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According to a report by Galaxy Research, the four-year cycle pattern of Bitcoin remains effective, but the volatility of each cycle is narrowing.The report points out that the peak-to-trough declines in the cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021 were 85%, 84%, and 77% respectively, while the maximum drawdown in this cycle from the peak in October 2025 to now is only 51%.Due to the relatively mild peak in this cycle, Galaxy believes that the bottom of this cycle will also be relatively shallow, with the baseline scenario expected to be in the range of $40,000 to $46,000, potentially before the fourth quarter of 2026.The report emphasizes that only 8 months have passed since the peak, which is far less than the 12-13 months typically required for the formation of a historical cycle bottom, and most cycle bottom signals have not yet appeared, indicating that the bottom of this cycle has not yet formed.

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) plans to abolish Rule 611 "Order Protection Rule" and Rule 610(e) in the National Market System Regulation (Reg NMS), which could become an important turning point for the development of tokenized stocks.Thorn pointed out that Rule 611 requires trades to adhere to the best quotes across the entire market (NBBO), while AMMs cannot route orders in real-time, access low-latency market data, or pause trading due to better quotes existing on other exchanges. Therefore, it has long been difficult to meet regulatory requirements, becoming one of the main structural obstacles for tokenized U.S. stocks to land in the DeFi scenario. He stated that if the future replaces the regulatory requirements for trade-by-trade supervision with brokers' "best execution obligations," on-chain liquidity pools and AMM mechanisms will be more easily incorporated into the compliance framework.Although tokenized securities still face issues such as trading venue registration and clearing and settlement, the SEC's subsequent plan to introduce an "innovation exemption" mechanism is expected to further promote related developments. Thorn believes this is an important step for the SEC to implement the "Project Crypto" roadmap, paving the way for innovations in tokenized stocks, AMMs, and on-chain securities trading by removing key market structure barriers.

According to Gate market data, the US Dollar Index DXY has little short-term fluctuation, currently reported at 100.11.

According to The Block, Ripple announced a toolkit for developers to build "proxy payment" applications on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), supporting AI agents to execute automated financial transactions.Ripple stated that AI agents are no longer a concept of the future but are actively participating in paying computational costs, settling invoices, and completing transactions without human intervention. As the application of AI agents expands, the market is accelerating the construction of payment infrastructure for machines, including wallets and stablecoin payment channels, enabling AI to autonomously complete service payments and asset transactions.This week, Robinhood also launched related plans, allowing users to try stock trading executed by AI agents, with plans to expand into the cryptocurrency space in the future; MetaMask also released a non-custodial wallet solution for AI agents.Ripple pointed out that traditional payment systems mainly serve human-initiated and approval processes, while AI agents require infrastructure that enables fast settlement, predictable outcomes, and no human approval. It emphasized that its new toolkit also supports payment capabilities based on the x402 protocol, allowing settlements using XRP and Ripple USD (RLUSD).Meanwhile, the IC3 team, composed of researchers from several universities, stated that although AI combined with blockchain can achieve automated trading, AI agents still heavily rely on humans and underlying infrastructure, lacking complete independence.

Alex Thorn, the Research Director at Galaxy, stated that the UK's decision to include the entire HTX on the sanctions list is controversial, as there are still a large number of legitimate users on the platform. He also pointed out that there are significant differences in the standards and timing of asset freezes among different stablecoin issuers, and suggested paying attention to the potential impact of stablecoin freeze mechanisms on user assets.

