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The founder of Strategy claims that the decline in BTC is due to the rotation of funds into AI rather than "issues with Bitcoin itself," and JPMorgan warns that the legislative window for the CLARITY Act is closing

According to BBX data, Bitcoin fell to a new low of $61,300 this year yesterday, putting pressure on the cryptocurrency sector. Key signals have emerged from institutions and the legislative level, with the core dynamics as follows:Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, Inc. (NASDAQ: $MSTR), publicly stated on June 4 that the current decline in Bitcoin is not due to a deterioration in BTC fundamentals, but rather a "phase rotation" of capital from Bitcoin to AI stocks, SpaceX IPO, and other emerging assets—"Bitcoin is not broken; it’s just temporarily not the main character in the momentum trade." Saylor also reiterated his position of continued accumulation. Previously, Strategy spent approximately $2.01 billion (average price $80,985) to acquire 24,869 BTC in the week from May 11 to 17, bringing their total holdings to 843,738 BTC with a total cost of about $63.87 billion (average price $75,700); currently, BTC has fallen below the cost line of $12,300, and all of the company's holdings are in a state of unrealized loss, but management has not publicly indicated any intention to reduce their positions.JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: $JPM) reported by CoinDesk on June 4 warned in its latest research report that the legislative time window for the CLARITY Act to be voted on by the full Senate is "rapidly narrowing." The wording discrepancies in the stablecoin yield provisions have evolved into the most critical unresolved obstacle for the bill—banks insist on retaining restrictions on "passive income," while the cryptocurrency industry strives for "activity incentive space." If a compromise cannot be reached between the two parties within this month, the timeline for the Senate to complete a 60-vote approval before July 4 will be completely invalidated; the report also pointed out that the capital siphoning effect from the SpaceX IPO and AI stocks has further suppressed institutions' willingness to allocate to BTC in the short term.

Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.
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