Analyst: Three on-chain indicators show that Bitcoin has not reached its cyclical peak, and the market still has room for growth
ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, 21Shares analysts stated that based on three on-chain indicators: MVRV ratio, unrealized net profit and loss, and long-term holder selling risk ratio, Bitcoin has not yet reached the peak of this bull market cycle, and there is still room for the market to rise.Specifically, the current MVRV (Market Value/Realized Value) ratio is between 2.5 and 3. Although there may be local peaks, it is far below the cycle top of 7. Analysts expect that Bitcoin's price needs to break through $200,000 to potentially reach that level.The unrealized net profit and loss indicator is currently between 0.5 and 0.75, and it needs to reach 0.75 to indicate that market sentiment is overheated. The selling risk ratio for long-term holders (those holding for more than 155 days) is only 0.4%, significantly lower than the overheating threshold of 0.8%. The recent pullback has mainly been driven by short-term holders.Analysts pointed out that Bitcoin has gone through several four-year cycles since its inception in 2009, with each cycle consisting of four stages: breakout, speculation, correction, and accumulation. Although the historical sample size is small, this cycle may show new changes in some indicators due to factors such as the approval of spot ETFs and increased institutional participation. Nevertheless, the current three on-chain indicators all show that the market still has upward potential.