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CryptoQuant: The activity of retail investors in Bitcoin rebounded in October

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, based on data from CryptoQuant, retail investor activity has slowed down from June to late September, but has started to pick up since October. The agency noted in a report released on Tuesday: "In the past 30 days, retail demand has increased by about 13%, showing a trend similar to when we approached the previous historical peak in March."The report pointed out that the increase in retail demand for Bitcoin is occurring alongside a rise in institutional interest. While retail investors are returning to the market, institutional investors have been steadily increasing their investments in Bitcoin this year. This contrasts sharply with the first quarter of 2024, when market demand was primarily driven by large investors. The current dynamics of retail and institutional investor demand are similar to previous Bitcoin market cycles, and the recent increase in retail activity may signal a similar pattern of renewed optimism.To gauge retail investor demand, CryptoQuant focused on several key indicators. One of them is tracking the total amount of Bitcoin held in wallets that hold less than one Bitcoin. This total has increased from 1.734 million Bitcoins in mid-March to the current 1.752 million Bitcoins, an increase of 18,000. Another indicator is the volume of on-chain transactions below $10,000, which reflects the activity of small investors and provides a reference for the market sentiment of non-institutional investors.

QCP Capital: The US election and interest rate cut expectations are favorable for the crypto market

ChainCatcher news, Singaporean crypto investment firm QCP Capital stated that there are only 2 weeks left until the U.S. election, which is currently attracting a lot of attention. In the prediction market, Trump has begun to expand his lead over Harris, while polls in key swing states are currently leaning towards the Republican Party. The market is currently pricing in the possibility of Trump being elected president. Discussions about increased tariffs and tax cuts have led to a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields. Given Trump's more crypto-friendly stance, it is not surprising that Bitcoin's trading price has risen.The S&P 500 index continues to set new historical highs, and the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield has once again surpassed 4%. Driven by an unprecedented volume of open contracts on exchanges, Bitcoin has moved towards $69,000. The total open contract volume for exchange futures currently stands at $40.5 billion. The market is currently expecting a 1.5 rate cut in 2024. A stronger-than-expected labor market and the increased likelihood of Trump being elected president have rekindled hopes that U.S. economic growth will remain strong. With uncertainty in the labor market still present, all eyes are on the non-farm payroll report (NFP) set to be released next Friday. As the last NFP report before the next Federal Reserve meeting, it will play a key role in shaping market expectations for the Fed's next interest rate actions. Ahead of the employment data release and the election, Bitcoin and Ethereum remain well-supported with upside potential.
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