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CITIC Securities: The high growth of earnings in the U.S. stock market may no longer be concentrated solely among leading technology companies

CITIC Securities released a research report indicating that as the performance of U.S. stocks during the domestic long holiday becomes desensitized to interest rates, investors' focus will shift to the upcoming third-quarter earnings reports of U.S. stocks starting next week.LSEG's consensus expectations show that the S&P 500's revenue and earnings growth rates for Q3 2026 are expected to reach 1.2% and 45.0% year-on-year, respectively, with a slight decline quarter-on-quarter. At the industry level, the year-on-year earnings growth rates for energy, information technology, materials, and healthcare all exceed 50%. The high growth in U.S. stock earnings may no longer be concentrated solely in leading technology companies, as the earnings contribution from non-tech sectors is significantly increasing.For Hong Kong stocks, although the overseas interest rate hike cycle combined with the restart of AI momentum trading continues to pressure liquidity, the fundamental expectations have bottomed out, and the earnings growth expectations for major broad-based indices have begun to be revised upward. The adjustment of industry earnings expectations is significantly differentiated, with some sub-sectors seeing upward revisions, while the earnings expectations for domestic demand-related industries still face downward pressure. The upcoming third-quarter performance will be an important basis for assessing the progress of recovery. We advise investors to remain patient with Hong Kong stocks, as short-term dividend strategies are expected to continue to outperform.

Slow Fog Analysis suggests hardware implantation to steal mnemonic phrases from Ledger

The Chief Information Security Officer of Slow Mist Security, 23pds, stated that if the modification of the Ledger device's PCB is indeed as described by former Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpelès, the attacker would possess a considerable level of technical skill.23pds mentioned that the possible attack process involves the wallet generating a mnemonic phrase within a secure element and displaying it on the screen for the user to write down. A malicious module could obtain the displayed content through screen data lines such as SPI, record the complete mnemonic phrase, and then send the data to the attacker via LTE/eSIM. The secure element can prevent the private key from being directly read or exported, but it cannot stop external modules from accessing the information currently displayed on the screen. He noted that the above analysis is based on the premise that the PCB has indeed been modified in the described manner, and the relevant attack paths and hardware implantation still require independent verification.Mark Karpelès previously stated that a Ledger hardware wallet he received was suspected of being implanted with a spy module. The device came from Malaysia, the outer packaging was intact with shrink wrap, and the implant was hidden in the position where the screen originally had a cushion, containing LTE communication components, an antenna, eSIM, and a microcontroller connected to the Ledger SPI bus, capable of analyzing the characters displayed to the user and sending relevant data after the mnemonic phrase setup is completed.
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