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BTC $80,639.94 -1.47%
ETH $2,282.05 -2.39%
BNB $664.27 +0.31%
XRP $1.44 -2.35%
SOL $94.65 -3.15%
TRX $0.3498 -0.24%
DOGE $0.1099 -1.37%
ADA $0.2718 -3.05%
BCH $440.05 -2.25%
LINK $10.30 -3.06%
HYPE $40.31 -4.01%
AAVE $96.58 -5.15%
SUI $1.24 -4.85%
XLM $0.1623 -3.92%
ZEC $547.99 -1.83%

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Glassnode: The synchronized strength of buying in both the futures and spot markets has driven Bitcoin up to $82,000, but the market has now reached a state of balance

Glassnode's latest weekly report indicates that Bitcoin slowly climbed from $77,000 to $82,000 last week, with buying pressure continuing to support during the pullback, even as momentum began to cool near local highs. The spot CVD surged, reflecting strong bullish sentiment and a firm belief in price increases. Meanwhile, spot trading volume also increased, indicating that the recent price trend gained more support with heightened investor participation. However, the easing of price momentum suggests that buying and selling pressures are becoming more balanced, implying that the market may be entering a stabilization phase.The situation in the futures market is similar, with a rise in risk appetite. The increase in open interest indicates heightened speculative activity, with investors willing to take on more risk; the perpetual contract CVD surged, indicating sustained bullish momentum. However, the decline in long funding rates suggests a shift towards bearish sentiment, and bullish sentiment may have weakened.In the options market, the demand for downside protection has decreased, while open interest has increased, indicating a shift in market expectations towards neutral or slightly bullish. However, the volatility spread has surged significantly, indicating that the risks reflected in options pricing are much higher than the actual risks, reflecting a notable increase in participant uncertainty.In summary, supported by stronger on-chain activity, healthier profitability, and more stable holder positions, Bitcoin's market structure continues to improve. Although bullish sentiment is strengthening, the slowdown in capital inflows and cautious market sentiment suggest that the market remains sensitive to changes in risk appetite.

Analysis: Long-term holders increasing their positions and institutional investors buying in may drive Bitcoin up to $95,000

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin surged to a high of $81,300, resulting in weekly and 30-day cumulative increases of 5% and 21%, respectively. CryptoQuant data shows that, based on 30-day rolling data, long-term holders have net added 331,000 BTC, valued at approximately $2.67 billion at Tuesday's current market price. This accounts for nearly 1.6% of the total supply, indicating that accumulation has strengthened as prices rebound.Accompanying the rise in Bitcoin is a strong inflow of funds into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, with a total net inflow of $1.18 billion over the past three days. On Monday, the net inflow was $532 million, indicating increased institutional interest in BTC. MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe stated on X on Tuesday, "ETF inflows have returned to the market, and the market is turning upward towards Bitcoin." He added, "I expect more funds to flow in over the next few weeks, as there is currently high demand for ETFs."As previously reported, institutions are absorbing more than five times the daily newly mined BTC supply. The $84,000 region is a focal point for many traders, as this position coincides with the CME gap formed in early February. From a technical perspective, after the price broke above the upper boundary of $77,500, it has validated a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart. A daily closing price above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $82,000 will confirm the continuation of the upward trend, with a target of the bullish flag's measured target of $94,800, at which point the overall increase will reach 18%.A chart shared by crypto investor Cryptocupra shows that after the weekly MACD produced a golden cross, the macro bottom for Bitcoin may have formed, paving the way for further upward movement.
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