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Analyst: The true bottom for Bitcoin may appear after a "capitulation sell-off," with $65,000 being a key mean support

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, although the possibility of a bottom having already formed cannot be ruled out, on-chain analyst James Check stated that the true bottom may only appear after Bitcoin experiences a real "capitulation sell-off" event.James Check indicated that this could mean Bitcoin needs to drop to around the $65,000 area, which he refers to as the "true market average," or the average cost basis of active investors. Once it falls to this level, the average investor may begin to feel the pressure of unrealized losses, and even those long-term holders who have held their coins for five years may face a "being trapped" situation. Michael Saylor's Strategy has an average Bitcoin cost basis of about $67,500.Although Check expects a significant drop from the $65,000 area, he believes there is strong support between $49,000 and $50,000. This price range represents both the launch price for Bitcoin spot ETFs in 2024 and symbolizes a critical threshold for Bitcoin's $1 trillion market cap. He stated that unless a global economic recession occurs, the likelihood of Bitcoin dropping to $40,000 is low. In 2024, Bitcoin has undergone a long period of "chopsolidation" phase—where the price has remained within a wide fluctuation range of $50,000 to $70,000 for several months, establishing a solid support foundation for the market.
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