ChainCatcher news, the Bitfinex Alpha report shows that Bitcoin fell by 17.39% in February, marking the worst February performance since 2014 and the second worst February in history. Since hitting bottom after the FTX collapse in November 2022, Bitcoin bull market corrections have typically ranged between 18-22%, but February saw a correction of 28.3% from January's historical high of $109,590, making it one of the most significant corrections since the end of the bear market.On March 2, U.S. President Trump announced the establishment of the U.S. Crypto Reserve Program, triggering a strong market rebound, with Bitcoin rising 20% from recent lows and a single-day increase of over 12%. However, subsequent sell-offs pushed the Bitcoin price back down to around $92,000. Bitfinex analysts believe that macroeconomic conditions (including the performance of the S&P 500 index) will significantly impact Bitcoin's trajectory in the coming weeks before the details of the Crypto Reserve Program are announced.The report also points out that the U.S. economic situation is complex, with persistent inflation, declining consumer confidence, and slowing economic growth. January's personal consumption expenditure inflation data showed a year-over-year growth rate of 2.5%, exceeding the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Rising service costs and new import tariffs are expected to further affect the Federal Reserve's ability to adjust interest rates, reducing the likelihood of recent rate cuts.

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, Bitcoin is facing downward pressure in the short term due to macroeconomic changes and market sentiment. Despite breaking through the historical high of $108,000 in December last year, Bitcoin has recently retraced due to a stronger dollar, increased volatility, and cautious trader attitudes. Joe McCann, founder and CEO of Asymmetric, stated that market signals such as the Federal Reserve's hawkish press conference on December 18 and the significant rise in the volatility index (VIX) have increased the probability of short-term declines. He believes that while the short-term outlook is bearish, the long-term remains bullish.Additionally, the unexpected strength of the Dollar Index (DXY) has become a focal point. After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the DXY broke through long-standing resistance levels, reflecting market dynamics of global liquidity constraints and safe-haven demand. Singapore-based crypto trading firm QCP Capital noted in a report to investors that while favorable regulatory narratives support the spot market, the market environment at the beginning of January may be unstable, as structural risks such as the debt ceiling issue could trigger market volatility. Analysts believe that Bitcoin's performance will continue to be closely related to Federal Reserve policies and the dollar's performance. The short-term adjustment provides investors with a buying opportunity on dips, but market volatility may pose challenges for investors.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Raoul Pal, founder and CEO of Global Macro Investor, pointed out that as macroeconomic conditions improve, the prices of Bitcoin and gold may rise significantly.In addition, cryptocurrency trader Moataz Elsayed (also known as "Eljaboom") stated that once the price of Bitcoin breaks through the $70,000 mark, it indicates that the bear market is over.