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Analysis: Bitcoin is experiencing its first hash rate bear market, highlighting the opportunities for large mining companies to scale up mining

Rapha Zagury, CEO of Twenty One Capital and founder of Elektron Energy, stated during his speech at Bitcoin Asia 2026 that the Bitcoin network is experiencing its first-ever bear market in hashrate. The hashrate of the Bitcoin network was close to 1.3 ZH/s at the end of last year, but has since been slowly declining, with the duration of this decline from the historical peak now setting a record. Zagury believes that Bitcoin mining is not simply a "good business" or "bad business"; it largely depends on where the mining company stands on the cost curve. Mining companies with lower energy costs and higher machine efficiency can maintain higher profit margins, while those with high energy costs and low equipment efficiency may be forced to shut down.Currently, while the Bitcoin hashrate price has improved compared to before, it is still at a relatively low level when measured against historical standards. When the price of Bitcoin rises faster than the growth of the network's hashrate, mining is more likely to outperform BTC. For companies, he believes that the best risk-adjusted allocation is not simply choosing to "buy BTC" or "mine," but rather a combination of both; however, if only $1 can be allocated, he suggests prioritizing the purchase of BTC. Regarding energy issues, Zagury stated that energy consumption itself does not imply waste; energy is the foundation of economic development and human progress. He believes that one of the greatest characteristics of Bitcoin mining is its highly flexible load, as mining machines can quickly turn on and off based on energy supply, thus helping the grid absorb idle or surplus electricity and enhancing grid stability to some extent. Additionally, he believes that Bitcoin mining is generating "option value" that was not previously apparent, including aspects such as energy utilization, market share, proximity to the Bitcoin protocol, and infrastructure. With the growing demand for AI and high-performance computing (HPC), the existing energy and data center infrastructure of mining companies may also gain additional application scenarios such as AI computing power. Currently, among large publicly listed mining companies, there are fewer and fewer that can continue large-scale Bitcoin mining, and the industry is at a critical stage where the energy revolution intersects with the Bitcoin revolution.

first_img Analysis: Japan's government bond yields hit a 30-year high, while Bitcoin is trading sideways at $78,000

According to Cointelegraph, the global bond bear market continues to ferment, with Japan's 10-year government bond yield rising to 3% on Tuesday, the first time since 1996; the 30-year government bond yield also broke through the historical high of 4.18%. The U.S. 10-year government bond yield simultaneously rose to a multi-year high of 4.78%, and global long-term sovereign bond yields are at their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis.In this context, Bitcoin remains in a sideways consolidation, maintaining around $78,000, slightly retreating from an earlier high of nearly $79,000. There is a dense resistance area between the current spot price and $86,000, which limits Bitcoin's upward momentum. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic in the short term, with the $76,000 to $82,000 range seen as a key battleground in the coming weeks.This round of selling occurred after U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen announced an increase in the upper limit of government bond repurchase transactions to $4 billion starting in September, with some commentators likening it to a form of yield curve control. Arthur Hayes has long argued that the Federal Reserve will eventually activate the FIMA repo facility, a mechanism that will create new dollar liquidity, which is also why he recommends allocating Bitcoin, gold, and cryptocurrencies; Yellen hinted at the future use of this tool as early as August.

first_img Kraken's parent company Payward collaborates with the London Stock Exchange to tokenize 100 UK-listed stocks

The parent company of Kraken, Payward, announced a partnership with the London Stock Exchange (LSE) to tokenize the stocks of the 100 largest companies listed on the LSE into xStocks, which are backed 1:1. The first London-listed xStocks are expected to be launched on Kraken and other platforms supporting the xStocks Alliance in the coming weeks, available to investors in over 110 countries, but not yet open to UK investors.Subject to regulatory approval, the LSE plans to list and support xStocks trading on its newly launched extended trading hours, LSE 24. LSE CEO Julia Hoggett stated that by collaborating with Payward and continuously working with the market infrastructure ecosystem, they are exploring how issuers and investors can benefit from new access methods while maintaining the standards that underpin the public market. In addition to tokenizing existing stocks, both parties will also explore the issuance of native equity tokens through LSE infrastructure, which have the same rights as traditional stocks and are fully interchangeable.Payward's tokenized stock framework was launched in June 2025 and acquired by Payward in December, having processed over $40 billion in total trading volume, covering more than 200,000 holders, with nearly $20 billion settled on-chain. According to RWA.xyz data, there are currently approximately $2.53 billion in existing tokenized stocks, with xStocks tokenizing about $606.6 million, making it the second-largest issuer after Ondo.

first_img The London Stock Exchange collaborates with Kraken's parent company Payward to tokenize UK large-cap stocks on the blockchain

The London Stock Exchange (LSEG) and Payward, the parent company of the cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, announced a partnership to bring stocks of the largest listed companies in the UK onto the blockchain. In the coming weeks, the stocks of the top 100 companies listed on the LSE will be available on Payward's xStocks tokenized stock framework. These xStocks are tokens that correspond one-to-one with the underlying stocks, allowing for 24/7 trading on centralized exchanges, self-custody wallets, and on-chain applications.This initiative continues the rapidly expanding framework of Payward. Over the past year, the cumulative trading volume of xStocks has exceeded $40 billion, with nearly $20 billion settled on-chain, and more than 200,000 product holders. Through the blockchain channel, UK-listed stocks will be able to reach investor groups in over 110 countries, although xStocks are currently not available to domestic UK investors.Subject to regulatory approval, the LSE plans to list and support xStocks trading on its newly launched 24-hour trading platform, LSE 24, and will gradually cover tokenized stocks and more asset classes in the US, EU, UK, and Hong Kong. Both parties also stated that they will explore stock tokens issued natively by the LSE, allowing LSE members to issue and service stocks directly on-chain, with the same full interchangeability and rights as traditional stocks. Payward Co-CEO Arjun Sethi stated that for years, people have assumed that crypto and traditional finance must collide and one side would lose, but that has never been the real story;
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