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BTC $80,938.87 -0.37%
ETH $2,287.39 -1.13%
BNB $677.97 +2.12%
XRP $1.45 -1.47%
SOL $95.04 -1.65%
TRX $0.3488 -0.42%
DOGE $0.1109 -0.25%
ADA $0.2731 -1.72%
BCH $440.19 -0.80%
LINK $10.39 -0.83%
HYPE $40.45 -2.27%
AAVE $97.78 -2.15%
SUI $1.24 -1.65%
XLM $0.1636 -1.87%
ZEC $578.23 +4.23%

hang

Delphi Digital analyzes the marginal changes in the Bitcoin financing model strategy, with STRC becoming a key expansion engine but risks rising simultaneously

The cryptocurrency research institution Delphi Digital released the latest report "How Far Can Saylor Stretch It," which systematically analyzes the Bitcoin (BTC) funding expansion mechanism of Strategy, pointing out that its financing structure is transitioning from "low-cost accumulation" to the "diminishing marginal efficiency" stage. The report shows that in the current asset accumulation system centered around Bitcoin, STRC has become the core financing tool for Strategy's continuous purchase of BTC. Initially, it relied on a significant premium in MSTR's stock price (mNAV far exceeding BTC's net value) to achieve a positive cycle of "issuance leads to accumulation," but as the valuation has fallen back to about 1.24 times the EV-based mNAV, the BTC per share enhancement effect from common stock issuance is nearing breakeven.At the same time, while convertible bond tools have played an important role historically, they have accumulated about $8.2 billion in principal and will face concentrated repayment pressure after September 2027, putting long-term sustainability of the financing structure under pressure. STRC provides a continuous financing source for Strategy by offering approximately 11.5% annualized monthly dividends to income-oriented investors, to maintain the pace of BTC purchases. However, this mechanism also introduces ongoing cash flow obligations, meaning that each round of financing increases BTC assets while simultaneously accumulating future dividend burdens.The report emphasizes key risk scenarios: if BTC prices remain stagnant and MSTR's premium fails to recover, then the "STRC financing purchase gain" may be gradually offset by "common stock dilution and dividend obligations." Although the company's approximately $2.25 billion cash reserves can cover about $1 billion in redemption pressure in 2027, larger-scale debt and dividend structures in 2028 still need to be addressed. Additionally, the current authorized issuance limit of about $28.3 billion for STRC becomes a critical constraint point. Once the limit is reached, the ability to purchase new BTC may slow down, but existing dividend obligations will continue to exist, thus altering the overall BTC per share dynamic growth path.

OneBullEx May Member Day has started, OBE points can be exchanged for USDT at a 1:1 ratio, with a prize pool reaching 300,000 USDT

According to the official announcement from OneBullEx, the platform's May Member Day event has officially started. This time, it continues to offer a 1:1 exchange of OBE points for USDT, with a prize pool reaching 300,000 USDT. The event will take place on May 11 from 11:00 to 20:00 (GMT+4), divided into 10 exchange sessions, with approximately 1,500 exchange slots available for each session, on a first-come, first-served basis, until all slots are filled.It is introduced that users need to consume 20 points for each exchange participation. After completing the exchange, the corresponding USDT rewards will be directly credited to their accounts. Users participating in this event must have at least 500 points in their accounts, and the specific amount credited and participation rules are subject to what is displayed on the event page.It is reported that OneBullEx has designated the 11th of each month as a fixed Member Day, continuously strengthening user participation and platform activity through mechanisms such as point exchanges, task incentives, and community interactions. As the May Member Day continues, the 1:1 exchange of OBE points for USDT is further entering a periodic operation, and Member Day is gradually becoming an important benefit scenario within the OneBullEx points system.

Analyst: The ETH/BTC exchange rate has fallen over 35% in the past year, and if the current structure continues, it may drop another 40%

According to Cointelegraph, analyst Yashu Gola stated that the ETH/BTC exchange rate has fallen over 35% in the past year, and the current trend is repeating the bearish structure from 2024 to 2025, suggesting there may still be further downside potential.From a technical perspective, ETH/BTC has been constrained by a downward trend line since 2022, with several previous breakout attempts failing, one of which triggered a subsequent decline of nearly 70%. In August 2025, after testing the trend line again, ETH/BTC encountered resistance and fell below the 20-month EMA support around 0.034, indicating that bears still dominate the trend. If weakness persists, the next key downside target is around 0.0176 BTC, which represents about a 40% drop from current levels, corresponding to the 2020 cycle low area.On-chain data shows that the selling pressure risk for ETH is also rising. CryptoQuant data indicates that as of today, ETH reserves on the Binance platform have risen to 3.62 million, accounting for about 24.6% of all trading platform ETH reserves; meanwhile, BTC reserves on Binance have continued to decline during the same period. Generally, an increase in trading platform reserves indicates a greater supply of tokens available for sale, while a decrease in reserves reflects an enhanced trend of long-term holding.Analysts believe this further reinforces the fundamental divergence between ETH and BTC: ETH faces higher circulating supply pressure, while BTC benefits from tightening exchange liquidity and continued institutional accumulation. Meanwhile, the narrative of Ethereum as "ultrasound money" has weakened, while BTC continues to receive corporate buying support, including from Strategy, as well as backing from Wall Street funds.
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