period, it recorded a digital asset loss of $201.7 million and an asset impairment of $85.1 million, primarily due to the price volatility of SOL leading to a decrease in the valuation of holdings.The financial report indicated that the company held approximately 7.04 million SOL during the quarter and earned about 201,200 SOL in rewards through staking, with nearly all SOL assets being staked. Solana fell approximately 33.7% during the reporting period, closing at $82.44. Price volatility is considered the core factor dragging down financial performance.Additionally, Forward Industries signed a loan agreement with Galaxy Digital in March and drew the first tranche of $40 million in financing, using fwdSOL as collateral, with a comprehensive annual interest rate of about 3.4%. The company stated that this financing is used to optimize its liquidity structure.Company management indicated that they have adjusted the balance sheet through cost reductions, debt instruments, and stock buybacks to cope with market volatility and enhance long-term value. Despite a significant widening of quarterly losses, the company's stock price slightly declined in after-hours trading following the financial report, but it still recorded a monthly increase recently.
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