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Strategy's stock price fell more than 11% in early trading on Tuesday, as the market expressed concerns over potential forced liquidations of Bitcoin it may face

ChainCatcher news, reported by Decrypt, based on analysis from The Kobeissi Letter, although Strategy's stock price fell over 11% in early trading on Tuesday, raising concerns about potential forced liquidation due to Bitcoin, the likelihood of this scenario occurring is low due to structural safeguards.Strategy primarily raises funds through convertible bonds, such as the $2 billion zero-coupon bond maturing in 2030, with an initial conversion price of $433.43 per share, allowing it to obtain capital without immediately diluting shareholder equity. As of now, Strategy holds approximately 499,096 BTC, valued at about $4.44 billion, while its $8.2 billion debt is highly dependent on Bitcoin's performance.This week's significant correction in the crypto market has led to a $3.7 billion evaporation in the market value of Strategy's Bitcoin holdings. Although there is currently no immediate risk, Polymath co-founder Trevor Koverko pointed out that if the market remains sluggish for an extended period, Strategy's collateral requirements and refinancing capabilities will be tested.Additionally, Strategy co-founder and chairman Michael Saylor holds 46.8% of the voting rights, and analysts believe that shareholder resolutions are nearly impossible to pass without his consent, thereby reducing the likelihood of forced selling due to bankruptcy or shareholder resolutions. The Kobeissi Letter also noted that even if the BTC price drops 50% to $33,000, Strategy's assets would still exceed its debts by over 100%, meaning that unless a "black swan" event occurs, forced liquidation is unlikely before the debt matures (earliest in 2028).

Data: BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF options debuted trading this Tuesday, with a call/put ratio of 4.44 indicating that investors are generally bullish

ChainCatcher news shows that according to SoSoValue data, BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF (IBIT) had a total of 354,000 options contracts traded this Tuesday, with a nominal trading volume of $1.86 billion, indicating extremely high market enthusiasm on its first day of listing. The options also drove a 32% month-over-month increase in IBIT trading volume. Among all traded contracts, 288,700 were call options and 65,000 were put options, resulting in a call/put ratio of 4.44, reflecting a generally optimistic market sentiment.Data shows that market trading is concentrated on bullish options expiring on January 17, 2024, with a price range of $55-$60. Corresponding to Tuesday's closing price of IBIT, there is an increase of 4.4%-13.9%, and SoSoValue analysts stated, "This roughly corresponds to a Bitcoin price of $97,000-$105,000, indicating that the market expects Bitcoin to reach $100,000 before Trump officially takes office." Notably, the implied volatility for January options is between 68%-69%, compared to IBIT's 60-day historical volatility in the 55% range, with implied volatility exceeding historical volatility, indicating that investors prefer to hold options rather than sell them.Additionally, Grayscale's spot Bitcoin ETF GBTC and BTC options trading will also begin its debut trading this Wednesday.
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