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Jason Fung, Head of Global Partnerships: The prediction market should not only be a "trading market," but should also become an open ecosystem for users to create markets

On August 21, the GATE ZONE fireside chat event took place in the Summer Bay area of Coinfest Asia, where Gate Head of Global Partnerships Jason Fung shared insights on the theme "Predicting the Biggest Market Opportunities." He discussed the competitive landscape of prediction markets, user-created markets, the Builder ecosystem, and future market opportunities. Jason Fung stated that as on-chain prediction markets continue to develop, industry competition will no longer focus solely on liquidity and trading volume. Instead, lowering the barriers to market creation, diversifying market types, and enabling more users to participate in market building will become important directions for the future development of prediction markets.Regarding the recent launch of the event contract Builder by Gate DexBuilder, Jason Fung mentioned that enabling users to create markets independently is an important step towards the openness of prediction markets. By lowering the barriers to creating and launching event markets, users can quickly build markets around popular events and explore more niche themes and potential demands, thereby driving the evolution of prediction markets from a product form dominated by a few platforms to a more open market ecosystem.Jason Fung believes that there are still many opportunities in prediction markets that have not been fully explored, and their application scope is expected to continue extending from popular fields such as politics, sports, crypto, AI, and entertainment. As more developers and entrepreneurs enter this space, the Builder ecosystem, market diversity, and user experience will become important driving forces for industry development, and on-chain event markets are expected to further expand from early user groups to a broader user market.

AI infrastructure financing competes with US Treasuries for long-term funds, putting pressure on long-term yields

On August 21, AI infrastructure investment is becoming a new variable in the U.S. bond market. Tech giants are expanding data centers, chip and computing power construction, and the demand for AI-related financing is rising, starting to compete with the U.S. government for funds from core buyers such as insurance companies, pensions, and long-term asset management institutions. As of August, the issuance scale of U.S. investment-grade corporate bonds has reached approximately $1.7 trillion, setting a historical high for the same period. According to Goldman Sachs, the four major U.S. tech companies have issued more than $170 billion in bonds this year, surpassing the total for the entire year of 2025. Broadcom is seeking to provide chip and infrastructure financing for AI companies like Anthropic, with potential debt size approaching $100 billion.Institutions point out that AI is driving an overall expansion of duration supply in the bond market. With the government and tech companies simultaneously increasing long-term financing demands and a limited long-term funding pool, the market may require higher yields. St. Louis Fed President Bullard stated that a capital competition is forming between the U.S. government's financing needs and AI infrastructure construction. Recently, the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasuries rose to 5.34%, a new high since 2007, while the 10-year yield rose to 4.7%. High interest rates may raise corporate financing costs and affect AI company valuations through discount rates.At the same time, there are signs of weakness in U.S. consumer data, with Walmart's stock price dropping about 9% in a single day, marking the largest decline since 2022. With economic growth slowing and inflation pressures persisting, the Federal Reserve's policy faces a dilemma. The U.S. Treasury has raised the single repurchase limit for 10-20 year and 20-30 year U.S. Treasuries from $2 billion to at least $4 billion. If long-end yields continue to rise, the market may revisit tools such as yield curve control or quantitative easing.

first_img Italian Central Bank Study: Stablecoin Remittances Have No Systemic Cost Advantage, On-chain Components Only Account for a Small Portion

In a research report released by the Bank of Italy in July 2026, a "mystery shopper" empirical investigation was conducted for the first time, tracking 200 USDC transfers across ten corridors between Italy and Argentina, Brazil, South Africa, the UAE, and Japan. The results showed that the total cost of stablecoin remittances fluctuated greatly, with a minimum of only 0.3% and a maximum close to 9%. On-chain transfers accounted for an average of only 0.4%, with the bulk of costs concentrated in fiat withdrawal and deposit stages—traditional intermediary fees such as exchange buy-sell spreads, credit card fees, and withdrawal fees were the decisive factors. Compared to traditional channels like Wise, stablecoins have a cost advantage in some corridors like Brazil to Italy, but the costs are higher in corridors like UAE to Italy, showing a high degree of "corridor specificity."In terms of speed, blockchain transfers themselves take only a few minutes, but end-to-end efficiency entirely depends on the quality of the traditional payment infrastructure in the destination country. Countries with instant payment systems, such as Brazil (PIX), Italy (TIPS), and Argentina (Transferencias 3.0), can keep the entire process under 20 minutes; whereas countries like South Africa, which rely on traditional bank transfers, see the arrival time extended to 1 to 2 business days. The report pointed out that the efficiency of stablecoin remittances is jointly determined by their own infrastructure and the surrounding traditional payment infrastructure, with both being complementary rather than substitutive. The report also analyzed the impact of global regulatory fragmentation: the EU's MiCA and the US's GENIUS Act represent mature compliance frameworks; Japan's strict "safety first" access, while lowering nominal costs, complicates processes leading users to offshore platforms; countries like India and Turkey are in a transitional regulatory phase; while countries like Egypt and Saudi Arabia, with prohibitive measures, have failed to suppress demand, instead pushing transactions into gray channels.

hot_img Ministry of Finance: This year's budget for fiscal expenditure exceeds 30 trillion yuan for the first time

The State Council Information Office held a series of themed press conferences titled "Starting Off the 14th Five-Year Plan." Officials from the Ministry of Finance introduced the role of this year's proactive fiscal policy and outlined the key focus areas for policy efforts in the second half of the year.Vice Minister of Finance Liao Min stated that since the beginning of this year, the Ministry of Finance has firmly implemented a more proactive fiscal policy:This year's fiscal expenditure budget arrangement has exceeded 30 trillion yuan for the first time.The scale of new government bonds has reached 11.89 trillion yuan, the largest in history.Central government transfers to local governments have exceeded 10 trillion yuan for the fourth consecutive year, reaching 10.42 trillion yuan.In the second half of the year, fiscal policy will continue to focus on three areas for effective results: accelerating the use of funds, increasing efforts to expand domestic demand, and strengthening fiscal reform management.Regarding incremental policies, in the second half of the year, based on the macroeconomic operation situation, the Ministry of Finance will timely plan and introduce practical and effective incremental policies to provide strong support for achieving a qualitative improvement and reasonable growth in the economy.
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