According to BBX data, last week the expansion of institutional crypto infrastructure and the differentiation of cash flow management models for mining companies were implemented simultaneously. The core dynamics are as follows:Morgan Stanley (NYSE: $MS) Wealth Management Department and Galaxy Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: $GLXY) officially announced a recommended cooperation agreement on June 5: allowing Morgan Stanley's qualified high-net-worth clients to lend directly held BTC, ETH, or SOL to Galaxy Digital. After Galaxy, as an Authorized Participant (AP), completes the creation of physical shares, the corresponding spot crypto ETP shares (including Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust, NYSE Arca: $MSBT) will be directly transferred to the client's brokerage account; the converted ETP shares can be used as collateral for account financing. Key parameters: Galaxy Digital has reduced the minimum trading threshold for Morgan Stanley's recommended clients from $25 million to $5 million, significantly expanding the coverage of qualified high-net-worth clients; traditional similar institutional trades usually take more than four weeks to complete, while the new mechanism can shorten the entire process by up to 75%. The legal basis for this cooperation is the SEC's approval of the physical conversion ETF mechanism for crypto assets in July 2025, allowing direct physical conversion between directly held crypto assets and spot crypto ETFs, with Morgan Stanley's $MSBT being one of the first beneficiary products.Bitdeer Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: $BTDR) reported that as of the week of June 5, 2026, Bitcoin mining output was 205.3 BTC, with the same amount sold, resulting in a net holding of 0 BTC, maintaining a current BTC position of zero, continuing the "output equals sale" cash flow management strategy; the proceeds from sales are used to support the R&D of its SEALMINER mining hardware product line and the expansion of hash power hosting services. Bitdeer's zero holding model sharply contrasts with mining companies like CleanSpark, Inc. (NASDAQ: $CLSK) (holding approximately 13,561 BTC) and MARA Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: $MARA) (holding approximately 35,303 BTC), which continue to accumulate Bitcoin, representing another financially rational path for mining companies during the BTC price downturn cycle—exchanging immediate liquidity for stable operational cash flow, avoiding the impact of single asset price fluctuations on the balance sheet.

According to Gate market data, the US Dollar Index DXY has broken 100, with an intraday increase of 0.56%.

According to Barron's, Morgan Stanley's wealth management division has partnered with Galaxy Digital, allowing high-net-worth clients holding Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana to convert their direct holdings into a spot crypto ETF.The converted ETF can be used as collateral for financing, with a minimum trading threshold of $5 million. In July 2025, the SEC approved a physical conversion mechanism between directly held crypto assets and spot crypto ETFs, laying the regulatory foundation for this collaboration.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Multicoin Capital deposited 56.116 million ENA (5.28 million USD) into Galaxy Digital and BitGo.

According to on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), institutions and whales continue to increase their holdings of HYPE: Galaxy Digital withdrew 179,000 HYPE (approximately $12.62 million) from Coinbase in the past 7 hours; meanwhile, the new wallet address 0x6436 withdrew 135,824 HYPE (approximately $9.73 million) again 8 hours ago, bringing the total withdrawal amount over the past two days to 399,730 HYPE (approximately $28.92 million).

According to The Block, Galaxy Digital has launched an over-the-counter prediction market trading desk aimed at hedge funds and family offices, with the first transaction being a $10 million Clarity Act-related contract reached with the crypto hedge fund Arca on Kalshi.As the primary market-making counterparty, Galaxy provides Arca with bilateral positioning and larger-scale liquidity. This service currently covers non-sports event contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, encompassing markets such as economics, politics, and geopolitics, and plans to expand to more platforms. Galaxy can also hedge prediction market positions with stocks and commodity hedging portfolios, helping institutions manage multi-asset risk exposure around a single event in a unified manner.

According to Gate market data, influenced by reports of Iran halting communication with the United States, the US Dollar Index DXY rose to a daily high of 99.23.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the Ethereum treasury company FG Nexus deposited 5,000 ETH (10.06 million USD) into Galaxy Digital and still holds 16,354 ETH (34.15 million USD).

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Galaxy Digital received 1 million HYPE through unstaking, worth 61.5 million USD, and then deposited 500,000 HYPE, worth 30.36 million USD, into Bybit and OKX.

According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY once touched 99, with an intraday decline of 0.23%.

According to Gate market data, the US Dollar Index DXY slightly declined, reporting at 99.22.